Bear Mountain Resort (Base: 7,400', Top: 8,805')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, May 15, 2012Our reputation for customized, skier/boarder friendly forecasts is growing but we still need to get the word out. Please contact your favorite resort and put in a good word for us!
We are holding more give aways this fall and winter! If you want a shot at them, please log in to Facebook. We appreciate your use of the site!
Here is the link to our Facebook page (you need to cut and paste it);http://www.facebook.com/snowforecast.com
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 6,790 feet (Big Bear Lake); Low 35, High 67 (Highest ~ 81 on May 17, 2009, Lowest ~ 21 on May 14, in 1961)
::: BREEZY/ COOLER TODAY/ WARMER WEDNESDAY/ WINDY AND COOLER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY/ WARMING TREND AND MOSTLY SUNNY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY :::
DETAILED SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR TUESDAY, MAY 15th...Today --MOSTLY CLEAR AND COOLER-- -> On Tuesday a low pressure trough moves through with increased breeziness across the mountains. Due to some cooler air seeping in from the low pressure system, we expect cooler temperatures. Sunny skiers are expected to continue.
Wednesday --SUNNY AND WARMER-- -> A ridge of high pressure builds in overhead, brief, with warmer temperatures and some late day west breezes expected due to developing low pressure to the northwest. Sunny skies are expected.
Thursday --WINDY, COOLER-- -> A stronger/ colder and more progressive low pressure system moves through up north, with noticeable cooling and windy conditions expected under mostly sunny skies.
Friday through Sunday --MOSTLY SUNNY, WARMING TREND-- -> Friday starts off cooler and windy as low pressure moves out and higher pressures aloft move in. Partly cloudy skies are expected. Saturday and Sunday look milder with not much wind as high pressure starts to ridge in stronger overhead. CM
Wednesday May 16, 2012
Hi 77°f / 67°f (base/top)
Lo 32°f / 50°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and warmer with increased late day breezes. Winds increase further overnight.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10-20mph. Above 8,500 feet; W at 10-20mph.
|
Thursday May 17, 2012
Hi 68°f / 58°f (base/top)
Lo 46°f / 44°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear to partly cloudy and cooler with windy conditions.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
SW at 10-20mph, increasing to SW at 15-25 gusts to 35mph. Above 8,500 feet; SW at 15-25 gusts to 40mph.
|
Friday May 18, 2012
Hi 63°f / 53°f (base/top)
Lo 42°f / 45°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear to partly cloudy and cooler still, with decreased winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
W at 10-20 gusts to 30mph. Above 8,500 feet; W at 10-20 gusts to 30mph.
|
Saturday May 19, 2012
Hi 68°f / 58°f (base/top)
Lo 30°f / 46°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and milder with drier breezes.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10-20mph. Above 8,500 feet; W at 10-20mph.
|
Sunday May 20, 2012
Hi 68°f / 20°c (base)
Lo 53°f / 12°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Clear
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
SE at up to 5 mph.
|
Monday May 21, 2012
Hi 73°f / 23°c (base)
Lo 54°f / 12°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Clear
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
W at up to 10 mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...May 21 to 24
--Low pressure may set up over the northwest US, causing some west winds and cooling for SoCal and resort areas (Big Bear and Wrightwood). We may see further cooling from a stronger low pressure system after the 22nd or so. This unsettled weather (clouds, cool, showers) may last off and on through the 25th or so. Righ now, the previous forecast is low confidence, as the other scenario is record breaking hot weather across the west, with 80's+ for Big Bear/ Wrightwood (and 110-120 in the low deserts) after the 25th. We will nail it down in the next update.
We have a "La Nada" SST pattern in place right now (near average sea surface temperatures). We expect to see a shift to an El Nino SST pattern this summer. Because stronger high pressure ridges tend to establish across the west during the summer in an El Nino pattern, and moisture has a more "open door" to move north without the westerly winds cutting it off, we then see more potential thunderstorms affecting the west in general. We will have to see if the El Nino is supposed to hang on into the 2012-2013 winter season, but it probably will. More to come. CM
