Buttermilk-Aspen (Base: 7,870', Top: 9,900')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, March 16, 2010*Aspen-Snowmass Resort is a sponsor of this forecast, please thank them if you get a chance*
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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;-At about 8,000 feet (Aspen): Low 19, High 46 (Highest ~ 62 in 1999, Lowest ~ (-)4 in 1988)
-At about 10,000 feet (Near base elevation for Keystone, Breckenridge, Winter Park); Low 10, High 38 (Highest ~ 55 in 1995, Lowest ~ (-)16 in 2005)
-At 12,500 feet (Near the top elevation of many resorts in Colorado); Low 01, High 27
:::MOSTLY SUNNY/ PARTLY CLOUDY:::
SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR TUESDAY, MARCH 16th at 6:16am...Today and Wednesday -> PARTLY CLOUDY/ MOSTLY SUNNY; A high pressure ridge builds in from the west and south, with mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures. Not much wind is expected. Later Wednesday, low pressure drops into the northwest US, with middle and high clouds increasing (the sun is usually just filtered through the high clouds, but still shining). Wednesday should be the warmest day.
Thurday and Friday -> SNOW DEVELOPING LATER THURSDAY, MORE ON FRIDAY; A low pressure system drops southeast out of ID/ MT and across Utah and southwest Colorado (carves somewhat south toward southwest CO and the 4-corners), with developing snow showers on Thursday as this system approaches. On Friday snow continues while the storm scoots across southern CO and northern NM. We will be evaluating at this system and make forecast changes if necessary.
Saturday and Sunday -> BREAK BETWEEN STORMS/ PARTLY CLOUDY; The pattern remains a bit unsettled as a strong large scale low pressure trough may be developing, with its axis roughly across the Rockies, and centered over Canada (we may need to increase snow potential on Saturday). This is what may kick off and extended period of frequent storms across Colorado, favoring northern resorts.
Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM
Monday Mar 15, 2010
Hi 40°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow - Snow Potential:
(0 to 1 cm. | 0 to 1 in.)
Snow Potential
Expecting 0 to 1 inches of snowfall
Wind:
NW at up to 10 mph.
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Tuesday Mar 16, 2010
Hi 44°f / 25°f (base/top)
Lo 13°f / 12°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and milder with dry north breezes.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
N at 4 to 12mph. Winds above timberline; N at 10 to 20mph.
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Wednesday Mar 17, 2010
Hi 49°f / 30°f (base/top)
Lo 16°f / 13°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy (high clouds mostly), with winds above timberline increasing.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4 to 12mph. Winds above timberline; Increasing to SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.
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Thursday Mar 18, 2010
Hi 46°f / 28°f (base/top)
Lo 18°f / 11°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Becoming mostly cloudy with increasing winds and developing light snow showers in the afternoon. Snow continues overnight.
Precipitation:
50% chance for snow late.
Snow Potential
1 to 2 inches of snowfall, mostly overnight.
Wind:
W at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.
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Friday Mar 19, 2010
Hi 31°f / 12°f (base/top)
Lo 23°f / 9°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Cloudy and colder with continuing snow showers, and increased winds.
Precipitation:
50% chance for snow.
Snow Potential
2 to 4 inches of snowfall.
Wind:
Becoming NW at 5 to 15 gusts to 20mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 15 to 25 gusts to 40mph.
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Saturday Mar 20, 2010
Hi 43°f / 22°f (base/top)
Lo 16°f / 4°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly cloudy with light snow showers early, clearing to partly cloudy skies and west/ northwest winds. Isolated snow showers are still possible during the day.
Precipitation:
30% chance for snow.
Snow Potential
A trace.
Wind:
NW at 5 to 15 gusts to 20mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 20 to 30 gusts to 40mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...March 21 to 24--Pacific storms start moving through with frequent snow through late March, as large scale low pressure develops across Canada and affects mainly the Rockies and northern plains states. The rest of March and most of April still look potentially snowy.
FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for southwest Colorado, from Telluride to Wolf Creek, up to Crested Butte. For Aspen, we expect slightly above average snowfall, and from Breckenridge to Winter Park we expect near to below average snowfall. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM
