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Arapahoe Basin (Base: 10,780', Top: 13,050')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Thursday, March 11, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-
At about 8,000 feet (Aspen): Low 19, High 45
(Highest ~ 65 in 1989, Lowest ~ (-)5 in 1993)
-At about 10,000 feet (Near base elevation for Keystone, Breckenridge, Winter Park); Low 10, High 38 (Highest ~ 55 in 2003, Lowest ~ (-)12 in 1988)
-At 12,500 feet (Near the top elevation of many resorts in Colorado); Low 01, High 26

:::LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES, CLOUDS AND SOME SUN MIXED IN:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR THURSDAY, MARCH 11th at 12:29am...Today -> SOME SUN, SOME LIGHT SNOW; Low pressure moves eastward slowly as it stalls out near IA/ NE, approaching the Mississippi River Valley area, and leaving behind an unsettled northwest/ north flow aloft across Colorado, for additional very light snow, mixed with sun at times. Temperatures look colder in this more northerly flow.

Friday and Saturday -> PARTLY CLOUDY-MOSTLY SUNNY; These look like some pretty nice days, with weak high pressure ridging aloft and milder temperatures under mostly sunny skies. Later Saturday, a compact and closed low pressure system moves across Utah, and toward the 4-corners region overnight. Light snow develops overnight due to this low pressure system.

Sunday -> LIGHT SNOW; Low pressure drops across the southwest US, and New Mexico, with more light snow in all areas. An easterly flow means that best snow should be east of the divide, but we will have to watch because a lof can change between now and Sunday.

Monday and Tuesday -> CLEARING EARLY MONDAY, THEN MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH TUESDAY; Low pressure moves out early Monday, with skies becoming partly cloudy. Mostly sunny and into the 40's in all areas below 10,000 feet on Tuesday.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Thursday
Mar 11, 2010

Mostly cloudy and chilly with north breezes/ winds and light, isolated to scattered snow showers.

Hi 34°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 4°f / -16°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly cloudy and chilly with north breezes/ winds and light, isolated to scattered snow showers.

Precipitation:
Isolated to scattered snow showers.

Snow Potential
1 inch of additional snowfall.

Wind:
NW/ NE at 5 to 15 gusts to 20mph. Winds above timberline; N/ NE at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.

Friday
Mar 12, 2010

Partly cloudy and cool (after a cold morning) with lighter breezes.

Hi 34°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 16°f / -9°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and cool (after a cold morning) with lighter breezes.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
NW at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 10 to 20mph.

Saturday
Mar 13, 2010

Partly cloudy with near average temperatures. Not a lot of wind is expected.

Hi 28°f / -2°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy with near average temperatures. Not a lot of wind is expected.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
NW at 4 to 12mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 10 to 20mph.

Sunday
Mar 14, 2010

Mostly cloudy with east breezes/ winds and light snow showers.

Hi 22°f / -6°c (base)
Lo 14°f / -10°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly cloudy with east breezes/ winds and light snow showers.

Precipitation:
40% chance for snow.

Snow Potential
1 inch of snowfall.

Wind:
E at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; E at 10 to 20mph.

Monday
Mar 15, 2010

Becoming partly cloudy with north breezes.

Hi 23°f / -5°c (base)
Lo 14°f / -10°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Becoming partly cloudy with north breezes.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
NW/ N at 4 to 12mph. Winds above timberline; NW/ N at 10 to 20mph.

Tuesday
Mar 16, 2010

Mostly clear and milder with dry north breezes.

Hi 26°f / -3°c (base)
Lo 14°f / -10°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and milder with dry north breezes.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
N at 4 to 12mph. Winds above timberline; N at 10 to 20mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 17 to 20

--A ridge of high pressure (some clouds/ sun, and milder) seems most dominant now through the 17th. After the 17th, Pacific storms start moving in again with frequent snow through the 24th or so. The rest of March and most of April still look potentially snowy.

FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for southwest Colorado, from Telluride to Wolf Creek, up to Crested Butte. For Aspen, we expect slightly above average snowfall, and from Breckenridge to Winter Park we expect near to below average snowfall. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM



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