6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Saturday, July 31, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-At 6,230 feet (Tahoe City); Low 45, High 79 (Highest ~ 88 in 2003, Lowest ~ 32 in 1944)
-At 8,000 feet (About the base elevation of Kirkwood, "Twin Lakes"); Low 43, High 73

::: DRY, SUNNY AND WARM :::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR SATURDAY, JULY 31st...Today through Monday -> Dry west breezes, sunny, warm; Dry air continues across the area, with mainly late day west breezes/ winds and sunny skies as a low pressure trough deepens across the Northwest US.

Tuesday through Thursday -> Warmer, mostly light breezes; We remain dry ad the flow aloft is westerly. High pressure starts to rebound, and expand across the southern US from California east to The Rocky Mountains. This places us under mostly sunny skies and in dry conditions, with not much wind.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Sunday Aug 01, 2010 Hi 80°f / 63°f (base/top) Lo 43°f / 48°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Mostly clear and mild (slightly cooler) with more late day west winds. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Wind: Becoming W at 10 to 20mph. Winds above 9,000 feet; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.	Monday Aug 02, 2010 Hi 80°f / 64°f (base/top) Lo 40°f / 47°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Mostly clear and mild with late day west winds (decreased). Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Wind: Becoming W at 10 to 20mph. Winds above 9,000 feet; SW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.	Tuesday Aug 03, 2010 Hi 82°f / 65°f (base/top) Lo 41°f / 51°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Mostly clear and warmer with less wind. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Wind: Variable at 4 to 12mph. Winds above 9,000 feet; W at 10 to 20mph.
Wednesday Aug 04, 2010 Hi 84°f / 67°f (base/top) Lo 44°f / 52°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Mostly clear and warmer with mostly light breezes. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Wind: Variable at 4 to 12mph. Winds above 9,000 feet; SW at 10 to 20mph.	Thursday Aug 05, 2010 Hi 82°f / 28°c (base) Lo 44°f / 7°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Wind: WSW at up to 10 mph.	Friday Aug 06, 2010 Hi 80°f / 27°c (base) Lo 42°f / 6°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Wind: WSW at up to 10 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...August 05 to 08

--High pressure ridging aloft continues centered to the South mainly, and a generally troughy (low pressure, unsettled) region continues over the Northwest US. Mostly sunny skies and near average temperatures are expected through next week. Isolated thunderstorms/ showers develop across the area after the 7th as high pressure strengthens across the west, and a southeast flow of winds aloft develops, importing some moisture.

The El Nino SST pattern is now neutral, and a La Nina SST pattern will likely take over for the coming fall/ winter, through possibly the season following (through 2012). This could go either way for northern California resorts, with the Northwest US in general usually receiving above average rain and snow. We will work up some comparisons of previous La Nina years this summer, in preparation for the upcoming season. CM