Shawnee Peak (Base: 1,300', Top: 1,900')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Thursday, March 11, 2010OVERALL SITUATION--***Become a fan on our Facebook page (with a LOT more fan interaction) and look for more giveaways!!!***
We look dry through the rest of the week with more high pressure ridging keeping things quiet but more storminess (including rain) returns this weekend, unfortunately with some rain. Temps cool off after this storm pushes out to sea but not enough moisture will be left for any snowfall accumulations.
Today--We'll be watching upper level troughing working through the southern US and trying to pull some cloudiness our way later today. This is just a light precursor batch with hardly any moisture so showers are not expected. Temps remain mild with light breezes.
Friday--High pressure ridging holds for just one more day keeping approaching cut-off low pressure to our southwest. More cloudiness spills in as southeasterly breezes start to pick up but we should remain dry through the day. Rain will be creeping in across southern New England late and overnight. Temps remain steadily mild.
Saturday and Sunday--Cut-off low pressure slows up as it pulls closer to us and keeps a moist southerly flow with an increasing chance of some rain. The good news is, is that most of the rain may hold JUST to our south across MA on Saturday. Southeasterly winds will be picking up pulling in the clouds. Southernmost resorts (Shawnee/Mt Abram/Lost Valley) could see some light rain sneak in late in the day but northern areas may escape with a dry but cloudy day. The best chance of rain will be Saturday night through Sunday as the edge of the rain shield edges in from the south a bit more. Expect winds to continue through Sunday things get a little sloppy--heaviest rain still for southern most resorts while northern areas catch mainly light rain. Snow levels look to stay up around 6000 or 7000 feet through the weekend so chance of snow remains low.
Monday and Tuesday--Lingering low pressure will start pulling away out to sea with decreasing clouds and light rain easing off followed by some clearing and winds shifting more northerly. Snow levels drop back down to slope level but moisture will be gone by then. A dry northerly flow continues Tuesday--CT
Thursday Mar 11, 2010
Hi 49°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Still mainly sunny--a few clouds drift through--dry and mild still with light breezes
Precipitation:
Still dry
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
S breezes 5-10mph at the base...20-25mph up top
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Friday Mar 12, 2010
Hi 49°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Some sun with increasing clouds late as storm approaches--should be dry with rain holding off till overnight/Sat--turning breezy
Precipitation:
Looking dry with rain holding off til Sat
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
SE at 10mph at the base...25-30mph summit winds
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Saturday Mar 13, 2010
Hi 49°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 36°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Storm holding south--some increasing clouds and southeasterly winds but remaining dry--some light rain skimming by overnight possible
Precipitation:
Looking dry most of the day...20-30% chance of light overnight rain
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
S-SE winds 10-15mph...gusty up top 35-45mph with higher gusts possible
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Sunday Mar 14, 2010
Hi 46°f / 8°c (base)
Lo 34°f / 1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Still looking wet with occassional rain (heavy at times?)--snow levels remain high--still windy
Precipitation:
60-70% chance of occassional rain
Snow Potential
Snow not expected--snow levels remain high
Wind:
SE-E around 10-20mph at the base...40-50mph summit winds
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Monday Mar 15, 2010
Hi 48°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Some residual clouds and light snow showers tapering off to some clearing--cooler and breezy
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of light rain showers (summit snow showers)
Snow Potential
A summit coating possible?
Wind:
N-NE base breezes around 10mph...20-30mph summit winds
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Tuesday Mar 16, 2010
Hi 48°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 28°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mainly cloudy, breezy and cooler--a snow shower/flurry possible (summit)
Precipitation:
20% chance of a passing summit snow shower/flurry
Snow Potential
Accumulations not expected
Wind:
NW winds 10-15mph at the base...25-35mph summit winds
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Long range forecast / discussion...March 17 to 20A slow moving pattern with cut-off low pressure from the weekend tends to work its way out to sea. A more calm and quiet pattern settles in for much of next week--high pressure ridging works in more or less for dry conditions and mild temperatures--CT
