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Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Wednesday, October 07, 2015
Today and Thursday we see a cold low pressure system end up over southwest New Mexico, with skies clearing out as high pressure ridging aloft builds in. Thursday through the weekend look warmer and drier under mostly sunny skies. Please see the long range forecast for more. CM
Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - Early next week, Mon/ Tue the 12/ 13th, a low pressure system moves through to the north, maybe increasing winds some, but we look dry. Mid and late next week (14th on and for a few days) we may see thunderstorms and showers move in across the area again. More detail is coming if this continues to look like a reality. Otherwise, the western US as a whole looks drier and warmer than usual right into late October under unusually strong high pressure ridging aloft. The Northwest US will be affected at times by low pressure systems moving in off the Gulf of Alaska, for some high mountain snow and valley rain (WA/ OR/ ID/ MT/ WY).
The El Nino SST pattern is strong, right now, and it looks like we will see a VERY strong El Nino this fall and winter, possibly stronger than the 1997-1998 version, which is the strongest (in terms of SST anomaly) on record. This set-up would usually cause heavier rain and snow across California (mainly southern and central, possibly including Tahoe, but especially including Mountain High and Big Bear, as the epic 1997-1998 season can attest to) and the southwest US this winter. This would be a vast improvement for Tahoe-Mammoth. Southwest Colorado and northern New Mexico usually do well, including Taos Ski Valley, who had a great season in 2014-2015 with the weak El Nino(ish) anomaly. Aspen is in between, and we would say average snowfall should be expected at Aspen-Snowmass in 2015-2016. We will be posting a detailed outlook for Aspen-Snowmass, Squaw Valley/ Tahoe, Mountain High, and Taos Ski Valley in the coming months. We will be monitoring the progress of this right here, stay tuned... CM
Monarch Mountain...all natural snow...all natural setting...all about having fun! Come see why so many people rave about what Monarch has to offer. Short lift lines, inexpensive restaurants, friendly staff on and off the mountain and no hassles of traffic to and from the ski area. Winter is on the way and we have made some great changes to add to Monarch's overall experience. We’ve widened some trails and added an additional 130 acres of awesome backcountry (extreme) skiing in Mirkwood Basin. This is an exciting change that we have been working on for quite some time and we’ve now opened the gates to our die-hard skiers/riders who are looking for new, challenging terrain. Did you say powder? We've got plenty of it here at Monarch because we still only use Mother Nature’s snow for our guests to ski and ride on. On a good snow day you just can't beat the all natural powder here. Monarch is also known to have some of the best tree skiing in the state, so be sure to check it out before the locals ski off the fresh stuff!!