Bristol Mountain Ski Resort ↑25° ↓13° Forecast:   4" Base:   16"
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Swain Resort 29 mi

Swain Resort
Today's Forecast
↑25° ↓13°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓24° / ↑11°
  • Humidity↓88% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow4"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Overcast throughout the day. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall expected to be 3 to 5 inches in the early morning followed by another 1 to 2 inches before noon and a trace in the afternoon, then another dusting later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.1 to 0.5 inches
Winds NW 13 to 25 mph through the morning shifting to NW 18 to 30 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 38 mph. Wind chill expected to be -11 to 13 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 19th
↑18° ↓8°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓11° / ↑5°
  • Humidity↓77% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow after daylight and then snow in the afternoon.
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds W 9 to 20 mph through the morning shifting to SW 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be -16 to -1 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 20th
↑38° ↓14°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓35° / ↑5°
  • Humidity↓72% / ↑90%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Overcast throughout the day. Chance of snow in the afternoon, freezing rain and snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace before noon and 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon, then another trace later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.15 to 0.73 inches
Winds SE 17 to 29 mph through the morning becoming S 27 to 39 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 55 mph. Wind chill expected to be -5 to 21 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 21st
↑45° ↓28°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓43° / ↑24°
  • Humidity↓74% / ↑93%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain after daylight and then rain in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.09 to 0.45 inches
Winds W 34 to 46 mph through the morning shifting to NW 13 to 25 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 56 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 31 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 22nd
↑33° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓25° / ↑22°
  • Humidity↓72% / ↑94%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
None expected throughout the day.
No precipitation expected.
Winds NW 4 to 13 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 10 to 22 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 23rd
↑44° ↓28°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓33° / ↑25°
  • Humidity↓62% / ↑92%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
No snow throughout the day.
No precipitation expected throughout the day.
Winds variable at 0 to 8 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 32 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update18 Feb @ 07:02
  • Snow Past 24 hrs4"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs4"
  • Season Total42"
  • Average Base Depth16 to 48"
  • Today's Snow Potential4"
Comments
11in, past 6 days. Snow surface is machine groomed and packed powder
  • High Lift Elevation2,200ft
  • Base Elevation1,000ft
  • Vertical Drop1,200ft
  • Longest Trail2.2
  • Trails38 of 38
  • Lifts6 of 6
  • Acreage0 of 160 ( 100% )
  • Night Skiing6 lifts/6 trails open
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails36 ( 95% )
  • Cross Country Area3
23°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity74%
  • Dewpoint16°
  • SustainedNW 14mph
  • GustingNW 0mph
  • Visibility2.50 miles
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
Light Snow
Location
Dansville, Dansville Municipal Airport, NY
  • Elevation1,598ft
  • UpdatedFeb 18 @ 05:14
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • City: Canandaigua
  • State: New York
  • Country: United States
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Expanded Outlook

Monday
↑25° / ↓13°
iconWinds: NW 13 to 25 mph, then NW 18 to 30 mph
iconForecast Snow: 4"
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AM

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↑25° / ↓17°
Skies
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 3 to 5 inches in the early morning, then another 1 to 2 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.09 to 0.43 inches
Winds
Morning winds NW 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 31 mph. Expected wind chill to be -3 to 13 degrees through the morning.

PM

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↑19° / ↓13°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the afternoon, then another trace amount later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds NW 18 to 30 mph with gusts up to 38 mph. Wind chill expected to be -11 to 0 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,193ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑18° / ↓8°
iconWinds: W 9 to 20 mph, then SW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
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AM

icon
↑14° / ↓8°
Skies
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be -16 to -5 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑18° / ↓13°
Skies
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon.
Snow
Flurries possible through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be -8 to -1 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,193ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑38° / ↓14°
iconWinds: SE 17 to 29 mph, then S 27 to 39 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
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AM

icon
↑26° / ↓14°
Skies
Overcast before noon.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Morning winds SE 17 to 29 mph with gusts up to 37 mph. Wind chill expected to be -5 to 6 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓26°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon and then freezing rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon followed by another trace later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.7 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds S 27 to 39 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 21 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,193ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑45° / ↓28°
iconWinds: W 34 to 46 mph, then NW 13 to 25 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑45° / ↓40°
Skies
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain after daylight.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.09 to 0.43 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 34 to 46 mph with gusts up to 56 mph. Expected wind chill to be 22 to 31 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑40° / ↓28°
Skies
Overcast into the evening. Chance of rain in the afternoon and then rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds NW 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 31 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 22 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,193ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑33° / ↓26°
iconWinds: NW 4 to 13 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑31° / ↓26°
Skies
Cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds NW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 20 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑33° / ↓28°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 17 to 22 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,193ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑44° / ↓28°
iconWinds: variable 0 to 8 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑42° / ↓28°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 29 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑44° / ↓36°
Skies
Cloudy into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 32 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,193ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature28°
  • Soil Low Temperature25°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature25°
  • Soil Low Temperature22°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature25°
  • Soil Low Temperature20°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature25°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature30°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart