7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 23 April to 03 May, 2014 - Another low pressure system moves in today (21st) through Wednesday with potentially significant snowfall for Tahoe-Mammoth (but looking dry for southern California at this time), as it moves in strong and cold off the Pacific Ocean. The Pacific Northwest will be more favored in this storm, for multiple feet of snow in the Cascades, possibly 1+ feet in the Sierra Nevada. The Inland Northwest will do good as well (northern Rocky Mountains including Big Sky and Jackson Hole), and mainly Tuesday through Thursday for Montana, Idaho and Wyoming. We see this followed by high pressure ridging aloft, building in across the western US Thursday and Friday (mostly sunny with fresh snow for most areas). Then, by next weekend (26th/ 27th) we expect another strong storm to move in, definitely wintry. Winter is not over yet for Western US ski areas, but it seems to be tapering off, in general. CM
Longer Range Outlook
As of now, April 2014, we are continuing to be affected by an ENSO-Neutral, or La Nada Sea Surface Temperature pattern across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific (SSTs near to slightly below average).
The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.
We expect the ENSO Neutral, or La Nada pattern (almost a La Nina) to continue, and in the last 30 days we have seen more of a La Nina pattern develop with colder SST's along the eastern Equatorial Pacific and even the region 3.4 always referred to, though less so in 3.4. We are not seeing the trend toward El Nino yet.
Since we are seeing an actual cooling of the eastern Equatorial Pacific in the last month, and not much change in the 3.4 region, we expect this to not bode well for a shift out of a La Nada pattern, yet. We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available. If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.
We have the highest base elevation for any major ski resort in the Lake Tahoe area. Kirkwood also has the most snowfall this season for any resort in the Sierra. The mountain is often frequented by pro riders and skiers because the terrain is the most diverse of the local ski resorts. You can spend the day turning down a groomed run, shooting the half pipes, jibs, and rails in our terrain parks, bombing down a hair raising steep thick with untracked powder, or hucking yourself off a cornice at the peak. Whatever your preference, Kirkwood can accomodate it. Named one of the top 10 over all resorts in TransWorld Snow, Kirkwood is truly a Tahoe "must ski/ride.” Offering Lake Tahoe's highest base elevation for some of North America's deepest, driest snow. 2,300 acres of wide-open terrain promises something for everyone, from gentle groomed trails to hair-raising steeps and chutes. The resort was rated amongst the top 10 places to learn to ski by USA today and offers innovative First-Time Skier and Snowboarding programs on its wide, gentle slopes. The Children's Center makes skiing more convenient for families and fun for kids. Kirkwood also features a freestyle terrain park, half pipe, tubing hill, 80k of scenic cross country skiing, dog sled rides, and more. Looking for an escape from the frenzy of the modern world? Surrounded in every direction by endless miles of Wilderness and Forest Service Land, Kirkwood offers the unique balance of a world-class mountain with all the creature comforts in a pristine sanctuary.