Big Sky Resort ↑16° ↓-3° Forecast:   0" Base:   48"
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Lone Mountain close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,880ft
Temperature: -1°
Snow Depth: 51"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Carrot Basin close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,000ft
Temperature: -3°
Snow Depth: 70"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Beaver Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,850ft
Temperature: -14°
Snow Depth: 52"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Shower Falls close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,100ft
Temperature: -8°
Snow Depth: 63"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Lick Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,860ft
Temperature: -7°
Snow Depth: 33"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Clover Meadow close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,600ft
Temperature: -4°
Snow Depth: 46"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Today's Forecast
↑16° ↓-3°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓1° / ↑-18°
  • Humidity↓51% / ↑85%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth15"
Clear before noon and then partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy later into the evening.
None expected.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds SW 8 to 17 mph through the morning becoming SW 11 to 22 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 24 mph. Expected wind chill to be -25 to -2 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 23rd
↑14° ↓-2°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓10° / ↑-6°
  • Humidity↓75% / ↑98%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow8"
  • Regional Snow Depth18"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be 2 to 4 inches in the early morning, then another 2 to 3 inches before noon and 4 to 6 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.13 to 0.63 inches
Winds SW 9 to 20 mph through the morning becoming W 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 27 mph. Expected wind chill to be -27 to -6 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 24th
↑22° ↓1°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓18° / ↑0°
  • Humidity↓85% / ↑97%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow9"
  • Regional Snow Depth21"
Overcast throughout the day. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be 2 to 3 inches in the early morning, then another 4 to 7 inches before noon and 2 to 4 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.16 to 0.78 inches
Winds SW 13 to 25 mph through the morning shifting to SW 42 to 54 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 67 mph. Wind chill expected to be -22 to -5 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 25th
↑27° ↓14°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑13°
  • Humidity↓80% / ↑97%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow6"
  • Regional Snow Depth24"
Cloudy throughout the day. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall expected to be 3 to 5 inches in the early morning followed by another 3 to 5 inches before noon and a dusting in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.22 to 1.08 inches
Winds SW 32 to 44 mph through the morning becoming SW 54 to 66 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 74 mph. Wind chill expected to be -13 to 3 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 26th
↑27° ↓-4°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑-5°
  • Humidity↓81% / ↑99%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow8"
  • Regional Snow Depth28"
Overcast throughout the day. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Expected snowfall to be 3 to 5 inches in the early morning followed by another 3 to 6 inches before noon and a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.22 to 1.1 inches
Winds NW 13 to 25 mph through the morning becoming variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 51 mph. Expected wind chill to be -27 to 2 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 27th
↑17° ↓-3°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓11° / ↑-6°
  • Humidity↓68% / ↑94%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth28"
Mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds SW 8 to 19 mph through the morning becoming variable at 0 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 24 mph. Wind chill expected to be -27 to -3 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update22 Feb @ 06:02
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs1"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth48 to 86"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
11in, past 7 days. Snow surface is packed powder and machine groomed
  • High Lift Elevation11,166ft
  • Base Elevation6,800ft
  • Vertical Drop4,350ft
  • Longest Trail6 miles
  • Trails305 of 317
  • Lifts36 of 36
  • Acreage5821 of 5850 ( 96% )
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails59 ( 19% )
-8°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity%
  • Dewpoint
  • Sustained 0mph
  • Gusting 0mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow Depth63"
Comments
Unreported
Location
LONE MOUNTAIN, MT
  • Elevation8,100ft
  • UpdatedFeb 22 @ 09:04
Base
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • City: Big Sky
  • State: Montana
  • Country: United States
Where to be for the best snow this weekend! (8-10th Feb)
WHERE TO BE IN THE WESTERN USA THIS WEEKEND!

Here is our early forecast for this weekend...

Hands-down, Tahoe – Mammoth will be the winner in terms of snow all through this weekend, with NO snow level issues, in fact dry and cold powder is what we mostly expect, especially on Sunday...

We are expecting two storms to move through, the first of which will be the weaker of the two, and will also be faster moving one, mainly a wave out ahead of the main storm to hit Saturday and Sunday.

It looks like the snow will begin flying again mainly Friday afternoon through overnight, with 6 to 10 inches of fresh snow forecast to be on the ground for the Saturday morning snow report, for favored resorts across Northern Tahoe like Sugar Bowl and Squaw-Alpine, and 3 to 6 inches of snow for other areas.

Friday, First storm, GFS Snow Accumulation by Saturday 4am based on a 1:10 water to snow ratio, whereas the water to snow ratio will be closer to 1:15 (more snow than shown on this map, is what is expected by the Saturday morning snow report)...

Screen Shot 2019-02-06 at 14.03.38

A stronger and larger scale, slower moving, and offshore positioning storm system starts dropping in from out of the north, located offshore, looking stronger/ colder, more dynamic, and dropping heavy snow Saturday and Sunday, basically ALL weekend long! We expect to see  10  to 18 inches of snow each day all across Tahoe-Mammoth, for a total of 2 (south Tahoe, Mammoth) to 3+ (north Tahoe) feet of extra snow expected this weekend! Saturday and Sunday!

Friday through Sunday, 2 storms, GFS Snow Accumulation by Sunday 4pm (close of business for most resorts on Sunday) based on a 1:10 water to snow ratio, whereas the water to snow ratio will be closer to 1:15 and even 1:20 (possibly MUCH more snow than shown on this map, is what is expected by the Sunday afternoon at 4pm! The snow will continue through Monday morning, so show up Monday if you like less crowds, DEEP and Fresh snow, and sunshine! Cold-smoke, No-joke powder! (on top of deep bases!)

Screen Shot 2019-02-06 at 14.47.22

Combined with the snow that has already fallen across Tahoe-Mammoth in recent weeks, conditions will be amazing this weekend! In fact, we are expecting no snow level issues whatsoever, and even a drier/ colder cold-smoke powder, especially on Sunday. If you are just looking for the best and deepest snow, Tahoe-Mammoth is going to be the place out west, this coming weekend! Resorts like Sugar Bowl will be favored with these storms, as they lie more westward than most, and will take up the bulk of available moisture and thus snowfall! Enjoy!!

12Z-20190206_GFSUS_prec_kuchsnow-48-123-10-100(Check out the bulls-eye of heavy snow from Tahoe to southern Idaho)

Here is a video I put together explaining how moisture and dynamics are looking:



Meteorologist- CM
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Mountain Summit Forecast

Friday
↑2° / ↓-1°
iconWinds: W 10 to 21 mph, then W 20 to 32 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑0° / ↓-1°
Skies
Clear before noon.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Wind chill expected to be -26 to -18 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑2° / ↓-1°
Skies
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 20 to 32 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill expected to be -27 to -25 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 11,266ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑3° / ↓-1°
iconWinds: W 21 to 33 mph, then W 19 to 31 mph
iconForecast Snow: 7"
icon

AM

icon
↑3° / ↓-1°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 1 to 2 inches in the early morning followed by another 1 to 2 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 21 to 33 mph with gusts up to 41 mph. Expected wind chill to be -32 to -25 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑0° / ↓-1°
Skies
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 3 to 6 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.25 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 19 to 31 mph with gusts up to 38 mph. Wind chill expected to be -31 to -25 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 11,266ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑12° / ↓-1°
iconWinds: SW 33 to 45 mph, then W 58 to 70 mph
iconForecast Snow: 8"
icon

AM

icon
↑6° / ↓-1°
Skies
Mostly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 1 to 2 inches in the early morning, then another 4 to 7 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.07 to 0.35 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 33 to 45 mph with gusts up to 62 mph. Expected wind chill to be -33 to -25 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑12° / ↓6°
Skies
Cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 2 to 4 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 58 to 70 mph with gusts up to 88 mph. Expected wind chill to be -26 to -22 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 11,266ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑15° / ↓11°
iconWinds: SW 45 to 57 mph, then SW 65 to 77 mph
iconForecast Snow: 5"
icon

AM

icon
↑13° / ↓11°
Skies
Cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 3 to 5 inches in the early morning followed by another 2 to 4 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.4 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SW 45 to 57 mph with gusts up to 66 mph. Wind chill expected to be -22 to -18 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑15° / ↓12°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 65 to 77 mph with gusts up to 96 mph. Expected wind chill to be -20 to -17 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 11,266ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑15° / ↓-1°
iconWinds: W 41 to 53 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 9"
icon

AM

icon
↑15° / ↓13°
Skies
Cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 4 to 6 inches in the early morning followed by another 3 to 6 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.7 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 41 to 53 mph with gusts up to 61 mph. Wind chill expected to be -19 to -16 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑13° / ↓-1°
Skies
Cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be -31 to -16 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 11,266ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑12° / ↓-3°
iconWinds: W 26 to 38 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑4° / ↓-3°
Skies
Mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 26 to 38 mph with gusts up to 48 mph. Expected wind chill to be -34 to -25 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑12° / ↓4°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be -25 to -16 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 11,266ft
temperature graph

Mountain Base Forecast

Friday
↑20° / ↓1°
iconWinds: SW 4 to 13 mph, then S 9 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑18° / ↓1°
Skies
Clear through the morning.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -17 to 5 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑20° / ↓4°
Skies
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base S 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wind chill expected to be -17 to 5 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,835ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑19° / ↓4°
iconWinds: SW 6 to 15 mph, then variable 1 to 9 mph
iconForecast Snow: 7"
icon

AM

icon
↑15° / ↓4°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 2 to 3 inches in the early morning, then another 2 to 3 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.25 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be -18 to 0 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑19° / ↓7°
Skies
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 3 to 5 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.07 to 0.33 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 1 to 9 mph. Wind chill expected to be -4 to 4 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,835ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑28° / ↓6°
iconWinds: SW 4 to 13 mph, then SW 11 to 22 mph
iconForecast Snow: 8"
icon

AM

icon
↑21° / ↓6°
Skies
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 2 to 3 inches in the early morning followed by another 3 to 6 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.1 to 0.48 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be -11 to 8 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑28° / ↓21°
Skies
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 2 to 3 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.23 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 11 to 22 mph with gusts up to 44 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 9 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,835ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑33° / ↓19°
iconWinds: SW 13 to 25 mph, then SW 19 to 31 mph
iconForecast Snow: 5"
icon

AM

icon
↑31° / ↓19°
Skies
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 3 to 5 inches in the early morning followed by another 2 to 4 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.6 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 13 to 25 mph with gusts up to 53 mph. Wind chill expected to be 7 to 15 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑33° / ↓31°
Skies
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 19 to 31 mph with gusts up to 71 mph. Expected wind chill to be 14 to 16 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,835ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑33° / ↓0°
iconWinds: NW 4 to 13 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 5"
icon

AM

icon
↑33° / ↓18°
Skies
Overcast through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 1 to 2 inches in the early morning, then another 3 to 5 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.19 to 0.95 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base NW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 4 to 16 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑18° / ↓0°
Skies
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 0 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be -12 to 4 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,835ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑22° / ↓-1°
iconWinds: SW 4 to 13 mph, then variable 0 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑20° / ↓-1°
Skies
Mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -12 to 7 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑22° / ↓19°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 0 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 4 to 10 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,835ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature10°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature12°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature16°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature21°
  • Soil Low Temperature15°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature22°
  • Soil Low Temperature15°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
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