Fresh snow and sun today/ Dusting of snow on Thursday/ some clouds mixed with sun, plus isolated snow showers Friday/ Decent shot of snow on a colder Saturday
(Check out our US snow pack - snow depth - snow temperature - new snow - etc. maps!)
Forecast updated for Wednesday, March 12, 2014
Today looks mostly sunny with some lingering clouds mainly across southern Colorado, as an upper-level high pressure ridge builds up from the south a bit. On Thursday, the energy that retrograded westward moves back in toward the area, with developing mostly light snow showers, best for the southwest Colorado resort areas. Friday we see some lingering clouds and maybe isolated snow showers under an unsettled northwest flow aloft, as low pressure scoots eastward. On Saturday and maybe into Sunday we see a possibly significant snow storm, possibly similar in track to Tuesday's storm. Please be sure to log-in and favorite your resort forecasts so you save time (we fixed the captcha issue, sorry for the trouble, it works now...). CM
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7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 16 to 26 March, 2014 - We may see a bit of snow next Monday as another low pressure system moves through, then after that and through the 20th high pressure ridging aloft sits across Colorado out ahead of a developing large scale low pressure trough. After this time), high pressure ridging breaks down, and stronger-more moist Pacific storms then move in affecting areas all across the west, including drought parched California again. CM
Longer Range Outlook
As of now, March 2014, we are continuing to be affected by an ENSO-Neutral, or La Nada Sea Surface Temperature pattern across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific (SSTs near to slightly below average).
The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.
We expect the ENSO Neutral, or La Nada pattern (almost a La Nina) to continue, and in the last 30 days we have seen more of a La Nina pattern develop with colder SST's along the eastern Equatorial Pacific and even the region 3.4 always referred to, though less so in 3.4. We are not seeing the trend toward El Nino yet.
Since we are seeing an actual cooling of the eastern Equatorial Pacific in the last month, and not much change in the 3.4 region, we expect this to not bode well for a shift out of a La Nada pattern, yet. If we start to see warming in the region mentioned, then we expect a potential strengthening jet stream across the Pacific, and increased moisture in general for Pacific storms as they move in more directly off the Pacific (we already got a taste of this with recent very strong but snow-level challenged storms). More of these may move in mainly after the 15th and affect all areas of the west, but for now these Pacific storms mainly affect the northwest US and Colorado (on the east side of a southwest US ridge of high pressure). We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available. If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.
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