Ascutney Mountain Resort (Base: 720', Top: 2,520')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, March 9, 2010OVERALL SITUATION--***Become a fan on our Facebook page (with a LOT more fan interaction) and look for more giveaways!!!***
We look dry through midweek with more high pressure ridging keeping things quiet but more storminess (including rain) returns Friday and through the weekend, unfortunately with some rain.
Today--An upper level trough and surface cold front tries drops through with a dip in temps and just a few clouds passing through early today. There just isn't any moisture with this so snow showers seem unlikely. Any early wind gusts subside through the day as well.
Wednesday and Thursday--High pressure aloft returns Wednesday with more sunshine and dry conditions. Breezes relax again as temps rebounds slightly. We'll be watching upper level troughing working through the southern US and trying to pull some cloudiness our way later on Thursday. Timing may be delayed so we'll probably see the clouds increase with the chance of some light snow late/overnight.
Friday--Starting to turn unsettled as low pressure works in from the southwest with the chance of any snow changing to rain. It doesn't look too strong but it cuts off from the jet stream and may slow up as it approaches. That means a long duration event lasting into the weekend. Snow levels unfortunately get pretty high (up around 6000 feet) with mainly rain but perhaps some sloppy summit snow. Precip looks light to moderate (late) with some potentially heavier amounts overnight and Sat.
Saturday and Sunday--Cut-off low pressure slows up (with an unusual blocking pattern, called a Rex block) and keeps a moist southerly flow with a good chance of rain for most areas. Southerly winds will be picking up pulling in the mild temps. Looks sloppy even into Sunday--CT
Wednesday Mar 10, 2010
Hi 53°f / 12°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Fairly sunny and dry with light breezes
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
Lighter W-NW breezes around 5mph at the base...15-20mph up top
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Thursday Mar 11, 2010
Hi 51°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 35°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Increasing cloudiness with southerly breezes--some late day/overnight rain/snow mix (snow levels building up to about 3000')
Precipitation:
Dry early--20-30% chance of late day/overnight rain/snow mix
Snow Potential
A coating to a couple of inches overnight--mixing likely
Wind:
S breezes 5-10mph at the base...20-25mph up top
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Friday Mar 12, 2010
Hi 43°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 31°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Cloudy and unsettled--rain/snow mix possible through the day--southeasterly winds
Precipitation:
50-60% of light/moderate rain/snow mix through the day
Snow Potential
A few inches possible for the summit
Wind:
SE at 10mph at the base...25-30mph summit winds
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Saturday Mar 13, 2010
Hi 45°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 34°f / 1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Cloudy with a good chance of occassional light/moderate rain--breezy and mild with elevated snow levels
Precipitation:
70-80% chance of occassional rain--snow levels look too high for snow (perhaps only for the summit)
Snow Potential
A summit coating possible??
Wind:
S-SE winds 10-15mph...gusty up top 35-45mph with higher gusts possible
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Sunday Mar 14, 2010
Hi 45°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Still looking wet with occassional rain (heavy at times?)--snow levels remain high--still windy
Precipitation:
60-70% chance of occassional rain
Snow Potential
Snow not expected--snow levels remain high
Wind:
SE-E around 10-20mph at the base...40-50mph summit winds
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Monday Mar 15, 2010
Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 28°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers
Precipitation:
30% Chance of snow
Snow Potential
Wind:
N at up to 5 mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...March 15 to 18An unusual blocking pattern looks to set up through the weekend and continue into early next week. Stalled low pressure may linger close by for a while (in a weakened state) with the continued chance of showers (mix rain/snow). We'll plan on unsettled conditions through Tuesday followed by high pressure clearing things out through midweek--CT
