Bogus Basin ↑48° ↓28° Forecast:   0" Base:   81"
All Maps
Bogus Basin close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,340ft
Temperature: 32°
Snow Depth: 82"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Mores Creek Summit close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,100ft
Temperature: 26°
Snow Depth: 92"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Today's Forecast
↑48° ↓28°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓22° / ↑19°
  • Humidity↓37% / ↑67%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Partly cloudy and milder with increasing south winds due to an incoming storm for Tuesday-Thursday.
None expected.
None expected.
Winds SE 5 to 15 mph through the morning becoming SW 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 40 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 26th
↑38° ↓31°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓28° / ↑20°
  • Humidity↓43% / ↑89%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow4"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Overcast throughout the day with snow off and on morning through overnight. Snow levels should not be an issue. Winds become gusty.
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 4 inches at the base, and 4 to 6 inches on the upper mountain.
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.7 inches
Winds SE 10 to 20 mph through the morning shifting to SW at 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 35 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 27th
↑32° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓33° / ↑16°
  • Humidity↓47% / ↑94%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow5"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Overcast with periods of snow throughout the day, and lower snow levels as colder air moves in. Significant snow is possible.
Snowfall expected to be 4 to 7 inches.
No Forecasts Available
Winds S at 5 to 15 mph through the morning shifting to SW at 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 35 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 28th
↑28° ↓20°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓23° / ↑16°
  • Humidity↓57% / ↑93%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow3"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Cloudy through the afternoon with snow showers, mostly ending afterward. Colder temperatures are expected.
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 4 inches.
No Forecasts Available
Winds W at 5 to 15 mph through the morning becoming N at 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 25 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 29th
↑31° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓23° / ↑17°
  • Humidity↓60% / ↑88%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow3"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the early morning, then another trace before noon and a dusting in the afternoon, then another trace amount later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.53 inches
Winds NW 9 to 20 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be 10 to 21 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 30th
↑36° ↓30°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓22° / ↑16°
  • Humidity↓45% / ↑78%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow after daylight and then snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount before noon and a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds variable at 0 to 8 mph through the morning becoming variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 17 to 22 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update24 Mar @ 07:03
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs2"
  • Season Total217"
  • Average Base Depth81 to 86"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
2in, past 3 days. Snow surface is powder and machine groomed
  • High Lift Elevation7,600ft
  • Base Elevation5,800ft
  • Vertical Drop1,800ft
  • Longest Trail1.5mi
  • Trails93 of 93
  • Lifts9 of 11
  • Acreage2600 of 2600 ( 100% )
  • Downhill Miles27of27
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails29 ( 31% )
  • Cross Country Area20
  • Tubingyes
  • Tubing Hours9-4:30
26°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity77%
  • Dewpoint26°
  • Sustained 0mph
  • Gusting 0mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow Depth92"
Comments
Unreported
Location
BOGUS BASIN, ID
  • Elevation6,100ft
  • UpdatedMar 25 @ 10:04
26°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity77%
  • Dewpoint26°
  • Sustained 0mph
  • Gusting 0mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow Depth92"
Comments
Unreported
Location
BOGUS BASIN, ID
  • Elevation6,100ft
  • UpdatedMar 25 @ 10:04
Top
Base
SnowCam 6,340'
SnowCam 6,340'
Base Area
Base Area
Coaster
Coaster
Contact
Location
  • City: Boise
  • State: Idaho
  • Country: United States
Bogus Basin Discussion
YESTERDAY: "NA"

TODAY we expect an incoming storm with increasing winds and milder temperatures. 

Tuesday through Thursday (March 26th-28th) the offshore low moves in slowly, with strong dynamics and more moisture to act on and produce snowfall, likely heavy with some powder days. CM (more detail is being added this morning (Mar 25th)

LONG RANGE: (still on track from weeks ago, just starting 2 days later and ending 1 day later) "More snow moves in for the 23rd - 27th (March)". High pressure ridging builds in for a sunny and awesome last weekend in March! After some of the significant recent snows we have predicted. Frequently unsettled and "snowy" conditions are expected for early April across resort elevations of the Pacific Northwest and northwest US. In fact, much of the spring may be a bit cooler and more snowy than usual, into May and even June. Our snowpack is looking great, and this should bode well for summer activities and the environment, our forests. Winter is not over yet! CM
Where to be for the best snow this weekend! (8-10th Feb)
WHERE TO BE IN THE WESTERN USA THIS WEEKEND!

Here is our early forecast for this weekend...

Hands-down, Tahoe – Mammoth will be the winner in terms of snow all through this weekend, with NO snow level issues, in fact dry and cold powder is what we mostly expect, especially on Sunday...

We are expecting two storms to move through, the first of which will be the weaker of the two, and will also be faster moving one, mainly a wave out ahead of the main storm to hit Saturday and Sunday.

It looks like the snow will begin flying again mainly Friday afternoon through overnight, with 6 to 10 inches of fresh snow forecast to be on the ground for the Saturday morning snow report, for favored resorts across Northern Tahoe like Sugar Bowl and Squaw-Alpine, and 3 to 6 inches of snow for other areas.

Friday, First storm, GFS Snow Accumulation by Saturday 4am based on a 1:10 water to snow ratio, whereas the water to snow ratio will be closer to 1:15 (more snow than shown on this map, is what is expected by the Saturday morning snow report)...

Screen Shot 2019-02-06 at 14.03.38

A stronger and larger scale, slower moving, and offshore positioning storm system starts dropping in from out of the north, located offshore, looking stronger/ colder, more dynamic, and dropping heavy snow Saturday and Sunday, basically ALL weekend long! We expect to see  10  to 18 inches of snow each day all across Tahoe-Mammoth, for a total of 2 (south Tahoe, Mammoth) to 3+ (north Tahoe) feet of extra snow expected this weekend! Saturday and Sunday!

Friday through Sunday, 2 storms, GFS Snow Accumulation by Sunday 4pm (close of business for most resorts on Sunday) based on a 1:10 water to snow ratio, whereas the water to snow ratio will be closer to 1:15 and even 1:20 (possibly MUCH more snow than shown on this map, is what is expected by the Sunday afternoon at 4pm! The snow will continue through Monday morning, so show up Monday if you like less crowds, DEEP and Fresh snow, and sunshine! Cold-smoke, No-joke powder! (on top of deep bases!)

Screen Shot 2019-02-06 at 14.47.22

Combined with the snow that has already fallen across Tahoe-Mammoth in recent weeks, conditions will be amazing this weekend! In fact, we are expecting no snow level issues whatsoever, and even a drier/ colder cold-smoke powder, especially on Sunday. If you are just looking for the best and deepest snow, Tahoe-Mammoth is going to be the place out west, this coming weekend! Resorts like Sugar Bowl will be favored with these storms, as they lie more westward than most, and will take up the bulk of available moisture and thus snowfall! Enjoy!!

12Z-20190206_GFSUS_prec_kuchsnow-48-123-10-100(Check out the bulls-eye of heavy snow from Tahoe to southern Idaho)

Here is a video I put together explaining how moisture and dynamics are looking:



Meteorologist- CM
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Mountain Summit Forecast

Monday
↑44° / ↓29°
iconWinds: SE 19 to 31 mph, then S 17 to 29 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑38° / ↓29°
Skies
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top SE 19 to 31 mph with gusts up to 39 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 15 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑40° / ↓33°
Skies
Cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the afternoon followed by another dusting in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 17 to 29 mph with gusts up to 36 mph. Wind chill expected to be 15 to 23 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,600ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑39° / ↓27°
iconWinds: W 13 to 25 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓27°
Skies
Overcast through the morning. Chance of rain and snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the early morning, then another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 28 mph. Expected wind chill to be 4 to 21 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓28°
Skies
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 2 to 17 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,600ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑34° / ↓28°
iconWinds: SW 13 to 25 mph, then W 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 5"
icon

AM

icon
↑33° / ↓29°
Skies
Cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 1 to 2 inches in the early morning, then another 1 to 2 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.13 to 0.65 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 31 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 16 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓29°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon followed by another trace later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.58 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 12 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,600ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑32° / ↓26°
iconWinds: W 8 to 17 mph, then NW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 6"
icon

AM

icon
↑31° / ↓26°
Skies
Cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 2 to 3 inches in the early morning followed by another 2 to 4 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.13 to 0.65 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 11 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓26°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon followed by another trace amount into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.4 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top NW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 11 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,600ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑33° / ↓26°
iconWinds: NW 7 to 16 mph, then NW 5 to 14 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑31° / ↓26°
Skies
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top NW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 13 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑31° / ↓27°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon, then another trace amount into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.23 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top NW 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 16 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,600ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑34° / ↓27°
iconWinds: W 4 to 13 mph, then NW 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑32° / ↓27°
Skies
Clear through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 9 to 13 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓31°
Skies
Clear into the evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top NW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 12 to 13 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,600ft
temperature graph

Mountain Base Forecast

Monday
↑48° / ↓28°
iconWinds: SE 5 to 15 mph, then W 20 to 30 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑36° / ↓32°
Skies
Partly cloudy and milder with increasing south winds due to an incoming storm for Tuesday-Thursday.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds SE 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓33°
Skies
Partly cloudy and milder with increasing south winds due to an incoming storm for Tuesday-Thursday.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds W 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 5,800ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑38° / ↓31°
iconWinds: SE 10 to 20 mph, then N 15 to 25 mph
iconForecast Snow: 4"
icon

AM

icon
↑33° / ↓31°
Skies
Overcast throughout the day with snow off and on morning through overnight. Snow levels should not be an issue. Winds become gusty.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 4 inches at the base, and 4 to 6 inches on the upper mountain.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds
Morning winds SE 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓32°
Skies
Overcast throughout the day with snow off and on morning through overnight. Snow levels should not be an issue. Winds become gusty.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 4 inches at the base, and 4 to 6 inches on the upper mountain.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.53 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 5,800ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑32° / ↓26°
iconWinds: N 5 to 15 mph, then N 15 to 25 mph
iconForecast Snow: 5"
icon

AM

icon
↑35° / ↓34°
Skies
Overcast with periods of snow, and lower snow levels as colder air moves in. Significant snow is possible.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 4 to 7 inches.
Precipitation
No Forecasts Available
Winds
Morning winds S at 5 to 15 gusts to 25 mph.

PM

icon
↑36° / ↓31°
Skies
Overcast with periods of snow, and lower snow levels as colder air moves in. Significant snow is possible.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 4 to 7 inches.
Precipitation
No Forecasts Available
Winds
Afternoon winds SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 5,800ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑28° / ↓20°
iconWinds: N 5 to 15 mph, then N 10 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 3"
icon

AM

icon
↑27° / ↓25°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon with snow showers, mostly ending afterward. Colder temperatures are expected.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 4 inches.
Precipitation
No Forecasts Available
Winds
Morning winds W at 5 to 15 mph.

PM

icon
↑28° / ↓27°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon with snow showers, mostly ending afterward. Colder temperatures are expected.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 4 inches.
Precipitation
No Forecasts Available
Winds
Afternoon winds N at 10 to 20 gusts 30 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 5,800ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑37° / ↓28°
iconWinds: NW 7 to 16 mph, then NW 5 to 14 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑33° / ↓28°
Skies
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base NW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 16 to 23 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓31°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon and then rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the afternoon followed by another trace in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.23 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base NW 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 22 to 25 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 5,800ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑38° / ↓29°
iconWinds: W 4 to 13 mph, then NW 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑35° / ↓29°
Skies
Clear before noon.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 17 to 21 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓36°
Skies
Clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base NW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 24 to 25 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 5,800ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature34°
  • Soil Low Temperature33°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature33°
  • Soil Low Temperature33°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature35°
  • Soil Low Temperature33°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature39°
  • Soil Low Temperature34°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature37°
  • Soil Low Temperature36°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart