Cochran Ski Area (Base: 500', Top: 1,000')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, May 12, 2008OVERALL SITUATION--TODAY--A cut-off upper level low will slide through the area but just off to our south today. We'll still be under more cloud cover, cool temperatures and increasing easterly breezes but the rain should just barely skim by. Southern resorts may get a few light raindrops/sprinkles but overall we're trending towards a dry forecast.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY--Low pressure continues to slide by to our south and out to sea so we'll still remain fairly dry as clouds diminish and northeasterly breezes ease off. Upper level high pressure ridging squeezes in from the west to give us more pleasant conditions through midweek.
THURSDAY--A weak upper level trough approaches from the west with a surface cold front. Look for increasing clouds later in the day and the chance of mainly light, isolated rain showers. This batch should move through rather quickly.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY--A pattern change will be developing slowly into the weekend as upper level low pressure will gradually shift towards us. A mainly west to southwesterly flow sets up ahead of this system--perhaps briefly warmer milder ahead of this system for a couple of days too. A few isolated spotty precursor showers are possible both days as well, however, more are expected as this low settles in later in the weekend
Monday May 12, 2008
Hi 68°f / 20°c (base)
Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Clouds increase but rain stays south--easterly breezes pick up with steady cool temperatures
Precipitation:
Remaining dry as rain stays south
Snow Potential
Wind:
Mainly E breezes at 10-15mph at the base...20-30mph up top
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Tuesday May 13, 2008
Hi 72°f / 22°c (base)
Lo 42°f / 6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Storm heads out to sea as clouds pull away to more sunshine and dry conditions--northeast breezes start easing up and temperatures remain cool
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
Breezes more NE and strongest early at 10-20mph at the base with a few higher gusts...summit winds 25-35mph with early gusts 35-40mph--a bit weaker in the afternoon
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Wednesday May 14, 2008
Hi 72°f / 22°c (base)
Lo 41°f / 5°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Skies remain partly to mostly sunny with lighter breezes and slightly warmer
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
Breezes still N-NE but lighter at 5-10mph at the base...summit breezes at 20-30mph
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Thursday May 15, 2008
Hi 59°f / 15°c (base)
Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Dry conditions holding out but with increasing clouds--a few late day showers possible but mainly overnight and into Fri
Precipitation:
20% chance of a few late day showers--more overnight and into Fri
Snow Potential
Wind:
Light and variable breezes at 5-15mph
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Friday May 16, 2008
Hi 58°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 39°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly sunny for now with some clouds, westerly breezes and only a slight chance of a few isolated showers for now
Precipitation:
Around a 20% chance of a few showers for now but could be mainly dry
Snow Potential
Wind:
Breezes mainly SW-W at 5-15mph
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Saturday May 17, 2008
Hi 59°f / 15°c (base)
Lo 39°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Turning mostly cloudy with a slightly better chance of a few showers and increasing southwesterly breezes
Precipitation:
20-30% chance of a few developing isolated showers
Snow Potential
Wind:
SW-W breezes at 5-15mph at the base...15-25mph up top
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Long range forecast / discussion...May 18 to 21Rather unsettled for a while as deep upper level low pressure sets up shop overhead. A good chunk of moisture rotates through for the 18th-19th with stronger upper level support. The first part of next week looks to remain cool and unsettled with more showers as upper level low pressure sticks around--CT
