Fernie Alpine Resort ↑29° ↓20° Forecast:   1" Base:   6"
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Today's Forecast
↑29° ↓20°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓28° / ↑19°
  • Humidity↓93% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Cloudy before noon and then overcast later into the evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace before noon and a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds variable at 2 to 9 mph through the morning becoming variable at 2 to 9 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 11 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 19 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 11th
↑31° ↓25°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓30° / ↑24°
  • Humidity↓89% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth9"
Overcast throughout the day. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another trace amount before noon and 2 to 3 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.53 inches
Winds SW 6 to 15 mph through the morning becoming S 5 to 14 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 17 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 19 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 12th
↑31° ↓23°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓31° / ↑19°
  • Humidity↓69% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth10"
Overcast through the morning, and then mostly clear with a few clouds becoming cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning and a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.15 to 0.73 inches
Winds SW 6 to 15 mph through the morning shifting to SW 5 to 14 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 10 to 21 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 13th
↑30° ↓23°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓29° / ↑22°
  • Humidity↓93% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow10"
  • Regional Snow Depth17"
Cloudy throughout the day. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall expected to be 2 to 4 inches in the early morning followed by another 4 to 7 inches before noon and 4 to 6 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.38 to 1.88 inches
Winds SW 5 to 14 mph through the morning shifting to S 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 17 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 14th
↑35° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓32° / ↑22°
  • Humidity↓84% / ↑98%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow4"
  • Regional Snow Depth20"
Overcast throughout the day. Chance of snow after daylight and then snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning, then another 3 to 5 inches before noon and a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.21 to 1.03 inches
Winds S 7 to 16 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 21 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 15th
↑20° ↓11°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓15° / ↑10°
  • Humidity↓82% / ↑98%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth20"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds SW 4 to 13 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 0 to 7 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update09 Dec @ 09:12
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs1"
  • Season Total76"
  • Average Base Depth24 to 33"
  • Today's Snow Potential1"
Comments
Snow surface is machine groomed and packed powder
  • High Lift Elevation6316
  • Base Elevation3500
  • Vertical Drop3,550ft
  • Longest Trail3mi
  • Trails41 of 106
  • Lifts9 of 10
  • Acreage0 of 2504 ( 29% )
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails17 ( 12% )
  • Cross Country Area5
Griz Fresh Snow Cam
Griz Fresh Snow Cam
Cedar Bowl
Cedar Bowl
White Pass Chair
White Pass Chair
Base
Base
Contact
Location
  • City: Fernie
  • State: British Columbia
  • Country: Canada
December 02, 2018 - Southwest Canada (BC and Alberta) Long Range Weather Outlook
Some snow lingers across southeast BC (including Revelstoke MR) this morning, but clears out in dry north winds today (Monday), then, No storms, CHILLY, high pressure ridge across western Canada, sunshine for the mountain, but good snow-preserving COLD air under a north/ northwest flow of winds overhead and across the mountain.

HOW DID WE DO (please contact chris@snowforecast.com or comment below)? Let us know please... This is what we WERE forecasting for opening weekend: "Friday (opening day at the stoke) through the weekend, we expect storm energy to track just to the south while a high pressure ridge starts building in over western Canada, with most snow hitting the Pacific Northwest of the US, some occasional snow for the mid and lower mountain areas in southwest Canada, in much COLDER air as it is dragged out of the north. You will see most of the sunshine on the upper mountain. I say expect some nice but much colder conditions and sunshine mixed with clouds, mostly in the valley and base areas, for this weekend (bring some layers)!"

GREAT START AND WHAT IS COMING THIS COMING WEEK:
-What a season start! The snow and conditions have been amazing! For this week: Some snow lingers across southeast BC (including Revelstoke MR) this morning, but clears out in dry north winds today (Monday), then, No storms, CHILLY, high pressure ridge across western Canada, sunshine for the mountain, but good snow-preserving COLD air under a north/ northwest flow of winds overhead and across the mountain. Some "Alberta Clipper" type low pressure systems may clip the area with some clouds and light snow showers at times, mainly mid-week... (see animation of GFS snow potential, below)

Here is Revelstoke buried under, now 357cm (141") of snowfall to date!
A-skier-skins-up-on-a-stormy-day-in-the-Monashees-640x360

Here is the snow outlook from the GFS, for this coming week and coming weekend of December 3rd - 9th... Notice the snow clipping the BC/ AB border around Wednesday (Tuesday night through Wednesday night).

18Z-20181202_GFSWCAN_prec_kuchsnow24-3-174-30-200

LONGER RANGE:
It looks like El Nino is not an official anomaly yet, as I expected in my September LR forecast, so we are in an ENSO Neutral phase, though in the latest update from NOAA, we are seeing warming waters, still a weak El Nino at best. From the last update: "Next week we expect lots more sunshine on the mountain with some fog at times in the valley areas, ALL next week." <-- Last Tuesday (Nov 27th) when we updated the last forecast, were talking about this week, which is very much on track (compare to the short range outlook above)... CM

Next week, 10th onward, we expect regular snow storms and some significant snow to return, though it looks like the trend with this pattern is for storms to split (upper-level high pressure ridge anomaly over western Canada) as they move into the west coast, sending energy south into the United States, but because these look like strong and cold systems (ask Niseko, Japan) they are still capable of good snowfall across southwest Canada, and also, frequent. It looks like 3 storms total for next week (10th - 15th), with the last one toward the 13th-15th (late that week, and the weekend) possibly the strongest.

Here is that period represented by the GFS: 
12Z-20181202_GFSWCAN_prec_kuchsnow24-186-300-30-200

(NO CHANGE from the last LR update) : We expect a slow down and more sunshine as we approach the Christmas and New Year holiday period, but not before some nice dumps of snow pile up through and past mid-December (until the 20th at least)... There will still be some storm energy at times for some fresh snow during the holiday break. In January storms should kick in again on a more regular basis. More updates are coming. Do you have any ideas on what you want to see in our discussions? Please contact through the site! We do not charge for any of our info, and have been providing it since 1998, "Predicting Sick Days since 1998"! CM

Mountain Summit Forecast

Monday
↑27° / ↓17°
iconWinds: SW 7 to 16 mph, then SW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
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AM

icon
↑25° / ↓17°
Sky
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be -1 to 10 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑27° / ↓22°
Sky
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 8 to 13 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑25° / ↓21°
iconWinds: SW 12 to 23 mph, then S 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
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AM

icon
↑24° / ↓21°
Sky
Cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the early morning, then another trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 12 to 23 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. Expected wind chill to be 3 to 7 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑25° / ↓24°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 10 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑27° / ↓18°
iconWinds: SW 6 to 15 mph, then SW 13 to 25 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
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AM

icon
↑27° / ↓24°
Sky
Overcast through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 9 to 13 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑27° / ↓18°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 48 mph. Expected wind chill to be 0 to 13 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Thursday
↑25° / ↓18°
iconWinds: S 12 to 24 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 10"
icon

AM

icon
↑22° / ↓18°
Sky
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another 4 to 7 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top S 12 to 24 mph with gusts up to 63 mph. Expected wind chill to be -3 to 4 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑25° / ↓22°
Sky
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 4 to 7 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.6 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 2 to 6 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Friday
↑30° / ↓19°
iconWinds: SW 33 to 45 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 6"
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AM

icon
↑30° / ↓27°
Sky
Cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 3 to 6 inches in the early morning, then another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.16 to 0.8 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 33 to 45 mph with gusts up to 56 mph. Wind chill expected to be 8 to 10 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑30° / ↓19°
Sky
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 0 to 9 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Saturday
↑14° / ↓7°
iconWinds: SW 7 to 16 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑14° / ↓8°
Sky
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Flurries possible in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be -7 to -2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑14° / ↓7°
Sky
Mostly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be -9 to -2 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph

Mountain Base Forecast

Monday
↑27° / ↓17°
iconWinds: SW 7 to 16 mph, then SW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑25° / ↓17°
Sky
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be -1 to 10 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑27° / ↓22°
Sky
Cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 8 to 13 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑25° / ↓21°
iconWinds: SW 12 to 23 mph, then S 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑24° / ↓21°
Sky
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the early morning, then another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 12 to 23 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. Wind chill expected to be 3 to 7 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑25° / ↓24°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base S 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 10 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑27° / ↓18°
iconWinds: SW 6 to 15 mph, then SW 13 to 25 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑27° / ↓24°
Sky
Overcast through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 13 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑27° / ↓18°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 48 mph. Wind chill expected to be 0 to 13 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Thursday
↑25° / ↓18°
iconWinds: S 12 to 24 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 10"
icon

AM

icon
↑22° / ↓18°
Sky
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning, then another 4 to 7 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base S 12 to 24 mph with gusts up to 63 mph. Wind chill expected to be -3 to 4 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑25° / ↓22°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 4 to 7 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.6 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 2 to 6 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Friday
↑30° / ↓19°
iconWinds: SW 33 to 45 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 6"
icon

AM

icon
↑30° / ↓27°
Sky
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 3 to 6 inches in the early morning, then another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.16 to 0.8 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 33 to 45 mph with gusts up to 56 mph. Expected wind chill to be 8 to 10 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑30° / ↓19°
Sky
Cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 0 to 9 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph
Saturday
↑14° / ↓7°
iconWinds: SW 7 to 16 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑14° / ↓8°
Sky
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be -7 to -2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑14° / ↓7°
Sky
Mostly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be -9 to -2 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature22°
  • Soil Low Temperature17°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature24°
  • Soil Low Temperature22°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature24°
  • Soil Low Temperature23°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature24°
  • Soil Low Temperature22°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature24°
  • Soil Low Temperature23°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart