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Red River Ski Area (Base: 8,750', Top: 10,350')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Friday, March 19, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-
At 8,500 feet (Red River): Low 15, High 46
(Highest ~ 66 in 2004, Lowest ~ (-)16 in 1927)
-At 9,200 feet (Near base elevation for Taos Resort); Low 16, High 42
-At 12,000 feet (Near the top elevation of some resorts); Low 07, High 32 

:::SNOW DEVELOPS:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR FRIDAY, MARCH 19th at 6:50am...Today -> SNOW; Snow develops as the low pressure system and jet stream strength winds aloft (the main jet stream is mostly to the south and west) help crank out moderate snowfall totals. Today and tonight look progressively colder as a strong Canadian air mass pushes across the area.

Saturday through Monday -> BREAK BETWEEN STORMS/ PARTLY CLOUDY; Low pressure moves eastward and out on Saturday, with a slightly unsettled pattern remaining under a strong northwest oriented jet stream. Most moisture is expected to be mostly gone with the storm, but there should be enough lingering for some snow flurries and a sun/ cloud mix at times Saturday (increased winds also). Milder but still cool on Sunday, as high pressure builds in some (not as strong and spring-like as it was in recent days). Monday is a transition day, with shifting winds due to an approaching low pressure system out of the Northwest US. Partly cloudy skies are expected, along with somewhat spring-like temperatures.

Tuesday and Wednesday -> THE NEXT STORM MOVES IN/ SNOW; Snow develops later Tuesday as another low pressure system moves in out of the northwest. The tendency has been for storms to target the southwestern US, so moderate or better snowfall is possible through Wednesday.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Friday
Mar 19, 2010

Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Storms

Hi 32°f / 0°c (base)
Lo 4°f / -16°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Storms

Precipitation:
Rain Showers definite (100%) (9.144 mm. | 0.36 in.)

Snow Potential
Expecting 5 to 6 inches of snowfall

Wind:
NE at up to 15 mph.

Saturday
Mar 20, 2010

Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 39°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 4°f / -16°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
40% Chance of snow - Snow Potential:
(2 to 3 cm. | 0 to 1 in.)

Snow Potential
Expecting 0 to 1 inches of snowfall

Wind:
VRB at up to 10 mph.

Sunday
Mar 21, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 39°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
W at up to 10 mph.

Monday
Mar 22, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 50°f / 10°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WSW at up to 10 mph.

Tuesday
Mar 23, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 50°f / 10°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
W at up to 15 mph.

Wednesday
Mar 24, 2010

Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 41°f / 5°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
30% Chance of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
NNE at up to 10 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 24 to 27

--There is a break in weather/ snow possible after next Tuesday/ Wednesday's storm, then another shot at snow possible for the last weekend in March (27th/ 28th). Pacific storms (with snow) should move through with good frequency right into April. The rest of April still looks potentially snowy (what we mean by "snowy" - at least 1 day with snow for every 2 sunny/ no snow days).

FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for northern New Mexico. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM

 



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