Pajarito Mountain (Base: 9,200', Top: 10,411')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, March 15, 2010Our reputation for customized, skier/boarder friendly forecasts is growing but we still need to get the word out to keep us going for next season. Please contact your favorite resort and put in a good word for us!
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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 8,500 feet (Red River): Low 15, High 45 (Highest ~ 65 in 2007, Lowest ~ (-)23 in 1962)
-At 9,200 feet (Near base elevation for Taos Resort); Low 16, High 41
-At 12,000 feet (Near the top elevation of some resorts); Low 07, High 31
:::SNOW, THEN CLEARING:::
SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR MONDAY, MARCH 15th at 2:59am...Today -> SNOW, THEN CLEARING; Low pressure moves out during the day, with snow showers becoming much lighter and more spotty, mixed with sun. Skies become partly cloudy later today.
Tuesday and Wednesday -> PARTLY CLOUDY/ MOSTLY SUNNY; A high pressure ridge builds in from the west and south, with mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures. Not much wind is expected. Later Wednesday, low pressure drops into the northwest US, with high clouds increasing (the sun is usually just filtered through the high clouds, but still shining). Wednesday should be the warmest day.
Thurday and Friday -> SNOW DEVELOPING ON FRIDAY; A low pressure system moves in with a strong northwest oriented jet stream (not favorable for Taos Ski Valley), and increasing winds develop on Thursday. On Friday snow develops as the low pressure system and jet stream winds aloft help crank out some light snow. Moisture looks limited which is normal in this pattern, and most energy may be to the north this time.
Saturday and Sunday -> BREAK BETWEEN STORMS/ PARTLY CLOUDY; The pattern remains a bit unsettled as a strong large scale low pressure trough may be developing, with its axis roughly across the Rockies, and centered over Canada. This is what may kick off and extended period of frequent storms across Colorado, favoring northern resorts.
Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM
Monday Mar 15, 2010
Hi 57°f / 14°c (base) Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers
Precipitation:
40% Chance of rain showers (1.27 mm. | 0.05 in.)
Snow Potential
Wind:
ENE at up to 10 mph.
|
Tuesday Mar 16, 2010
Hi 63°f / 17°c (base) Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
NW at up to 5 mph.
|
Wednesday Mar 17, 2010
Hi 63°f / 17°c (base) Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
NW at up to 5 mph.
|
Thursday Mar 18, 2010
Hi 63°f / 17°c (base) Lo 33°f / 1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
W at up to 10 mph.
|
Friday Mar 19, 2010
Hi 60°f / 16°c (base) Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow
Snow Potential
Wind:
NW at up to 20 mph.
|
Saturday Mar 20, 2010
Hi 57°f / 14°c (base) Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
WNW at up to 15 mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...March 21 to 24--Pacific storms start moving through with frequent snow through late March, as large scale low pressure develops across Canada and affects mainly the Rockies and northern plains states. The rest of March and most of April still look potentially snowy.
FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for northern New Mexico. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM