6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Wednesday, March 10, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 6,230 feet (Tahoe City); Low 21, High 41 (Highest ~ 60 in 1910, Lowest ~ (-)2 in 1951)
-At 8,000 feet (About the base elevation of Kirkwood, "Twin Lakes"); Low 16, High 40

:::LIGHT SNOW THIS MORNING, THEN CLEARING:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10th at 6:38am...Today -> Low pressure moves to the southeast, leaving an unsettled northwest/ north flow aloft, with continued clouds and some light snow showers, mainly in the morning, then clearing out in the afternoon.

Thursday -> High pressure ridging builds in, with milder temperatures under mostly sunny skies.

Friday and Saturday -> The pattern becomes unsettled again later Friday with an approaching storm. Light snow begins Friday night, and continues into early Saturday as low presure moves through. These systems favor areas to the north as the jet stream carries them mainly through the Pacific Northwest. Skies may be clearing out after the morning hours on Saturday.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Thursday Mar 11, 2010 Hi 44°f / 29°f (base/top) Lo 6°f / 18°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Partly cloudy and milder (after a cold morning) with mostly light winds. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Wind: Variable at 4 to 12mph. Winds above 9,000 feet; W at 10 to 20mph.	Friday Mar 12, 2010 Hi 48°f / 37°f (base/top) Lo 20°f / 25°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Partly cloudy and milder, with increasing west winds and cooler air moving in late day. Light snow is possible in the evening/ overnight. Precipitation: 40% chance for snow late. Snow Potential 2 to 4 inches of snowfall late. Wind: Increasing to S/ SW at 10 to 20mph. Winds above 9,000 feet; SW at 20 to 30 gusts to 45mph.	Saturday Mar 13, 2010 Hi 42°f / 28°f (base/top) Lo 25°f / 17°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Clouds and light snow early clears to partly cloudy skies by afternoon or sooner. Precipitation: 40% chance for show in the morning. Snow Potential 1 inch of additional snowfall. Wind: W at 10 to 20mph. Winds above 9,000 feet; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.
Sunday Mar 14, 2010 Hi 44°f / 7°c (base) Lo 29°f / -2°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: ESE at up to 5 mph.	Monday Mar 15, 2010 Hi 52°f / 11°c (base) Lo 30°f / -1°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: SW at up to 15 mph.	Tuesday Mar 16, 2010 Hi 53°f / 12°c (base) Lo 32°f / 0°c (base) Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: SW at up to 25 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 15 to 18

--Sunday (14th) we see high pressure ridging aloft for some sunshine and milder temperatures. Next Monday we see low pressure moving in off the Pacific for more snowfall, with more storms moving in that week. The rest of March, and April should be a good spring period for snow as the pattern remains unsettled most of the time, broken up by brief periods of high pressure ridging (mostly sunny and milder). We should see above average extra snowpack in the Sierra Nevada Mountains (not totaled for the winter, but the additional March and April snow).

--WINTER OUTLOOK FROM OCTOBER; For the Tahoe region, we expect heavier than average snowfall, with most of it from January 1st onward, though we do expect some heavy snow to start falling this month and in December. Temperatures are expected to be near average, with some wide variations and extreme cold spells. We will be adding more detail to this as we go along. CM