Stowe Mountain Resort (Base: 1,280', Top: 4,395')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Saturday, November 7, 2009OVERALL SITUATION--(NEXT UPDATE MONDAY NOV 9th) We settle into a dry and mild pattern this weekend and well into next week with strong high pressure ridging aloft building in. This will boost freezing levels very high and put snowmaking efforts on hold for a bit as well. The next front moves in for Tuesday night next week with the chance of some rain/snow showers but it looks weak with a brief cooldown--the rest of the week looks dry with more high pressure.
Today and Sunday--The jet stream noses in aloft just to our northwest starting to induce fairly strong high pressure for us into the weekend with continued dry, mainly sunny skies and warming temperatures today--freezing levels climbing well above summit level through the day. Aside from a weak short wave trough skimming by to our north tonight and into Sunday morning with a few extra clouds and perhaps an isolated rain shower/sprinkle, most of the weekend looks dry. Warmer air drifts in aloft to nudge freezing levels above summit level dampening snowmaking efforts for a while--freezing levels up to 9000-10000 feet through the weekend and don't come back down until early next week (Tues night/Wed).
Monday--Continued high pressure keeps temps mild, freezing levels too high and skies mainly sunny and dry.
Tuesday--High pressure breaks down briefly with the next upper level trough moving in from the Great Lakes. Clouds increase and temps cool a bit--looks like most showers hold off til late Tues into Tues night/Wed. They'll start as raindrops before freezing levels drop overnight and end as some snow showers.
Wednesday and Thursday--Temperatures and freezing levels drop downslope briefly behind an exiting cold front--some clouds and light snow showers possible early then some clearing and strong, chilly northwesterly winds. High pressure, sunshine and warmer temps return for Thursday--CT
Saturday Nov 07, 2009
Hi 39°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
High pressure building in with some sun and lighter winds--some late clouds and a light rain/snow shower possible overnight
Precipitation:
Only a 20% chance of a few spotty rain/snow showers overnight mostly
Snow Potential
Accumulations not expected
Wind:
Lighter W-SW breezes at 5-10mph at the base...20-25mph up top
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Sunday Nov 08, 2009
Hi 50°f / 10°c (base)
Lo 28°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Some early clouds followed by more sun and dry, milder temps--stronger winds early
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
NW winds a bit strong early at 10-15mph at the base...25-35mph with stronger gusts early
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Monday Nov 09, 2009
Hi 50°f / 10°c (base)
Lo 35°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly sunny and milder with light breezes
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...SW summit breezes at 15-20mph
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Tuesday Nov 10, 2009
Hi 40°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Turning cloudy and breezy with scattered late day/evening rain/summit snow showers--still mild with freezing levels dropping late
Precipitation:
40-50% chance of mainly late rain showers ending as some snow showers, mainly for the summit
Snow Potential
A coating to a couple of inches possible for the summit mainly
Wind:
W-NW winds pick up...5-10mph at the base...summit winds 20-30mph
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Wednesday Nov 11, 2009
Hi 35°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Cloudy to start with some residual snow showers followed by some clearing--winds pick up as temps remain cold
Precipitation:
40% chance of leftover scattered snow showers early on
Snow Potential
Some light accumulations possible...watching possible stronger storm--a coating to a few inches for now
Wind:
Winds turn N again and pick up at 10-15mph at the base...30-35mph up top with higher gusts
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Thursday Nov 12, 2009
Hi 38°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 21°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly sunny, less breezy and warmer
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...S-SW breezes up top at 15-20mph
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Long range forecast / discussion...November 13 to 16Even after a brief cool down Wed (the 11th) high pressure ridging aloft returns for the rest of the week with mainly dry and mild conditions--not much snowmaking expected for now. Ridging may weaken and break down next weekend but it still doesn't look too stormy--rather a calm, neutral pattern with seasonable temps --CT
