Saddleback Ski Area (Base: 2,120', Top: 4,120')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Thursday, March 18, 2010OVERALL SITUATION--***Become a fan on our Facebook page (with a LOT more fan interaction) and look for more giveaways!!!***
We're continuing through a nice dry and sunny stretch for the rest of the week. No snow is expected for a while as temps remain way too warm and without any moisture. The next chance of a storm arrives late Sunday (cold front) combining with low pressure from the southwest on Monday--more rain is likely with the chance of it ending as some snow into Tuesday.
Today--A slight dip in the jet stream to our north dips towards us with som clouds for northern resorts and perhaps a summit sprinkle or two--moisture is very limited so very little precip is expected. Snow levels will be up around 6000feet so no snow is expected either.
Friday and Saturday--A frontal system starts to set up to our north west as some energy aloft approaches from central Canada. We still look dry but with perhaps some extra cloudiness drifting in by Saturday. Southwesterly breezes pick up Saturday keeping temps up s well.
Sunday--Low pressure dips through the Great Lakes and head towards us. It will likely push a cold front through our area overnight and into Monday. Look for southerly breezes and clouds to increase late in the day with some isolated late day rain showers--more widespread showers overnight.
Monday and Tuesday--Low pressure from the southwest approaches at the same time and adds a good amount of moisture just as the front pulls into town. We're looking at this combining into a stronger system with scattered to numerous moderate to heavy rain and shifting winds. Temps look to remain warm enough for mainly rain again (snow levels up around 6000-7000 feet again). Rain showers may last through most of the day as this system slows up as they come together and strengthen which carries unsettled weather into Monday night. Snow levels may drop overnight and into Tuesday as low pressure scoots offshore with a possible transition to some snow. Chances of this continuing into Tuesday are good so we could see a rain/snow mix into the day--snow levels will be critical in determining how much snow is possible (northern resorts would have the best chance of accumulations)--CT
Thursday Mar 18, 2010
Hi 54°f / 12°c (base)
Lo 33°f / 1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly sunny with some PM clouds--a touch cooler--a light isolated rain shower/sprinkle possible...a summit snow showers possible too
Precipitation:
30% chance of a light base rain shower/summit snow shower
Snow Potential
A summit coating possible
Wind:
W-NW base breezes at 10mph...30-35mph summit winds
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Friday Mar 19, 2010
Hi 58°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy, dry and mild again
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
W base breezes at 5mph...20-25mph up top
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Saturday Mar 20, 2010
Hi 58°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 36°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Still dry and mild with a few clouds
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
SW base breezes 5-10mph...20-30mph up top
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Sunday Mar 21, 2010
Hi 55°f / 13°c (base)
Lo 31°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Turning cloudier and windy but still warm--isolated rain showers developing late, mainly overnight
Precipitation:
20-30% chance of mainly late day rain showers...more overnight
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
SW winds pick up 10-15mph gusting 20-25mph at the base...35-45mph summit winds (strongest late/overnight)
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Monday Mar 22, 2010
Hi 40°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 15°f / -9°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Cloudy and unsettled with occassional rain/showers through most of the day--heavier rain possible--snow levels fairly high with mainly rain--gustier winds
Precipitation:
60-70% chance of rain showers through most of the day and possibly heavy rain moving in--snow levels around 6000 feet--some summit snow mixing in possible late/overnight
Snow Potential
Accumulations not expected--some summit snow possible but not til overnight/Tues
Wind:
Stronger SW winds 10-15mph at the base...35-45mph up top
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Tuesday Mar 23, 2010
Hi 35°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 14°f / -10°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mainly cloudy with rain easing off (possibly ending as some snow)--shifting winds and turning cooler
Precipitation:
50-60% chance of rain tapering off
Snow Potential
A summit coating to a couple of inches possible
Wind:
Winds shifting N-NE at 10-20mph at the base...35-45mph summit winds (some summit blowing snow?)
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Long range forecast / discussion...March 24 to 27We turn colder after a cold front pushes through early in the week--some light snow showers are possible behind this front before we dry out to high pressure through midweek. Upper level low pressure troughing will be deepening a bit close to Hudson Bay which may tend to bring the storm track closer to us later in the week. It may also open up the door for some moisture from the south. It does look like we still could be dealing with the chance of some snow next week but probably a better chance sometime next weekend--we'll be watching--CT
