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Crotched Mountain Ski & Ride Area (Base: 1,050', Top: 2,066')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Wednesday, March 17, 2010

OVERALL SITUATION--***Become a fan on our Facebook page (with a LOT more fan interaction) and look for more giveaways!!!***
 
After a long lasting storm dumping a lot of rain across the region, we'll be settling into a nice dry and sunny stretch for the rest of the week.  No snow is expected for a while as temps remain way too warm.  A cold front drops through Sunday night to cool us off with some snow showers returning early next week.
 
Today--The upper level pattern remains split overhead--part of the jet stream just to our north and the southern jet stream way to our south with some troughing across the Gulf Coast--too far away from us.  We'll be in between with calm, dry and very mild conditions through midweek.
 
Thursday--A slight dip in the jet stream to our north dips towards us with som clouds for northern resorts and perhaps a few light isolated rain showers (summit snow showers--snow levels around 3000').  Moisture will be very light so summit accumulations are not likely.
 
Friday and Saturday--A frontal system starts to set up to our north west as some energy aloft approaches from central Canada.  We still look dry but with perhaps some extra cloudiness drifting in by Saturday.  Southwesterly breezes pick up Saturday keeping temps up s well.
 
Sunday--Low pressure dips through the Great Lakes and head towards us.  It will likely push a cold front through our area overnight and into Monday.  Look for southerly breezes and clouds to increase late in the day with some isolated late day rain showers--more widespread showers overnight.
 
Monday--Rain showers taper off as snow showers and partial clearing as northwesterly winds kick in and temps drop.  Snow levels drop back to base level early then rise midslope through the day.  Residual isolated to scattered snow showers set in late and overnight--CT
Wednesday
Mar 17, 2010

Bright skies, dry and mild--westerly breezes pick up late

Hi 60°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 33°f / 1°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Bright skies, dry and mild--westerly breezes pick up late

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
W base breezes up to 10mph in PM...stronger 25-35mph summit winds in PM

Thursday
Mar 18, 2010

Partly sunny with some PM clouds--a touch cooler--a light isolated rain shower/sprinkle north possible

Hi 59°f / 15°c (base)
Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly sunny with some PM clouds--a touch cooler--a light isolated rain shower/sprinkle north possible

Precipitation:
20-30% chance of a passing rain shower/sprinkle (mainly north)

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
W-NW base breezes at 10mph...30-35mph summit winds

Friday
Mar 19, 2010

Partly cloudy, dry and mild again

Hi 59°f / 15°c (base)
Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy, dry and mild again

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
W base breezes at 5mph...20-25mph up top

Saturday
Mar 20, 2010

Still dry and mild with a few cloudso

Hi 60°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 39°f / 4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Still dry and mild with a few cloudso

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
SW base breezes 5-10mph...20-30mph up top

Sunday
Mar 21, 2010

Turning cloudier and windy but still warm--isolated rain showers developing, mainly late and overnight

Hi 60°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 45°f / 7°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Turning cloudier and windy but still warm--isolated rain showers developing, mainly late and overnight

Precipitation:
40% chance of mainly late day rain showers...more overnight

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
SW winds pick up 10-15mph gusting 20-25mph at the base...35-45mph summit winds (strongest late/overnight)

Monday
Mar 22, 2010

Still cloudy and unsettled with rain showers ending as snow showers--snow levels hovering close to base/midslope--shifting winds

Hi 51°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Still cloudy and unsettled with rain showers ending as snow showers--snow levels hovering close to base/midslope--shifting winds

Precipitation:
60-70% chance of rain showers from Sunday night ending as snow showers--snow levels hovering midslope

Snow Potential
A few inches of snowfall possible

Wind:
Winds shifting from SW to W 10-15mph at the base...30-40mph up top

Long range forecast / discussion...March 23 to 27

We turn colder after a cold front pushes through early in the week--some light snow showers are possible behind this front before we dry out to high pressure through midweek.  Upper level low pressure troughing will be deepening a bit close to Hudson Bay which may tend to bring the storm track closer to us later in the week.  It may also open up the door for some moisture from the south.  It does look like we still could be dealing with the chance of some snow next week but probably a better chance sometime next weekend--we'll be watching--CT



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