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Location Information

City
Garfield
State
Colorado
Country
United States
Monarch Mountain Monarch Mountain Hot
Short Range Forecast Discussion
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Thursday July 24, 2014 - Today and Friday continue to be showery and cooler, with plenty of thunderstorm activity, as weak upper-level weather disturbances and a plume of subtropical moisture continues circulating across Colorado out of the southwest US deserts, while high pressure ridging aloft shifts to the south and weakens overhead. Some good widespread showers are expected across the area both days. Saturday we expect warmer temperatures and a drying trend as high pressure ridging builds in overhead, with less thunderstorms and more sunshine. High pressure ridging overhead continues strong and centered over New Mexico on Sunday, and moisture increases from the southwest as another monsoon surge will have pushed into the Desert Southwest. On Monday and Tuesday we have another plume of subtropical moisture across the area, with an increased amount of showers and thunderstorms expected again. CM

Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
11,952 ft
10,790 ft
1,162 ft
1 mile
RESORT INFO ↑63°  17c° ↓48°  9c° MID MTN
  • Last Update 13 Apr @ 02:04
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 0 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 0 in
  • Season Total 328 in
  • Average Base Depth 0 in
Comments
None Reported
Today's Snow Potential
None expected
What's Open?
  • Trails0 of 62
  • Lifts0 of 6
  • Acreage0 of 800 (0%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
25 Friday ↑63°  17c° ↓48°  9c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers (again), becoming mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and showers (pm). Some heavy showers are expected. Showers end overnight.
Precipitation
Isolated showers (am), 60% chance for showers (afternoon/ evening)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
26 Saturday ↑66°  19c° ↓46°  8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly clear and warmer/ drier, with only isolated thunderstorms/ showers expected by afternoon, and clearing out in the evening.
Precipitation
30% chance for showers (afternoon)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming NW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; W/ NW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
27 Sunday ↑64°  18c° ↓46°  8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy, becoming partly to mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and showers developing by afternoon. Isolated heavy showers are expected. Showers become isolated overnight.
Precipitation
50% chance for showers (afternoon/ evening), 20% chance for showers overnight
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming S at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; SW at 10 to 20mph. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
28 Monday ↑63°  17c° ↓46°  8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers, becoming mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and showers (pm). Some heavy showers are expected. Showers become isolated overnight.
Precipitation
Isolated showers (am), 60% chance for showers (afternoon/ evening), 20% chance for showers overnight
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming S at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; SW at 10 to 20mph. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
29 Tuesday ↑63°  17c° ↓45°  7c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with isolated showers, becoming mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and showers (pm). Some heavy showers are also expected. Showers end overnight.
Precipitation
Isolated showers (am), 60% chance for showers (afternoon/ evening), 20% chance for showers overnight
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
30 Wednesday ↑63°  17c° ↓43°  6c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly cloudy with scattered storms
Precipitation
Scattered Storms (Potential precip: 0.54in, 13.69mm)
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the NW at 5 to 10 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 30 July to 09 August, 2014 - The rest of next week and through early August we see strong high pressure ridging across the west (centered mainly near the 4-corners region ~ AZ/ NM/ UT/ CO), with a low to mid grade monsoon pattern across the southwest US (Arizona/ New Mexico), feeding scattered (or better) thunderstorm coverage each afternoon across northern New Mexico, otherwise mostly sunny weather is expected, with near average temperatures. We will also have to watch for the influence of tropical systems, which would increase shower and thunderstorm potential further. CM

Longer Range Outlook

As of now, July 2014, we are still on a path to see an El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern develop across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific (SSTs near to slightly below average). In fact, as of the last check, all of May and up until the last check of the charts (July), we see a trend to warmer Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (or at least warmer than average Sea Surface Temperatures (SST's) holding overall) across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (good sign).

Current SST pattern- La Nada

The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is still a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.

To reiterate, we expect (and have seen) a trend toward positive SST Anomalies along the eastern Equatorial Pacific as of June 2, 2014 (SST's just west of South America along the equator are warming up, still). The likelihood of an El Nino pattern materializing by this summer and fall are becoming greater, now "likely". Forecasts from other agencies are calling for El Nino conditions to develop this summer and fall as well. This would favor the southwest US (including southern California and across to Taos Ski Valley, even Aspen, Colorado) for heavier rain and snow this fall and mainly winter (2014-2015), after a potentially wet monsoon summer across the southwest US including southern California through Colorado. Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should see an active monsoon (thunderstorms and showers) this summer, followed by a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). This is our outlook for now, and we will update as info becomes available. All of this information is generated in-house.

We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available. If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.

Monarch Mountain...all natural snow...all natural setting...all about having fun! Come see why so many people rave about what Monarch has to offer. Short lift lines, inexpensive restaurants, friendly staff on and off the mountain and no hassles of traffic to and from the ski area. Winter is on the way and we have made some great changes to add to Monarch's overall experience. We’ve widened some trails and added an additional 130 acres of awesome backcountry (extreme) skiing in Mirkwood Basin. This is an exciting change that we have been working on for quite some time and we’ve now opened the gates to our die-hard skiers/riders who are looking for new, challenging terrain. Did you say powder? We've got plenty of it here at Monarch because we still only use Mother Nature’s snow for our guests to ski and ride on. On a good snow day you just can't beat the all natural powder here. Monarch is also known to have some of the best tree skiing in the state, so be sure to check it out before the locals ski off the fresh stuff!!

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