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Nordic Mountain (Base: 872', Top: 1,137')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Sunday, March 21, 2010

Areas focused on below include; Minnesota,Iowa,Wisconsin and Michigan (including the UP).

When used, the following regions pertain to;

NORTH- MN,WI - North of 45 degrees latitude. (also the Upper Peninsula of Michigan).

SOUTH- MN,WI, - south of 45 degrees latitude. IOWA.

EAST- Lower Michigan.

WEST- MN and Iowa west of -95 degrees longitude.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------

-- Final  WINTER OUTLOOK posted in Long Range-----  11/21

 
     SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS-- UPDATED FOR Sunday, March 21st at 7:30am---

Relatively  normal start to the week with temperatures slightly below normal over the fresh snow cover in IA,WI and above to near  normal temperatures elsewhere. Snow will not last long, as temperatures in the 50's to 60's will once again return to the South with 50's common elsewhere for Mon and Tuesday. By mid-day Tuesday a weak system will brush mainly the far North with mainly rain. Next chance and maybe last chance of a accumulating snowfall looks in the cards for just outside of the short range for the 27-28 of March. Temperatures until then from Tuesday onward look near to slightly below normal in the North and above normal in the South and East.  see long range for the potential early arrival of spring.                                   

 links listed below comparing  various winter outlooks to actually what happened-----------------------------

NOAA outlook published in Mid-OCT 2009-- (not changed even in Mid-NOV)----

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20091015_winteroutlook.html

Actual outcome of winter temperatures--

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/usclimdivs/climdiv.pl?variab=Temperature&type=1&base=3&mon1=12&mon2=2&iy[1]=2009&iy[2]=&iy[3]=&iy[4]=&iy[5]=&iy[6]=&iy[7]=&iy[8]=&iy[9]=&iy[10]=&iy[11]=&iy[12]=&iy[13]=&iy[14]=&iy[15]=&iy[16]=&iy[17]=&iy[18]=&iy[19]=&iy[20]=&irange1=&irange2=&xlow=&xhi=&xint=&scale=&iwhite=1&Submit=Create+Plot

Actual outcome of winter precip-- (mostly snow for a majority of the  region with near record amounts in the south and below normal in the East and Far North).

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/usclimdivs/climdiv.pl?variab=Precipitation&type=2&base=3&mon1=12&mon2=2&iy[1]=2009&iy[2]=&iy[3]=&iy[4]=&iy[5]=&iy[6]=&iy[7]=&iy[8]=&iy[9]=&iy[10]=&iy[11]=&iy[12]=&iy[13]=&iy[14]=&iy[15]=&iy[16]=&iy[17]=&iy[18]=&iy[19]=&iy[20]=&irange1=&irange2=&xlow=&xhi=&xint=&scale=&iwhite=1&Submit=Create+Plot

Written by snowforecast.com on NOV 21st 2009-

Winter Outlook (DEC-FEB). Geographic descriptions are located above in the short range segment.

MN/WISC  North- North of 45 degrees  latitude. South- South of 45 degrees latitude.

Dec-Feb deviation from normal in the North--+1F.  South -1.  SE WI has the highest chance of above normal snowfall. Other areas should be near normal (40" in the South to near 100" in the Arrowhead of MN.) % of normal snowfall-- SE WIS 100-120%  all other areas- 85-100%

 IA-  temp -2   snow- % of normal snowfall 90-110%

Mich  temp -3 snow-% of normal snowfall  105-125%  (125% in the extreme south and east)

JB

 

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site!

CM

Monday
Mar 22, 2010

Mostly Sunny

Hi 57°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
ENE at up to 10 mph.

Tuesday
Mar 23, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 57°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
NNW at up to 10 mph.

Wednesday
Mar 24, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 51°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 5 mph.

Thursday
Mar 25, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 47°f / 8°c (base)
Lo 23°f / -5°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
NE at up to 10 mph.

Friday
Mar 26, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 43°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
E at up to 5 mph.

Saturday
Mar 27, 2010

Chance of Light Snow

Hi 48°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 31°f / -1°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow

Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
SE at up to 5 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 26 to April 01

Areas focused on below include; Minnesota,Iowa,Wisconsin and Michigan (including the UP).

When used, the following regions pertain to;

NORTH- MN,WI - North of 45 degrees latitude. (also the Upper Peninsula of Michigan).

SOUTH- MN,WI, - south of 45 degrees latitude. IOWA.

EAST- Lower Michigan.

WEST- MN and Iowa west of -95 degrees longitude.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------

-- Final  WINTER OUTLOOK posted in Long Range-----  11/21

 
     SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS-- UPDATED FOR Sunday, March 21st at 7:30am---

Relatively  normal start to the week with temperatures slightly below normal over the fresh snow cover in IA,WI and above to near  normal temperatures elsewhere. Snow will not last long, as temperatures in the 50's to 60's will once again return to the South with 50's common elsewhere for Mon and Tuesday. By mid-day Tuesday a weak system will brush mainly the far North with mainly rain. Next chance and maybe last chance of a accumulating snowfall looks in the cards for just outside of the short range for the 27-28 of March. Temperatures until then from Tuesday onward look near to slightly below normal in the North and above normal in the South and East.  see long range for the potential early arrival of spring.                                   

 links listed below comparing  various winter outlooks to actually what happened-----------------------------

NOAA outlook published in Mid-OCT 2009-- (not changed even in Mid-NOV)----

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20091015_winteroutlook.html

Actual outcome of winter temperatures--

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/usclimdivs/climdiv.pl?variab=Temperature&type=1&base=3&mon1=12&mon2=2&iy[1]=2009&iy[2]=&iy[3]=&iy[4]=&iy[5]=&iy[6]=&iy[7]=&iy[8]=&iy[9]=&iy[10]=&iy[11]=&iy[12]=&iy[13]=&iy[14]=&iy[15]=&iy[16]=&iy[17]=&iy[18]=&iy[19]=&iy[20]=&irange1=&irange2=&xlow=&xhi=&xint=&scale=&iwhite=1&Submit=Create+Plot

Actual outcome of winter precip-- (mostly snow for a majority of the  region with near record amounts in the south and below normal in the East and Far North).

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/usclimdivs/climdiv.pl?variab=Precipitation&type=2&base=3&mon1=12&mon2=2&iy[1]=2009&iy[2]=&iy[3]=&iy[4]=&iy[5]=&iy[6]=&iy[7]=&iy[8]=&iy[9]=&iy[10]=&iy[11]=&iy[12]=&iy[13]=&iy[14]=&iy[15]=&iy[16]=&iy[17]=&iy[18]=&iy[19]=&iy[20]=&irange1=&irange2=&xlow=&xhi=&xint=&scale=&iwhite=1&Submit=Create+Plot

Written by snowforecast.com on NOV 21st 2009-

Winter Outlook (DEC-FEB). Geographic descriptions are located above in the short range segment.

MN/WISC  North- North of 45 degrees  latitude. South- South of 45 degrees latitude.

Dec-Feb deviation from normal in the North--+1F.  South -1.  SE WI has the highest chance of above normal snowfall. Other areas should be near normal (40" in the South to near 100" in the Arrowhead of MN.) % of normal snowfall-- SE WIS 100-120%  all other areas- 85-100%

 IA-  temp -2   snow- % of normal snowfall 90-110%

Mich  temp -3 snow-% of normal snowfall  105-125%  (125% in the extreme south and east)

JB

 

 


 

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! JB



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