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Location Information

City
South Lake Tahoe
State
California
Country
United States
Heavenly Mountain Resort Heavenly Mountain Resort Hot
How much snow are computers predicting for South Tahoe?
Short Range Forecast Discussion
Be sure to check out our long range forecast and season outlook toward the bottom of this page. CM
10,067 ft
6,565 ft
3,502 ft
5 miles
RESORT INFO ↑41°  5c° ↓18°  -8c° MID MTN
  • Last Update 15 Oct @ 03:10
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 0 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 0 in
  • Season Total 0 in
  • Average Base Depth 0 in
Comments
None Reported
Today's Snow Potential
We are expecting 3 to 6 inches of snowfall (8 to 15cm)
What's Open?
  • Trails0 of 97
  • Lifts0 of 29
  • Acreage0 of 4800 (0%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
31 Friday ↑41°  5c° ↓18°  -8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Very windy with snow possible
Precipitation
100% chance for snow. (Potential precip: 0.52in, 13.3mm)
Snow Potential
We are expecting 3 to 6 inches of snowfall (8 to 15cm)
Wind
From the SSW at 23 to 44 MPH, with gusts up to 65MPH.
01 Saturday ↑27°  -3c° ↓19°  -7c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Windy with snow showers likely
Precipitation
70% chance for snow. (Potential precip: 0.11in, 2.74mm)
Snow Potential
We are expecting 1 to 2 inches of snowfall (3 to 5cm)
Wind
From the W at 11 to 23 MPH, with gusts up to 35MPH.
02 Sunday ↑34°  1c° ↓25°  -4c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the N at 9 to 23 MPH.
03 Monday ↑41°  5c° ↓30°  -1c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the E at 7 to 16 MPH.
04 Tuesday ↑48°  9c° ↓36°  2c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the E at 6 to 8 MPH.
05 Wednesday ↑54°  12c° ↓39°  4c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly sunny
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the SSE at 10 to 15 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 04 to 14 November, 2014 - Heavy snowfall potential for Tahoe-Mammoth is still expected late Friday through Saturday night, and heavy snow for the cascades and southwest Canada Thursday and Friday, then significant snowfall is delivered to the Wasatch and Central Rocky Mountains including Colorado this Saturday through Monday, but mainly Saturday/ Sunday. We expect some showers for Southern California resort regions late Friday/ Saturday, with high elevation snow (above 8,000 feet or so). High pressure dominates most of the western US for 5 - 7 days afterward (roughly November 4th - 8th), with mostly sunny and mostly dry conditions Tahoe to Colorado. Storms should become more frequent with less sunny weather overall (seasonal) as we move further into November, especially after the 10th. CM

Longer Range Outlook

As of now, October 2014, we are still on a path to see an El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern hold across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies yield a weak El Nino pattern across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development is on track, but it will be weak at least to start, still favorable for California and the desert Southwest, plus much of Colorado and northern New Mexico). Please note; Many computer models indicate the El Nino SST pattern may become moderate strength later this fall and early 2015, with would help focus more of the Gulf of Alaska storm action across the southwest US and California, where its desperately needed.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

A weak El Nino is now being predicted for this fall and winter, into early 2015. It looks like the early season (October/ November) will see more rain and snow for southern and central California, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah and Colorado. This should help kick off the early season for places like Mammoth Mountain. This should also help build up a better than average base of snow for Aspen-Snowmass and Taos Ski Valley. Temperatures are expected to be near and below average for these areas as well, which helps. Maybe Thanksgiving will be pretty good for many more areas across the southwest, and even for Squaw Valley in Tahoe. The Northwest US is expecting a drier and milder than usual fall, with less snowfall than average, though with their usual heavy snowfall, especially in the Cascades, this drier/ milder than average fall season could still be good for resorts across the northwest US, mainly along the Cascades, less so inland.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is still a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation). This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker (it looks like this is the case with the current El Nino, which was expected to be strong initially.

To summarize, the possibility of an El Nino pattern this fall and winter are "likely". Forecasts from other agencies are calling for El Nino conditions to hold this fall and winter. This would favor the southwest US (including southern California and across to Taos Ski Valley, even Aspen, Colorado) for heavier rain and snow this fall and mainly winter (2014-2015), after the wet monsoon summer across the southwest US (we forecast this in the spring). Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should expect a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). Tahoe/ Mammoth should see near average snowfall

It's a mountain with multiple topographical personalities...long runs, wide-open groomed cruisers and pristine powder-filled bowls. Two of America's hairiest natural scare tactics - Mott and Killebrew Canyons. Steeps like The Face and Gunbarrel. And rows of regal pines spaced so perfectly, you'd swear Nature and the Gods of Tree Skiing were in cahoots. Most importantly, there's our legendary deep powder, which descends from the sky to serve up skiing and riding with California's most vertical. Heavenly is located on the south shore of Lake Tahoe. The resort spans two states with 50% of the terrain in Nevada and another 50% in California. Heavenly has four base lodges; Stagecoach and Boulder Lodges in Nevada; and the California Lodge and the Gondola at Heavenly Village located in California.

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