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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-At 6,500 feet (Park City~base); Low 17, High 36
-At 8,500 feet (Alta~base); Low 13, High 30
-At 10,500 feet (The top elevation of some resorts); Low 05, High 22

Tuesday -> Partly cloudy, becoming mostly cloudy and continued chilly (cold frontal air mass lingers across the area), with not much winds as another Pacific low pressure system, more compact, sends moisture in across Utah on a southwest flow aloft (mainly late day). We do not expect snow during the day, though we see some light snow showers in the evening and overnight (more isolated for Park City/ the Canyons on the lee side of the mountains).

Wednesday and Thursday -> The Pacific low pressure system moves through mainly to the south, with some disturbances aloft passing over Utah as a low pressure trough moves through the Rockies. This is expected to generate some light snow accumulation through Wednesday and into Thursday, clearing during the day Thursday. Northwest winds increase on Thursday as high pressure ridging works into the area.

Friday -> A weak high pressure ridge aloft holds early but is slowly shifting east, with partly cloudy skies and "warmer" temperatures, becoming mostly cloudy with light snow by the evening and overnight.

Saturday and Sunday -> Blocking high pressure ridging starts to form over the west coast and into the Rockies, while another compact low pressure system may form and move in toward the desert southwest. Moisture from across the plains may be drawn in to this low, and help produce some light snow mainly across northern Utah Saturday. We do not expect much snow. Clearing skies are possible Sunday as low pressure dives further south and out of the picture (we have low confidence in this low pressure system's actual track).

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

--A weak ridge of high pressure across the area, and blocking high pressure ridge across the western US is possible from roughly the 15th to the 19th, with weakened storms punching through at times, but otherwise not much weather is expected. After this, strong Pacific storms start pushing into the west coast, and moisture feeds into Utah. Storms should be a bit more favorable for northern regions at this time. We will watch and see how this unfolds. (From earlier discussions) Until we see the jet stream consolidate across the Rockies (it is a "split stream" and has been), most storms will either be southerly movers (big storms for souther Utah, lighter snow to the north) or weakened storms that favor the north. That being said, some of these "weakened" storms may be moist and energetic enough to crank out some powder day totals up north, which we have seen at times this season. The explanation of our weather pattern is a bit of an over-simplification, but the jet stream is a major player in our expected weather. February may end up being an average (improved) month for the north (mainly during the second half, which looks improved, with March and April potentially snowy months.