6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, March 16, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-At 6,230 feet (Tahoe City); Low 22, High 43 (Highest ~ 63 in 2007, Lowest ~ (-)2 in 1977)
-At 8,000 feet (About the base elevation of Kirkwood, "Twin Lakes"); Low 17, High 41

:::SOME HIGH ELEVATION CLOUDS, OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR TUESDAY, MARCH 16th at 6:33am...Today and Wednesday -> Winds increase some and middle/ high clouds move in as low pressure moves in up north, and through the Inland Northwest. High pressure ridging remains strong overhead today, weakening on Wednesday, and temperatures look milder. Spring conditions are likely.

Thursday through Saturday -> It looks like high pressure ridging aloft continues, with slight cooling, but spring-like temperatures (and likely conditions) continuing. Changes are expected next week.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Monday Mar 15, 2010 Hi 60°f / 16°c (base) Lo 31°f / -1°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: NW at up to 10 mph.	Tuesday Mar 16, 2010 Hi 58°f / 14°c (base) Lo 32°f / 0°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: W at up to 5 mph.	Wednesday Mar 17, 2010 Hi 58°f / 14°c (base) Lo 30°f / -1°c (base) Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: W at up to 5 mph.
Thursday Mar 18, 2010 Hi 56°f / 13°c (base) Lo 28°f / -2°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: NE at up to 10 mph.	Friday Mar 19, 2010 Hi 55°f / 13°c (base) Lo 28°f / -2°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: WNW at up to 5 mph.	Saturday Mar 20, 2010 Hi 52°f / 11°c (base) Lo 27°f / -3°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: NW at up to 5 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 21 to 24

--Next week we may have a blocking high pressure ridge over the central Pacific (north through Alaska), with large scale low pressure developing over Canada and sitting there. This would deliver sun at times, and storms dropping in out of the north with limited moisture and drier/ colder/ light snow. This pattern may last for a week (low confidence for now). The last days of March, and April should be a good spring period for snow (and will be interesting) as the pattern remains unsettled most of the time, broken up by brief periods of high pressure ridging (mostly sunny and milder). We should see above average extra snow pack in the Sierra Nevada Mountains (not totaled for the winter, but the additional March and April snow). One thing about an El Nino year; The spring showers usually carry on well into May. Our El Nino pattern is weakening however, and many are talking about a La Nina sea surface temperature event for the next season. It is never cut and dry in the world of weather! We will watch and update as we get closer.

--WINTER 09-10' OUTLOOK FROM OCTOBER; For the Tahoe region, we expect heavier than average snowfall, with most of it from January 1st onward, though we do expect some heavy snow to start falling this month and in December. Temperatures are expected to be near average, with some wide variations and extreme cold spells. We will be adding more detail to this as we go along. CM