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Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Tuesday, November 25, 2014 - Snow fires back up again today after a morning lull, with another decent shot (but not "heavy") expected as a slug of warmer moisture (not "warm", just relative to the recent cold air) moves through with a strong wind scenario above the mountains, slightly unsettled and mainly orographically induced snow (resorts near the divide are favored but Aspen will still see another shot of snow). Wednesday through Friday look like great days to show up also, if you like snow + sunshine, as high pressure ridging slowly builds in and clouds become scarce (mostly sunny). Saturday and Sunday become a bit cooler and more windy as a Pacific storms develops, as does a low pressure vortex over eastern Canada and the Hudson Bay (what else is new this winter?). We expect early - mid next week to deliver a big shot of snow to Colorado, with all areas seeing significant snowfall. (please see the longer range forecasts toward the bottom of this page) CM
Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 30 November to 09 December, 2014 - A large and cold Gulf of Alaska low pressure system will be developing for early next week (30th onward into December), delivering significant snow to west coast resorts all the way to Canada, and some even to southern California resort areas (on track). That low pressure system hits the Rocky Mountains afterward, from the northern Rocky Mountains south, with Colorado and northern New Mexico (Taos and Aspen) seeing snow Monday through Wednesday (Dec 1-3). A brief break of sunshine follows, and storms should be pretty regular, so we do not expect a long period of sun/ warming. CM
Longer Range Outlook
November 2014, we are still on a path to see a weak El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern hold across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies yield a weak El Nino pattern across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development is on track, but it will be weak, still somewhat favorable for California and the desert Southwest, plus much of Colorado and northern New Mexico).
A weak El Nino (or possible "neutral" pattern) is expected for this winter, into early 2015.
Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should expect a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). Tahoe/ Mammoth should see near average snowfall, with near average snowfall also expected across southern California and northern Arizona resorts. CM
Vail Ski Resort was founded in 1962 and since then the community and the ski area have matured into a destination resort for people around the globe. Evolving from a logging community prior to its discovery by the late 10th Mountain Division soldier and pioneer Pete Seibert and his friend, Earl Eaton, Vail now typifies a Tyrolean village with signature landmarks such as the Covered Bridge and the Clock Tower. Creative storefronts including restaurants, bars and boutiques line Bridge Street (framed by the Covered Bridge to the north) in Vail Village. The Town of Vail is home to numerous outdoor parks, water features, statues, artwork and more. As the largest single mountain ski resort in North America with 5,289 acres Vail offers distinctly different terrain and vistas spread 7 miles across the front side, the legendary Back Bowls and Blue Sky Basin. Magnificent backdrops, including the 14,000-foot Mount of the Holy Cross and the Gore, Sawatch mountain ranges surround the resort. Locals are known for their legendary tales and are open to sharing insider's tips on the best ways to ski and ride the mountain. The welcoming community takes everything in stride and is proud to share its amenities.