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Bretton Woods Ski Area (Base: 1,600', Top: 3,100')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Saturday, March 13, 2010

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Low pressure is right on our doorstep!  It still looks like mostly rain with this system but we may be able to get some snow/icy raindrops mixing in on Sunday.  We turn dry and mild again when we clear this latest storm early next week.
 
Today and Sunday--Cut-off low pressure slows up as it pulls closer to us and keeps a moist southerly flow with an increasing chance of some rain.  The good news is, is that most of the rain may hold JUST to our south across MA today.  Southeasterly winds will be picking up keeping the cloud cover locked in.   Southernmost resorts (Crotched thru Pats Peak) could see some light rain sneak in late in the day but northern areas may escape with a dry but mainly cloudy day.  The best chance of rain will be tonight through Sunday as the edge of the rain shield edges in from the south a bit more.  Expect winds to continue through Sunday things get a little sloppy--heaviest rain still for southern most resorts while northern areas catch mainly light rain.  Snow levels look to stay up around 6000 feet though most of the weekend but we are actually looking at the possibility of it dipping low enough to get some wet snow (summit mainly) on Sunday...perhaps a few inches.  Since peripheral moisture will be light in the coldest air (northern resorts Waterville thru Balsams), accumulations are not expected to be much, and again, mainly for the summit. 
 
Monday--Lingering low pressure will start pulling away out to sea Monday with decreasing clouds and light rain/mixing from overnight ending as some light snow in the morning.  We could see a coating to a couple of inches as cooling aloft brings snow levels back down to base level early in the day.  The afternoon clears out with winds shifting more northerly.
 
Tuesday thru Thursday--A dry northwesterly flow sets up as the upper level pattern remains split overhead--part of the jet stream just to our north and the southern jet stream way to our south with some troughing across the Gulf Coast--too far away from us.  We'll be in between with calm and dry conditions through midweek--CT
Saturday
Mar 13, 2010

Cloudy with a good chance of occassional light/moderate rain--breezy and mild with elevated snow levels

Hi 41°f / 5°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Cloudy with a good chance of occassional light/moderate rain--breezy and mild with elevated snow levels

Precipitation:
70-80% chance of occassional rain--snow levels look too high for snow (perhaps only for the summit)

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
S-SE winds 10-15mph...gusty up top 35-45mph with higher gusts possible

Sunday
Mar 14, 2010

Still looking wet with occassional rain (heavy at times?)--snow levels remain high--still windy

Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Still looking wet with occassional rain (heavy at times?)--snow levels remain high--still windy

Precipitation:
60-70% chance of occassional rain

Snow Potential
Snow not expected--snow levels remain high

Wind:
SE-E around 10-20mph at the base...40-50mph summit winds

Monday
Mar 15, 2010

Some residual clouds and light snow showers tapering off to some clearing--cooler and breezy

Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Some residual clouds and light snow showers tapering off to some clearing--cooler and breezy

Precipitation:
30% chance of light rain showers (summit snow showers)

Snow Potential
A summit coating possible?

Wind:
N-NE base breezes around 10mph...20-30mph summit winds

Tuesday
Mar 16, 2010

Mostly Sunny

Hi 49°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 5 mph.

Wednesday
Mar 17, 2010

Mostly Sunny

Hi 48°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WNW at up to 10 mph.

Thursday
Mar 18, 2010

Slight Chance of Light Snow

Hi 49°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow

Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 15 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 19 to 22

A slow moving pattern with cut-off low pressure from the weekend tends to work its way out to sea.  A more calm and quiet pattern settles in for much of next week--high pressure ridging works in more or less for dry conditions and mild temperatures--CT



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