Toggenburg Mountain ↑37° ↓27° Forecast:   0" Base:   16"
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Today's Forecast
↑37° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓30° / ↑26°
  • Humidity↓74% / ↑93%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning, then another dusting before noon and a dusting in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds W 19 to 31 mph through the morning shifting to W 19 to 31 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 34 mph. Wind chill expected to be 3 to 19 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 22nd
↑30° ↓24°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓79% / ↑92%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds into the evening.
No snow.
No precipitation expected.
Winds NW 8 to 19 mph through the morning becoming W 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 24 mph. Expected wind chill to be 2 to 10 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 23rd
↑38° ↓22°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓24° / ↑23°
  • Humidity↓68% / ↑87%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Clear becoming overcast through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snowfall expected to be a dusting into the evening.
No precipitation expected throughout the day.
Winds S 10 to 21 mph through the morning shifting to S 21 to 33 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 37 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 19 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 24th
↑51° ↓35°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓40° / ↑29°
  • Humidity↓67% / ↑92%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then overcast becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain after daylight and then rain in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Flurries possible throughout the day.
Potential Precip: 0.13 to 0.65 inches
Winds S 21 to 33 mph through the morning shifting to W 29 to 41 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 73 mph. Expected wind chill to be 10 to 39 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 25th
↑30° ↓18°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓16° / ↑11°
  • Humidity↓60% / ↑74%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Cloudy through the morning, and then overcast becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning, then another trace amount before noon and a dusting in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds W 30 to 42 mph through the morning becoming NW 10 to 21 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 55 mph. Expected wind chill to be -12 to 8 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 26th
↑28° ↓10°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓10° / ↑1°
  • Humidity↓47% / ↑80%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming clear through the morning, and then clear becoming mostly cloudy into the evening.
No snow.
None expected.
Winds NW 5 to 14 mph through the morning becoming variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be -15 to 11 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update21 Feb @ 11:02
  • Snow Past 24 hrs1"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs1"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth16 to 32"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
12in, past 5 days. Snow surface is machine groomed and packed powder
  • High Lift Elevation1,970ft
  • Base Elevation1,270ft
  • Vertical Drop700ft
  • Longest Trail1 miles
  • Trails16 of 25
  • Lifts5 of 5
  • Acreage0 of 85 ( 64% )
  • Night Skiing5 lifts/5 trails open
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone Available
37°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity65%
  • Dewpoint27°
  • SustainedNW 12mph
  • GustingNW 17mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
Fair
Location
Cortland County-Chase Field, NY
  • Elevation1,296ft
  • UpdatedFeb 21 @ 04:14
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • City: Fabius
  • State: New York
  • Country: United States
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Expanded Outlook

Thursday
↑37° / ↓27°
iconWinds: W 19 to 31 mph, then W 19 to 31 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑36° / ↓33°
Skies
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain and snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 19 to 31 mph with gusts up to 34 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 19 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑34° / ↓27°
Skies
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds W 19 to 31 mph with gusts up to 39 mph. Wind chill expected to be 3 to 13 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,451ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑30° / ↓24°
iconWinds: NW 8 to 19 mph, then W 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑27° / ↓25°
Skies
Mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds NW 8 to 19 mph with gusts up to 24 mph. Expected wind chill to be 2 to 9 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓24°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 8 to 10 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,451ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑38° / ↓22°
iconWinds: S 10 to 21 mph, then S 21 to 33 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑31° / ↓22°
Skies
Clear becoming cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds S 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Expected wind chill to be 9 to 15 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓34°
Skies
Cloudy into the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace into the evening.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 21 to 33 mph with gusts up to 37 mph. Expected wind chill to be 13 to 19 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,451ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑51° / ↓35°
iconWinds: S 21 to 33 mph, then W 29 to 41 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑47° / ↓39°
Skies
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain after daylight.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.6 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 21 to 33 mph with gusts up to 63 mph. Expected wind chill to be 17 to 39 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑46° / ↓35°
Skies
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain in the afternoon and then rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds W 29 to 41 mph with gusts up to 73 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 39 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,451ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑30° / ↓18°
iconWinds: W 30 to 42 mph, then NW 10 to 21 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑29° / ↓24°
Skies
Cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning, then another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 30 to 42 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. Expected wind chill to be -3 to 8 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑23° / ↓18°
Skies
Cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds NW 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Expected wind chill to be -12 to -3 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,451ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑28° / ↓10°
iconWinds: NW 5 to 14 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑15° / ↓10°
Skies
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming clear before noon.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds NW 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be -15 to 7 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑25° / ↓22°
Skies
Clear becoming mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 4 to 11 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,451ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature23°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature27°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature25°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature37°
  • Soil Low Temperature28°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature34°
  • Soil Low Temperature28°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart