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Pajarito Mountain (Base: 9,200', Top: 10,411')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, March 15, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-
At 8,500 feet (Red River): Low 15, High 45
(Highest ~ 65 in 2007, Lowest ~ (-)23 in 1962)
-At 9,200 feet (Near base elevation for Taos Resort); Low 16, High 41
-At 12,000 feet (Near the top elevation of some resorts); Low 07, High 31 

:::SNOW, THEN CLEARING:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR MONDAY, MARCH 15th at 2:59am...Today -> SNOW, THEN CLEARING; Low pressure moves out during the day, with snow showers becoming much lighter and more spotty, mixed with sun. Skies become partly cloudy later today.

Tuesday and Wednesday -> PARTLY CLOUDY/ MOSTLY SUNNY; A high pressure ridge builds in from the west and south, with mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures. Not much wind is expected. Later Wednesday, low pressure drops into the northwest US, with high clouds increasing (the sun is usually just filtered through the high clouds, but still shining). Wednesday should be the warmest day.

Thurday and Friday -> SNOW DEVELOPING ON FRIDAY; A low pressure system moves in with a strong northwest oriented jet stream (not favorable for Taos Ski Valley), and increasing winds develop on Thursday. On Friday snow develops as the low pressure system and jet stream winds aloft help crank out some light snow. Moisture looks limited which is normal in this pattern, and most energy may be to the north this time.

Saturday and Sunday -> BREAK BETWEEN STORMS/ PARTLY CLOUDY; The pattern remains a bit unsettled as a strong large scale low pressure trough may be developing, with its axis roughly across the Rockies, and centered over Canada. This is what may kick off and extended period of frequent storms across Colorado, favoring northern resorts.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Monday
Mar 15, 2010

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Hi 57°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Precipitation:
40% Chance of rain showers (1.27 mm. | 0.05 in.)

Snow Potential

Wind:
ENE at up to 10 mph.

Tuesday
Mar 16, 2010

Mostly Sunny

Hi 63°f / 17°c (base)
Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 5 mph.

Wednesday
Mar 17, 2010

Mostly Sunny

Hi 63°f / 17°c (base)
Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 5 mph.

Thursday
Mar 18, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 63°f / 17°c (base)
Lo 33°f / 1°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
W at up to 10 mph.

Friday
Mar 19, 2010

Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 60°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow

Snow Potential

Wind:
NW at up to 20 mph.

Saturday
Mar 20, 2010

Partly Cloudy

Hi 57°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WNW at up to 15 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 21 to 24

--Pacific storms start moving through with frequent snow through late March, as large scale low pressure develops across Canada and affects mainly the Rockies and northern plains states. The rest of March and most of April still look potentially snowy.

FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for northern New Mexico. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM

 



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