Holiday Valley Resort ↑26° ↓11° Forecast:   2" Base:   16"
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Swain Resort 45 mi

Swain Resort
Today's Forecast
↑26° ↓11°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓25° / ↑10°
  • Humidity↓89% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Cloudy through the morning, and then overcast becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be 1 to 2 inches in the early morning followed by another trace before noon and a dusting in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.06 to 0.28 inches
Winds NW 12 to 23 mph through the morning shifting to NW 13 to 25 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 30 mph. Expected wind chill to be -12 to 11 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 19th
↑16° ↓6°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓11° / ↑6°
  • Humidity↓75% / ↑100%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Mostly cloudy through the morning, and then partly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening.
None expected throughout the day.
No precipitation expected.
Winds W 11 to 22 mph through the morning shifting to SW 10 to 21 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 24 mph. Wind chill expected to be -18 to -3 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 20th
↑37° ↓17°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓35° / ↑6°
  • Humidity↓63% / ↑94%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Cloudy throughout the day. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount before noon and a trace in the afternoon followed by another 1 to 2 inches later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.13 to 0.65 inches
Winds SE 30 to 42 mph through the morning becoming S 38 to 50 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 63 mph. Wind chill expected to be -1 to 18 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 21st
↑44° ↓24°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓44° / ↑23°
  • Humidity↓83% / ↑98%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Cloudy through the morning, and then overcast becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace before noon and a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.38 inches
Winds W 37 to 49 mph through the morning shifting to NW 10 to 21 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 53 mph. Wind chill expected to be 6 to 28 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 22nd
↑32° ↓23°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓24° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓74% / ↑98%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Overcast becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
No snow throughout the day.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds W 5 to 14 mph through the morning becoming variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 15 mph. Wind chill expected to be 8 to 20 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 23rd
↑42° ↓30°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓35° / ↑23°
  • Humidity↓74% / ↑97%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Cloudy throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the evening.
No precipitation expected.
Winds variable at 0 to 8 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 15 to 30 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update18 Feb @ 07:02
  • Snow Past 24 hrs4"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs4"
  • Season Total148"
  • Average Base Depth16 to 45"
  • Today's Snow Potential2"
Comments
6in, past 4 days. Snow surface is machine groomed and packed powder
  • High Lift Elevation2,250ft
  • Base Elevation1,500ft
  • Vertical Drop750ft
  • Longest Trail4400
  • Trails51 of 60
  • Lifts12 of 13
  • Acreage247 of 295 ( 85% )
  • Downhill Miles30of38
  • Night Skiing9 lifts/9 trails open
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails51 ( 85% )
  • Cross Country Area6
  • Tubingyes
  • Tubing Hours4:30p-9p
19°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity68%
  • Dewpoint10°
  • SustainedW 6mph
  • GustingW 0mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
A Few Clouds
Location
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY
  • Elevation1,299ft
  • UpdatedFeb 18 @ 06:14
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • City: Ellicotteville
  • State: New York
  • Country: United States
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Expanded Outlook

Monday
↑26° / ↓11°
iconWinds: NW 12 to 23 mph, then NW 13 to 25 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
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AM

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↑26° / ↓18°
Skies
Overcast through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 1 to 2 inches in the early morning, then another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.23 inches
Winds
Morning winds NW 12 to 23 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. Expected wind chill to be -1 to 11 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑19° / ↓11°
Skies
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds NW 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Expected wind chill to be -12 to 0 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,950ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑16° / ↓6°
iconWinds: W 11 to 22 mph, then SW 10 to 21 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑12° / ↓6°
Skies
Mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds W 11 to 22 mph with gusts up to 24 mph. Wind chill expected to be -18 to -8 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑16° / ↓12°
Skies
Partly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Wind chill expected to be -8 to -3 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,950ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑37° / ↓17°
iconWinds: SE 30 to 42 mph, then S 38 to 50 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
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AM

icon
↑26° / ↓17°
Skies
Overcast before noon.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Morning winds SE 30 to 42 mph with gusts up to 43 mph. Expected wind chill to be -1 to 7 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓26°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the afternoon, then another 1 to 2 inches into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.13 to 0.63 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds S 38 to 50 mph with gusts up to 63 mph. Expected wind chill to be 3 to 18 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,950ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑44° / ↓24°
iconWinds: W 37 to 49 mph, then NW 10 to 21 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑44° / ↓34°
Skies
Overcast before noon. Chance of rain after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.06 to 0.3 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 37 to 49 mph with gusts up to 53 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 28 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑34° / ↓24°
Skies
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds NW 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 14 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,950ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑32° / ↓23°
iconWinds: W 5 to 14 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑30° / ↓23°
Skies
Overcast becoming partly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds W 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 15 mph. Expected wind chill to be 8 to 18 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓28°
Skies
Partly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 15 to 20 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,950ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑42° / ↓30°
iconWinds: variable 0 to 8 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑40° / ↓30°
Skies
Overcast through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 15 to 28 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑42° / ↓36°
Skies
Cloudy into the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace into the evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 21 to 30 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,950ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature28°
  • Soil Low Temperature26°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature26°
  • Soil Low Temperature22°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature26°
  • Soil Low Temperature21°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature27°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature29°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart