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Sipapu Ski Area (Base: 8,200', Top: 9,255')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Sunday, March 21, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-
At 8,500 feet (Red River): Low 18, High 47
(Highest ~ 65 in 2004, Lowest ~ (-)17 in 1927)
-At 9,200 feet (Near base elevation for Taos Resort); Low 18, High 44
-At 12,000 feet (Near the top elevation of some resorts); Low 10, High 34 

:::Overall, next week looks busy with a mid week storm and a weekend storm:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR MONDAY, MARCH 20th at 6:49pm...(Sunday evening)...Today -> TRANSITION DAY, INCREASED WINDS; Monday is a transition day, with increasing ridge mostly top winds and some middle and high clouds moving in due to an approaching low pressure system out of the Northwest US. Partly cloudy skies are expected, becoming mostly cloudy later in the day, with increased west winds across the ridges. Temperatures look mild again.

Tuesday and Wednesday -> THE NEXT STORM MOVES IN/ MODERATE STORM TOTALS; A weakened storm moves in from the west/ northwest, with moderate snowfall (all totaled) and colder air moving in. The snowfall begins by Tuesday afternoon mainly, and continues through Wednesday evening. The system approaches, and starts carving southward as it does, across northern New Mexico by Wednesday morning. We expect a southwest flow aloft along with some jet stream dynamics, good moisture, but a cross mountain easterly flow, which is what may hinder snow totals some. Snow ends Wednesday evening.

Thursday -> PARTLY CLOUDY, ANOTHER STORM IN THE PIPELINE; Another storm moves into the Pacific Northwest while Colorado/ New Mexico sit under high pressure ridging aloft. Mild temperatures are expected during a mostly sunny spring-like afternoon (morning looks cold however).

Friday and Saturday -> ANOTHER STORM, MORE MODERATE SNOW; Clouds and wind increase on Friday with the next storm to approach the central and southern Rockies. We see plenty of sunshine on Friday, then skies cloud up in the evening, with developing snow showers later evening/ overnight. Snow continues through Saturday evening as this low pressure system moves through. The low may intensify as it cross the divide, causing a stronger and moist northwest flow across resort areas Friday night. For now, we will assume that this will not occur, as a lot can change between now and then. That being said, it looks like we should see another decent shot of snow.

Sunday -> CLEARING OUT TO A PARTLY CLOUDY DAY; Low pressure moves out, and partly cloudy/ mostly sunny skies are possible after some (possible) fresh snow the previous 2 days. Milder temperatures are expected.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Monday
Mar 22, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 57°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 23°f / -5°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WSW at up to 15 mph.

Tuesday
Mar 23, 2010

Mostly Cloudy

Hi 53°f / 12°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WSW at up to 15 mph.

Wednesday
Mar 24, 2010

Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 21°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
50% Chance of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
NE at up to 10 mph.

Thursday
Mar 25, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 51°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
W at up to 10 mph.

Friday
Mar 26, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 60°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WSW at up to 15 mph.

Saturday
Mar 27, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 56°f / 13°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 15 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 27 to 30

--It looks like winter made sure to leave more snow storms for spring. After a Monday - Wednesday (29th - 31st) break (partly cloudy/ mostly sunny, milder), we may see a late week storm, and another snow storm that weekend, for more snowfall during the first several days of April. Pacific storms (with snow) should move through at times right into mid April, to finish off the season.

FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for northern New Mexico. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM

 



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