Bear Valley Cross Country ↑43° ↓25° Forecast:   0" Base:   30"
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Blue Lakes close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,057ft
Temperature: 39°
Snow Depth: 23"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Ebbetts Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,765ft
Temperature: 48°
Snow Depth: 29"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Forestdale Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,017ft
Temperature: 45°
Snow Depth: 30"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Carson Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,353ft
Temperature: 37°
Snow Depth: 26"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Spratt Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,115ft
Temperature: 38°
Snow Depth: 7"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Burnside Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,129ft
Temperature: 48°
Snow Depth: 23"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Poison Flat close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,736ft
Temperature: 33°
Snow Depth: 18"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Sonora Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,827ft
Temperature: 38°
Snow Depth: 23"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Leavitt Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,617ft
Temperature: 41°
Snow Depth: 36"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Echo Peak close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,670ft
Temperature: 43°
Snow Depth: 26"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Horse Meadow close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,557ft
Temperature:
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Monitor Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,310ft
Temperature: 45°
Snow Depth: 14"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Summit Meadow close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,313ft
Temperature: 41°
Snow Depth: 18"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Leavitt Meadows close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,198ft
Temperature: 33°
Snow Depth: 11"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Dodge Ridge 20 mi

Dodge Ridge
Today's Forecast
↑43° ↓25°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓19° / ↑9°
  • Humidity↓40% / ↑74%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth30"
Partly cloudy before noon and then partly cloudy becoming overcast later into the evening.
None expected throughout the day.
No precipitation expected.
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning becoming S 6 to 15 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 17 mph. Expected wind chill to be 14 to 39 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 12th
↑39° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓11° / ↑8°
  • Humidity↓25% / ↑68%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth8"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
None expected.
None expected.
Winds NE 12 to 23 mph through the morning becoming S 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 29 mph. Wind chill expected to be 17 to 22 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 13th
↑43° ↓29°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑8°
  • Humidity↓26% / ↑60%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then partly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
None expected throughout the day.
No precipitation expected.
Winds SW 4 to 13 mph through the morning becoming S 12 to 24 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be 17 to 32 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 14th
↑37° ↓23°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓15° / ↑17°
  • Humidity↓40% / ↑76%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
No snow.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds S 17 to 29 mph through the morning becoming S 8 to 19 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 51 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 18 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 15th
↑38° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓18° / ↑15°
  • Humidity↓40% / ↑65%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
None expected.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds SW 8 to 17 mph through the morning shifting to S 9 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 22 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 28 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 16th
↑35° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓23° / ↑19°
  • Humidity↓45% / ↑93%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow5"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace before noon and 4 to 7 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.17 to 0.85 inches
Winds S 11 to 22 mph through the morning becoming SW 9 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 28 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 17 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update11 Dec @ 07:12
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total191"
  • Average Base Depth30"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
3in, past 6 days. Snow surface is packed powder and powder
  • High Lift Elevation8,500ft
  • Base Elevation7,010ft
  • Vertical Drop1,490ft
  • Longest Trail15.53 miles
  • Trails0 of 38
  • Lifts0 of 0
  • Acreage0 of 12 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails16 ( 15% )
  • Cross Country Area15
  • Tubingyes
  • Tubing Hours9a-4p
38°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity48%
  • Dewpoint20°
  • Sustained 0mph
  • Gusting 0mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow Depth7"
Comments
Unreported
Location
CW4253 Bear Valley, CA
  • Elevation7,067ft
  • UpdatedDec 11 @ 05:09
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • State: California
  • Country: United States
Tahoe - Mammoth - April 04, 2018
Wednesday, April 4th, 2018

..NOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
Mild weather is expected through Thursday. A few light showers are possible today and Thursday, mainly well north of Interstate 80. A strong atmospheric river will impact northeast California and western Nevada Friday into Saturday, bringing periods of moderate to heavy rain, high elevation snow, gusty winds, and concerns for flooding along rivers and streams.

..MORE DETAIL...
(Translated from NWS but added in some detail and our own outlook)
A strong late season Atmospheric River (AR) will bring periods of heavy precipitation to the region Friday and Saturday. With a strong sub-tropical influence and the jet stream (cold air to the north of this) forecast to stay well north of the region during most of precipitation event. Precip will fall
primarily as rain, even in the higher elevations above 9,000 and 10,000 feet. The main concern continues to be flooding, both for small creeks and streams, and for main stem rivers. There is a flood watch in effect from late Friday afternoon through Saturday for the Sierra and the Sierra foothills.

It is late in the atmospheric river season and this AR is forecast to be solidly in the strong category, which is quite rare for this time of year. PWAT (moisture) and IVT (moisture + transport) anomalies are on the very high end of their respective scales for this time of year, and between Friday afternoon and Saturday morning, several inches of water or more will fall on thew west slopes of the Sierra Nevada.

Precipitation will begin to move into the Sierra and NE California by Thursday night with periods of light to moderate precipitation through Friday afternoon as warm advection precipitation begins to push into the Sierra. A 6-12 hour period of very heavy precipitation is expected Friday night into Saturday morning as the core of the low pressure nears the Pacific Northwest coast, bringing increased forcing to the moisture laden
environment over the Sierra. The very warm temperatures aloft will promote more efficient warm rain processes and will likely result in impressive rain rates Friday night (heavy rain and flooding likely).

Current forecast for QPF is up to around 3-4 inches along the Sierra crest with 1.5-2 inches along the immediate lee of the Sierra and 0.5-1.0 inch spilling into western Nevada. During the period of heaviest precipitation the jet stream and the cold core of the low is forecast to remain well north of the
Sierra. Very warm subtropical air is forecast to move into the area from the southwest with mid-level temperatures potentially rising to around +3C to +5C during the heaviest precipitation. This will likely push snow levels to 10,000+ to 11,000 feet later Friday through early Saturday. CM

NEXT WEEK...
Early through mid next week looks busy with storms, colder this time, with snow levels to resort bases... Moderate to heavy snow is expected Tuesday and again next Thursday (9th/ 11th), followed by some sunshine and warming. After the 15th/ 16th or so we see high pressure build in across the eastern Pacific and west US coast, with sunny skies and warming temperatures, quite spring-like. CM
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December 07, 2018 - Aspen and Western Colorado Short/ Long Range Outlook
Mostly light additional snow, then a mostly sunny weekend, and  more snow next Tuesday and Wednesday (heavier)!

HOW ARE WE DOING (please contact chris@snowforecast.com or comment below)? Let us know please...

Light snow for most areas including Aspen, and  across southwest Colorado...

-The latest storm absolutely dumped RAIN and snow across southern California, is headed mainly along the Mexico border now, and taking a southern track... El Nino style, with a few" of snow across southwest Colorado to Aspen's mountains, under a moist southwest flow of moisture across the mountains, while most energy passes to the south

This coming weekend we expect a high pressure ridge to build in, with cooler air dragged into Colorado initially on Saturday, as the southern tracking low pressure system exits (northwest/ north flow of winds from the colder north), and sunshine pops through in the then drier air... Powder + sunshine, what Colorado is known for!

LONGER RANGE:
It looks like El Nino is not an official anomaly yet, as I expected in my September LR forecast (for Aspen and SW Colorado / For northern Colorado resorts) so we are in an ENSO Neutral phase, though in the latest update from NOAA, we are seeing warming waters, still a weak El Nino at best. This may explain the more southerly tracking storm systems we have seen, and will likely see in the coming weeks of December and January. CM

Next week, the 11th onward, we expect a couple of snow storms and some moderate to significant snow for western Colorado. Because these look like strong and cold systems (ask Niseko, Japan) with a good fetch of moisture across the Pacific, they are capable of good snowfall across all of western Colorado if the track is right (a bit more north). It looks like 2 storms total for next week, one Tuesday/ Wednesday and another late next week. CM

(NO CHANGE from the last LR update) : It is looking like we may see a busy time as we approach the Christmas and New Year holiday period, with some significant storms possibly lining up to affect all of the western US including Colorado... We expect to see a 7-14 day period of down time and mostly sunny skies following this series of storms, that may start around/ after Christmas. In January we see that down time to start the month (a week-ish), then storms should kick in again on a more regular basis, but possibly favoring northern resorts this time as the east coast gets hit hard and these systems brush mainly northern Colorado. More updates are coming. Do you have any ideas on what you want to see in our discussions? Please contact through the site! We do not charge for any of our info, and have been providing it all for free since 1998, "Predicting Sick Days since 1998"! CM

Expanded Outlook

Tuesday
↑43° / ↓25°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then S 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑42° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 14 to 31 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑36° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 17 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 39 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,081ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑39° / ↓26°
iconWinds: NE 12 to 23 mph, then S 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓32°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds NE 12 to 23 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. Expected wind chill to be 19 to 22 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑31° / ↓27°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 17 to 22 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,081ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑43° / ↓29°
iconWinds: SW 4 to 13 mph, then S 12 to 24 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑43° / ↓33°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds SW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 23 to 31 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 12 to 24 mph with gusts up to 38 mph. Expected wind chill to be 17 to 32 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,081ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑37° / ↓23°
iconWinds: S 17 to 29 mph, then S 8 to 19 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑36° / ↓28°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds S 17 to 29 mph with gusts up to 51 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 18 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑31° / ↓23°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 8 to 19 mph with gusts up to 23 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 18 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,081ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑38° / ↓26°
iconWinds: SW 8 to 17 mph, then S 9 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑38° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds SW 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 22 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 27 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓29°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wind chill expected to be 16 to 28 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,081ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑35° / ↓26°
iconWinds: S 11 to 22 mph, then SW 9 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 5"
icon

AM

icon
↑35° / ↓28°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 11 to 22 mph with gusts up to 28 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 17 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑31° / ↓26°
Sky
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 4 to 7 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.17 to 0.83 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 14 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,081ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature24°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature26°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature26°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature28°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature27°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart