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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-At about 8,000 feet (Aspen): Low 19, High 46 (Highest ~ 62 in 1999, Lowest ~ (-)4 in 1988)
-At about 10,000 feet (Near base elevation for Keystone, Breckenridge, Winter Park); Low 10, High 38 (Highest ~ 55 in 1995, Lowest ~ (-)16 in 2005)
-At 12,500 feet (Near the top elevation of many resorts in Colorado); Low 01, High 27

:::SNOW SHOWERS:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR SUNDAY, MARCH 14th at 10:15am (more detail added to the longer range discussion, and longer range daily details at 12:36pm)...Today -> SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED; Low pressure drops across the southwest US, and New Mexico, with light to moderate snowfall in all resort areas, but more moderate to heavy along and east of the divide. An easterly flow means that the best snowfall will be east of the divide, with areas like Eldora favored for heavier snow from this storm than areas to the west. Moisture and dynamics from this storm start decreasing by this evening and overnight as the low slips slowly southward. Light snow continues overnight, then ends early Monday morning.

Monday -> UNSETTLED, MOSTLY SUN IN THE MORNING, MORE CLOUDS/ LIGHT SNOW BY AFTERNOON; Low pressure drops southeast across New Mexico and into Texas, while at the same time weakening. Easterly flow remains easterly in the morning but weaker, and moisture decreases but lingers across the resort areas (in the form of partly cloudy skies and higher humidity). By later afternoon, as the weakening low pressure system scoots into Texas, marginal jet stream strength winds out of the north push in. This should help in the development of isolated and scattered snow showers, but they are short lived, as they end in the later evening (before midnight).

Tuesday and Wednesday -> PARTLY CLOUDY/ MOSTLY SUNNY; A high pressure ridge builds in from the west and south, with mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures. Not much wind is expected. Later Wednesday, low pressure drops into the northwest US, with middle and high clouds increasing (the sun is usually just filtered through the high clouds, but still shining). Wednesday should be the warmest day.

Thurday and Friday -> SNOW DEVELOPING LATER THURSDAY, MORE ON FRIDAY; A low pressure system moves in with a strong northwest oriented jet stream (favorable for northern resorts), and snow showers + increasing winds develop later Thursday. On Friday snow continues as the low pressure system and jet stream winds aloft help crank out more snow. Most weather ingredients look good for snow, though we may be a bit limited on moisture.

Saturday and Sunday -> BREAK BETWEEN STORMS/ PARTLY CLOUDY; The pattern remains a bit unsettled as a strong large scale low pressure trough may be developing, with its axis roughly across the Rockies, and centered over Canada. This is what may kick off and extended period of frequent storms across Colorado, favoring northern resorts.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

--Pacific storms start moving through with frequent snow through late March, as large scale low pressure develops across Canada and affects mainly the Rockies and northern plains states. The rest of March and most of April still look potentially snowy.

FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for southwest Colorado, from Telluride to Wolf Creek, up to Crested Butte. For Aspen, we expect slightly above average snowfall, and from Breckenridge to Winter Park we expect near to below average snowfall. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM