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Snowmass - Aspen (Base: 8,104', Top: 12,510')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Saturday, March 13, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-
At about 8,000 feet (Aspen): Low 19, High 45
(Highest ~ 65 in 1989, Lowest ~ (-)5 in 1993)
-At about 10,000 feet (Near base elevation for Keystone, Breckenridge, Winter Park); Low 10, High 38 (Highest ~ 55 in 2003, Lowest ~ (-)12 in 1988)
-At 12,500 feet (Near the top elevation of many resorts in Colorado); Low 01, High 26

:::MOSTLY SUNNY:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR SATURDAY, MARCH 13th at 5:50am...Today -> PARTLY CLOUDY; Weak high pressure ridging aloft with incoming low pressure, and milder temperatures under partly cloudy skies. Later today, a compact and closed low pressure system moves across Utah, and toward the 4-corners region overnight. Light snow develops overnight due to this low pressure system.

Sunday -> LIGHT SNOW; Low pressure drops across the southwest US, and New Mexico, with more light snow in all areas. An easterly flow means that best snow should be east of the divide, but we will have to watch because a lof can change between now and Sunday.

Monday and Tuesday -> CLEARING EARLY MONDAY, THEN MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH TUESDAY; Low pressure moves out early Monday, with skies becoming partly cloudy. Mostly sunny and into the 40's in all areas below 10,000 feet on Tuesday.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Sunday
Mar 14, 2010

Mostly cloudy with east breezes/ winds and light snow showers.

Hi 38°f / 22°f (base/top)
Lo 24°f / 11°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Mostly cloudy with east breezes/ winds and light snow showers.

Precipitation:
40% chance for snow.

Snow Potential
A trace to 1 inch of snowfall.

Wind:
E at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; E at 10 to 20mph.

Monday
Mar 15, 2010

Becoming partly cloudy with north breezes.

Hi 42°f / 23°f (base/top)
Lo 18°f / 9°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Becoming partly cloudy with north breezes.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
NW/ N at 4 to 12mph. Winds above timberline; NW/ N at 10 to 20mph.

Tuesday
Mar 16, 2010

Mostly clear and milder with dry north breezes.

Hi 44°f / 25°f (base/top)
Lo 13°f / 12°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and milder with dry north breezes.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
N at 4 to 12mph. Winds above timberline; N at 10 to 20mph.

Wednesday
Mar 17, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 44°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
SW at up to 10 mph.

Thursday
Mar 18, 2010

Chance of Light Snow

Hi 39°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 19°f / -7°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow

Precipitation:
30% Chance of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 15 mph.

Friday
Mar 19, 2010

Chance of Light Snow

Hi 34°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 15°f / -9°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow

Precipitation:
30% Chance of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 10 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 19 to 22

--A ridge of high pressure (some clouds/ sun, and milder) seems most dominant now through the 17th. After the 17th, Pacific storms start moving in again with frequent snow through the 24th or so. The rest of March and most of April still look potentially snowy.

FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for southwest Colorado, from Telluride to Wolf Creek, up to Crested Butte. For Aspen, we expect slightly above average snowfall, and from Breckenridge to Winter Park we expect near to below average snowfall. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM

 



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