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Monarch Mountain (Base: 10,790', Top: 11,961')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, May 12, 2008

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY...

OVERALL SITUATION TO
DAY -//> Winds increase on the upper ridges mainly, with increasing cloudiness as another low pressure system approaches from the northwest US (moving through Utah with mountain snow now). Temperatures look mild. Showers (rain/ snow mix for most) and thunderstorms develop after noon as the low pressure system approaches. Snow showers develop this evening and tonight as colder air blows in and clouds lower with the storm, now headed south toward Arizona/ New Mexico.

Tuesday -//> Colder and cloudy with scattered snow showers as low pressure drops through, though most energy passes to the west through Eastern Utah mainly (then into AZ/ NM). Light additional snowfall is expected. Clouds and snow clear out late day/ evening.

Wednesday through Friday -//> Low pressure scoots out and we are pinned between an extremely strong and large summer-like high pressure ridge over California/ Nevada, and strong low pressure centered over the Northern Great lakes/ Ontario Canada. This spells northwest winds and below average temperatures for Colorado, with some clouds and maybe isolated snow showers later Wednesday, all Thursday, and early Friday (then clearing out).

Saturday and Sunday -//> Strong high pressure ridging moves overhead, with sunny skies and warm temperatures expected. CM

Monday
May 12, 2008

Mostly Cloudy

Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WSW at up to 25 mph.

Tuesday
May 13, 2008

Light Snow Showers Likely

Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 20°f / -7°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Light Snow Showers Likely

Precipitation:
Snow likely (60%) - Snow Potential: (9.906 cm. | 3.9 in.)

Snow Potential
Expecting 3.9 inches

Wind:
NNE at up to 10 mph.

Wednesday
May 14, 2008

Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
W at up to 15 mph.

Thursday
May 15, 2008

Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 35°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
40% Chance of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
NE at up to 20 mph.

Friday
May 16, 2008

Partly Cloudy

Hi 43°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 25°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
E at up to 15 mph.

Saturday
May 17, 2008

Mostly Sunny

Hi 47°f / 8°c (base)
Lo 25°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
VRB at up to 10 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...May 18 to 21

--We could see a weak disturbance break up the sunny weather next Tuesday (20th), otherwise sunny and warm weather continues through the following Saturday (24th) under strong high pressure ridging aloft. As more low pressure (weaker) affects the Northwest US (around the 24th/ 25th), the orientation of the wind flow aloft may allow some subtropical moisture to feed up from the south for daily thunderstorms in late May. CM



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