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Location Information

City
Vail
State
Colorado
Country
United States
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How much snow are the computers forecasting?
Short Range Forecast Discussion

->This free forecast is brought to you courtesy of Aspen-Snowmass Resort<-
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Wednesday August 20, 2014 - Today we see clearing skies some after morning showers, due to an exiting weather disturbance. Thursday into Friday morning we expect another increase in thunderstorms and showers as low pressure that was out west moves in across the area. This low pressure system is unusual, as it contains some Gulf of Alaska derived cold air. We may even see some accumulating snow above 10,500 feet Thursday night. Friday dries out as low pressure moves out. Saturday and Sunday we see a slow warm-up as the air mass is drier and high pressure ridging aloft builds in slightly. Thunderstorms develop each afternoon (mostly isolated), otherwise mostly sunny skies are expected. CM

Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
11,570 ft
8,120 ft
3,450 ft
3mi
RESORT INFO ↑54° ↓41° ↑76° ↓47°
  • Last Update 21 Apr @ 12:04
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 0 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 0 in
  • Season Total 314 in
  • Average Base Depth 0 in
Comments
None Reported
Today's Snow Potential
None expected
What's Open?
  • Trails0 of 193
  • Lifts0 of 31
  • Acreage0 of 5289 (0%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
19 Tuesday ↑54° ↓41° ↑76° ↓47°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy (morning) becoming mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous thunderstorms and showers developing mainly in the afternoon, then continuing overnight. Heavy showers are a good possibility.
Precipitation
80% chance for showers (afternoon through overnight)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; S at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; Becoming SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
20 Wednesday ↑52° ↓34° ↑72° ↓48°
Sky Condition
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and showers in the morning. Skies clear to partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms and showers in the afternoon, then these move out in the evening.
Precipitation
60% chance for showers (morning), then a 30% chance in the afternoon
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; SW at 5-15mph, becoming SW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
21 Thursday ↑45° ↓30° ↑68° ↓44°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with isolated showers, then mostly cloudy, with scattered to numerous thunderstorms and showers developing in the afternoon and through overnight. Snow may fall to 10,500 feet overnight.
Precipitation
Isolated showers (morning), then a 70% chance for showers by afternoon
Snow Potential
1 to 3 inches of snowfall above 10,500 feet overnight
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; Becoming SW at 20 to 30 gusts to 45mph. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
22 Friday ↑50° ↓29° ↑74° ↓40°
Sky Condition
Clearing to partly cloudy and a bit cool, with drier and breezy conditions. Isolated showers are possible at any time.
Precipitation
20% chance for showers
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.
23 Saturday ↑52° ↓34° ↑77° ↓39°
Sky Condition
Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy and milder, with isolated thunderstorms and showers developing by afternoon. Most thunderstorms move out or dissipate in the evening.
Precipitation
20% chance for showers (mainly afternoon)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
24 Sunday ↑61°  16c° ↓46°  8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with isolated storms
Precipitation
Isolated Storms (Potential precip: 0.2in, 5.05mm)
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the W at 7 to 10 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 23 August to 02 September, 2014 - High pressure ridging may shift back to the north across the western US but centered to the east, with increased moisture and potential for thunderstorms across Colorado and most of the rest of the western US (more updates are coming on this in our next forecast). CM

Longer Range Outlook

As of now, August 2014, we are still on a path to see an El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern hold across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. As of the last check, July has shown a possibly brief trend to cooler Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development has been put on hold for now). We will watch and see what happens.

Current SST pattern- La Nada

The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is still a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.

To reiterate, we expect an overall trend toward positive SST Anomalies along the eastern Equatorial Pacific. The likelihood of an El Nino pattern this fall and winter are really good, now "likely". Forecasts from other agencies are calling for El Nino conditions to hold this fall and winter. This would favor the southwest US (including southern California and across to Taos Ski Valley, even Aspen, Colorado) for heavier rain and snow this fall and mainly winter (2014-2015), after the wet monsoon summer across the southwest US. Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should see an active monsoon (thunderstorms and showers) this summer, followed by a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). This is our outlook for now, and we will update as info becomes available. All of this information is generated in-house.

We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available. If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.

Vail Ski Resort was founded in 1962 and since then the community and the ski area have matured into a destination resort for people around the globe. Evolving from a logging community prior to its discovery by the late 10th Mountain Division soldier and pioneer Pete Seibert and his friend, Earl Eaton, Vail now typifies a Tyrolean village with signature landmarks such as the Covered Bridge and the Clock Tower. Creative storefronts including restaurants, bars and boutiques line Bridge Street (framed by the Covered Bridge to the north) in Vail Village. The Town of Vail is home to numerous outdoor parks, water features, statues, artwork and more. As the largest single mountain ski resort in North America with 5,289 acres Vail offers distinctly different terrain and vistas spread 7 miles across the front side, the legendary Back Bowls and Blue Sky Basin. Magnificent backdrops, including the 14,000-foot Mount of the Holy Cross and the Gore, Sawatch mountain ranges surround the resort. Locals are known for their legendary tales and are open to sharing insider's tips on the best ways to ski and ride the mountain. The welcoming community takes everything in stride and is proud to share its amenities.

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