Shames Mountain ↑40° ↓37° Forecast:   0" Base:   1"
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Today's Forecast
↑40° ↓37°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓34° / ↑30°
  • Humidity↓73% / ↑87%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Mostly cloudy before noon and then mostly cloudy later into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon.
Flurries possible throughout the day.
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 13 mph. Expected wind chill to be 28 to 32 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 11th
↑43° ↓38°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓37° / ↑32°
  • Humidity↓76% / ↑88%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Flurries possible.
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds S 5 to 14 mph through the morning becoming variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 29 to 34 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 12th
↑40° ↓34°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓35° / ↑29°
  • Humidity↓79% / ↑91%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Mostly cloudy through the morning, and then overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snowfall expected to be 1 to 2 inches before noon.
Potential Precip: 0.25 to 1.23 inches
Winds E 5 to 14 mph through the morning shifting to S 9 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be 23 to 31 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 13th
↑39° ↓30°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓32° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓76% / ↑82%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace before noon.
Potential Precip: 0.09 to 0.45 inches
Winds S 5 to 14 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 2 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 28 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 14th
↑29° ↓18°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓20° / ↑1°
  • Humidity↓52% / ↑79%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then clear through the afternoon and evening.
No snow.
None expected.
Winds variable at 2 to 10 mph through the morning becoming variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 13 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 23 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 15th
↑26° ↓16°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓18° / ↑-1°
  • Humidity↓50% / ↑81%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Clear becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds variable at 0 to 8 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 5 to 15 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update05 Dec @ 10:12
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth( Estimate ) 1"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
None Reported
  • High Lift Elevation3900
  • Base Elevation2300
  • Vertical Drop2,010ft
  • Longest Trail8,448ft
  • Trails0 of 20
  • Lifts0 of 3
  • Acreage0 of 133 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone Available
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • City: Terrace
  • State: British Columbia
  • Country: Canada
December 02, 2018 - Southwest Canada (BC and Alberta) Long Range Weather Outlook
Some snow lingers across southeast BC (including Revelstoke MR) this morning, but clears out in dry north winds today (Monday), then, No storms, CHILLY, high pressure ridge across western Canada, sunshine for the mountain, but good snow-preserving COLD air under a north/ northwest flow of winds overhead and across the mountain.

HOW DID WE DO (please contact chris@snowforecast.com or comment below)? Let us know please... This is what we WERE forecasting for opening weekend: "Friday (opening day at the stoke) through the weekend, we expect storm energy to track just to the south while a high pressure ridge starts building in over western Canada, with most snow hitting the Pacific Northwest of the US, some occasional snow for the mid and lower mountain areas in southwest Canada, in much COLDER air as it is dragged out of the north. You will see most of the sunshine on the upper mountain. I say expect some nice but much colder conditions and sunshine mixed with clouds, mostly in the valley and base areas, for this weekend (bring some layers)!"

GREAT START AND WHAT IS COMING THIS COMING WEEK:
-What a season start! The snow and conditions have been amazing! For this week: Some snow lingers across southeast BC (including Revelstoke MR) this morning, but clears out in dry north winds today (Monday), then, No storms, CHILLY, high pressure ridge across western Canada, sunshine for the mountain, but good snow-preserving COLD air under a north/ northwest flow of winds overhead and across the mountain. Some "Alberta Clipper" type low pressure systems may clip the area with some clouds and light snow showers at times, mainly mid-week... (see animation of GFS snow potential, below)

Here is Revelstoke buried under, now 357cm (141") of snowfall to date!
A-skier-skins-up-on-a-stormy-day-in-the-Monashees-640x360

Here is the snow outlook from the GFS, for this coming week and coming weekend of December 3rd - 9th... Notice the snow clipping the BC/ AB border around Wednesday (Tuesday night through Wednesday night).

18Z-20181202_GFSWCAN_prec_kuchsnow24-3-174-30-200

LONGER RANGE:
It looks like El Nino is not an official anomaly yet, as I expected in my September LR forecast, so we are in an ENSO Neutral phase, though in the latest update from NOAA, we are seeing warming waters, still a weak El Nino at best. From the last update: "Next week we expect lots more sunshine on the mountain with some fog at times in the valley areas, ALL next week." <-- Last Tuesday (Nov 27th) when we updated the last forecast, were talking about this week, which is very much on track (compare to the short range outlook above)... CM

Next week, 10th onward, we expect regular snow storms and some significant snow to return, though it looks like the trend with this pattern is for storms to split (upper-level high pressure ridge anomaly over western Canada) as they move into the west coast, sending energy south into the United States, but because these look like strong and cold systems (ask Niseko, Japan) they are still capable of good snowfall across southwest Canada, and also, frequent. It looks like 3 storms total for next week (10th - 15th), with the last one toward the 13th-15th (late that week, and the weekend) possibly the strongest.

Here is that period represented by the GFS: 
12Z-20181202_GFSWCAN_prec_kuchsnow24-186-300-30-200

(NO CHANGE from the last LR update) : We expect a slow down and more sunshine as we approach the Christmas and New Year holiday period, but not before some nice dumps of snow pile up through and past mid-December (until the 20th at least)... There will still be some storm energy at times for some fresh snow during the holiday break. In January storms should kick in again on a more regular basis. More updates are coming. Do you have any ideas on what you want to see in our discussions? Please contact through the site! We do not charge for any of our info, and have been providing it since 1998, "Predicting Sick Days since 1998"! CM

Expanded Outlook

Monday
↑40° / ↓37°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑40° / ↓38°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Morning winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 28 to 31 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑40° / ↓37°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon.
Snow
Flurries possible through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 28 to 32 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 223ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑43° / ↓38°
iconWinds: S 5 to 14 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
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AM

icon
↑43° / ↓40°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain and snow after daylight.
Snow
Flurries possible through the morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.06 to 0.3 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 31 to 34 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑43° / ↓38°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 29 to 34 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 223ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑40° / ↓34°
iconWinds: E 5 to 14 mph, then S 9 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓34°
Sky
Mostly cloudy before noon. Chance of rain and snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 1 to 2 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.68 inches
Winds
Morning winds E 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 23 to 30 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑40° / ↓37°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.06 to 0.3 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds S 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be 26 to 31 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 223ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑39° / ↓30°
iconWinds: S 5 to 14 mph, then variable 2 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓37°
Sky
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain and snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 26 to 28 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓30°
Sky
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 2 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 27 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 223ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑29° / ↓18°
iconWinds: variable 2 to 10 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑29° / ↓19°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 2 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 23 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑26° / ↓18°
Sky
Clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 22 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 223ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑26° / ↓16°
iconWinds: variable 0 to 8 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑25° / ↓16°
Sky
Clear becoming mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 5 to 13 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑26° / ↓25°
Sky
Overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 15 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 223ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature32°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature26°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart