Jay Peak (Base: 1,815', Top: 3,968')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, March 22, 2010***Become a fan on our Facebook page (with a LOT more fan interaction) and look for more giveaways!!!***
OVERALL SITUATION--The sunny stretch starts coming to an end with variable conditions this week. Low pressure works in from the southwest with a bout of rain early this week--some snow is possible as it moves away through midweek but not much. Upper level troughing dips down towards us later in the week with much colder temps and possibly light chances of snow showers.
Today and Tuesday--Low pressure will still be slow to arrive today--continued cloudiness from Sunday's cold front sticks around through the day and still with only light moisture avaialbe for some light raindrops/sprinkles. Some summit snow showers/flurries are still possible (northernmost resorts) but snow levels look to remain up around 6000 feet. Low pressure from the south starts to move in late and overnight with increasing moisture and rainfall (mainly overnight). Easterly winds wrap into us as low pressure pulls into us from the south--heavier pockets of rain are expected during the day (heaviest PM/eve)...about 1-2" of rain are possible which will again threaten the snowpack....snow levels still pretty high for snow with colder air mixing in...an icy mix is possible for northernmost resorts later on Tuesday. Look for a gradual changeover to snow as the backedge of this storm pulls through overnight and into Wed.
Wednesday--Low pressure slowly moves away with rain ending as some snow early followed by partial clearing. Winds shift around to the north-northwest helping to dry things out. Temps rebound slightly too.
Thursday--Upper level troughing to our north starts to dip towards us. A surge of colder air (cold front) pushes in with more cloudiness and some isolated to scattered showers....temps look cold enough for mainly summit snow showers so some light summit accumulations are possible.
Friday--Troughing settles in from the north bringing a secondary surge of cold air dropping our temps even more along with some clouds and snow showers. Moisture with this looks minimal (coming from a dry source region) so accumulations are expected to be very light if any. Chilly winds kick in too.
Saturday--The trough will be slow to leave (downstream blocking slows it up) so we'll remain mostly dry but windy and chilly--CT
Monday Mar 22, 2010
Hi 42°f / 6°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Still cloudy and cool--mainly light occassional rain showers during the day...a bit steadier/heavier late and mainly overnight--snow levels look too high (6000')--shifting light breezes
Precipitation:
50-60% chance of mainly occassional light rain/showers at times during the day--turning steadier and heavier late/overnight
Snow Potential
Snow levels look too high (around 6000 feet)
Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...summit breezes shifting SW to SE at only 15-20mph
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Tuesday Mar 23, 2010
Hi 36°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Remaining cold and unsettled--heavier pockets of rain and gustier winds--varying snow levels with an icy mix at times
Precipitation:
70-80% chance of mainly rain (moderate to possibly heavy)...varying snow levels with possible icy mix
Snow Potential
Some summit snow possible...icy/rainy mix may keep accumulations low...3-6" possible for the summit, mainly overnight
Wind:
Stronger E-NE winds 10-15mph at the base...summit winds 30-40mph with higher gusts
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Wednesday Mar 24, 2010
Hi 36°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Lingering clouds with snow showers through most of the day--colder and windy
Precipitation:
50-60% chance of mainly light occassional snow showers through the day
Snow Potential
Light additional accumulations of 1-4" possible
Wind:
NW base breezes 5-10mph...25-35mph up top
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Thursday Mar 25, 2010
Hi 28°f / -2°c (base)
Lo 8°f / -13°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy--a few light isolated rain showers/summit snow showers
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of a few isolated rain showers/summit snow showers
Snow Potential
Accumulations not expected
Wind:
NW base breezes 10-15mph...30-40mph up top
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Friday Mar 26, 2010
Hi 19°f / -7°c (base)
Lo 5°f / -15°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Turning colder and windier with a batch of isolated to scattered snow showers
Precipitation:
40% chance of a round of scattered snow showers
Snow Potential
A quick trace to an inch or two possible
Wind:
Winds shifting NW at 15-20mph at the base...35-40mph with higher gusts
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Saturday Mar 27, 2010
Hi 23°f / -5°c (base)
Lo 5°f / -15°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Still windy and dry but not as cold
Precipitation:
Looking dry
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
Still W-NW winds at 10-15mph at the base...30-40mph summit winds
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Long range forecast / discussion...March 28 to 31We'll be watching the potential for some storminess approaching (another upper level trough from the northwest) just after the weekend which could bring us a round of wind, snow and some rain--we'll be watching this very closely for around the Monday/Tuesday timeframe--CT
