Montecito-Sequoia Lodge ↑31° ↓25° Forecast:   1" Base:   9"
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Today's Forecast
↑31° ↓25°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓26° / ↑26°
  • Humidity↓92% / ↑97%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth9"
Mostly cloudy before noon and then cloudy becoming mostly cloudy later into the evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning, then another trace before noon and a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.25 inches
Winds W 7 to 16 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 20 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 22nd
↑37° ↓25°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓26° / ↑23°
  • Humidity↓62% / ↑91%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth8"
Partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds W 4 to 13 mph through the morning becoming variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 13 to 28 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 23rd
↑34° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓20° / ↑16°
  • Humidity↓48% / ↑86%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly clear with a few clouds becoming clear into the evening. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds W 7 to 16 mph through the morning shifting to NE 6 to 15 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 24 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 24th
↑39° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓11° / ↑9°
  • Humidity↓28% / ↑45%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Clear through the morning, and then mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
None expected.
No precipitation expected.
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning shifting to E 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 12 to 30 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 25th
↑41° ↓32°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑18°
  • Humidity↓41% / ↑62%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly clear with a few clouds becoming mostly cloudy into the evening.
None expected throughout the day.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds S 7 to 16 mph through the morning shifting to E 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 20 to 29 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 26th
↑40° ↓33°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓26° / ↑26°
  • Humidity↓60% / ↑80%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening. Chance of snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the early morning and 2 to 3 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.2 to 0.98 inches
Winds S 8 to 17 mph through the morning becoming E 11 to 22 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 28 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 27 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update13 Dec @ 07:12
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth( Estimate ) 9"
  • Today's Snow Potential1"
Comments
None Reported
  • High Lift Elevation8,500ft
  • Base Elevation7,500ft
  • Vertical Drop1,000ft
  • Longest Trail9.32 miles
  • Trails0 of 24
  • Lifts0 of 0
  • Acreage0 of 0 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone Available
32°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity92%
  • Dewpoint30°
  • Sustained 0mph
  • Gusting 0mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
Unreported
Location
NR6G-13 Grant Grove, CA
  • Elevation7,382ft
  • UpdatedMar 21 @ 06:09
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • State: California
  • Country: United States
Where to be for the best snow this weekend! (8-10th Feb)
WHERE TO BE IN THE WESTERN USA THIS WEEKEND!

Here is our early forecast for this weekend...

Hands-down, Tahoe – Mammoth will be the winner in terms of snow all through this weekend, with NO snow level issues, in fact dry and cold powder is what we mostly expect, especially on Sunday...

We are expecting two storms to move through, the first of which will be the weaker of the two, and will also be faster moving one, mainly a wave out ahead of the main storm to hit Saturday and Sunday.

It looks like the snow will begin flying again mainly Friday afternoon through overnight, with 6 to 10 inches of fresh snow forecast to be on the ground for the Saturday morning snow report, for favored resorts across Northern Tahoe like Sugar Bowl and Squaw-Alpine, and 3 to 6 inches of snow for other areas.

Friday, First storm, GFS Snow Accumulation by Saturday 4am based on a 1:10 water to snow ratio, whereas the water to snow ratio will be closer to 1:15 (more snow than shown on this map, is what is expected by the Saturday morning snow report)...

Screen Shot 2019-02-06 at 14.03.38

A stronger and larger scale, slower moving, and offshore positioning storm system starts dropping in from out of the north, located offshore, looking stronger/ colder, more dynamic, and dropping heavy snow Saturday and Sunday, basically ALL weekend long! We expect to see  10  to 18 inches of snow each day all across Tahoe-Mammoth, for a total of 2 (south Tahoe, Mammoth) to 3+ (north Tahoe) feet of extra snow expected this weekend! Saturday and Sunday!

Friday through Sunday, 2 storms, GFS Snow Accumulation by Sunday 4pm (close of business for most resorts on Sunday) based on a 1:10 water to snow ratio, whereas the water to snow ratio will be closer to 1:15 and even 1:20 (possibly MUCH more snow than shown on this map, is what is expected by the Sunday afternoon at 4pm! The snow will continue through Monday morning, so show up Monday if you like less crowds, DEEP and Fresh snow, and sunshine! Cold-smoke, No-joke powder! (on top of deep bases!)

Screen Shot 2019-02-06 at 14.47.22

Combined with the snow that has already fallen across Tahoe-Mammoth in recent weeks, conditions will be amazing this weekend! In fact, we are expecting no snow level issues whatsoever, and even a drier/ colder cold-smoke powder, especially on Sunday. If you are just looking for the best and deepest snow, Tahoe-Mammoth is going to be the place out west, this coming weekend! Resorts like Sugar Bowl will be favored with these storms, as they lie more westward than most, and will take up the bulk of available moisture and thus snowfall! Enjoy!!

12Z-20190206_GFSUS_prec_kuchsnow-48-123-10-100(Check out the bulls-eye of heavy snow from Tahoe to southern Idaho)

Here is a video I put together explaining how moisture and dynamics are looking:



Meteorologist- CM
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Expanded Outlook

Thursday
↑31° / ↓25°
iconWinds: W 7 to 16 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
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AM

icon
↑30° / ↓25°
Skies
Mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 17 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓26°
Skies
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 16 to 20 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,409ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑37° / ↓25°
iconWinds: W 4 to 13 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑35° / ↓25°
Skies
Partly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 13 to 25 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑34° / ↓31°
Skies
Mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 28 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,409ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑34° / ↓26°
iconWinds: W 7 to 16 mph, then NE 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑33° / ↓29°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds W 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 18 to 24 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓26°
Skies
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds NE 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 23 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,409ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑39° / ↓27°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then E 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑36° / ↓31°
Skies
Clear before noon.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 27 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑33° / ↓30°
Skies
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds E 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 18 to 30 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,409ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑41° / ↓32°
iconWinds: S 7 to 16 mph, then E 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓37°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds S 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 20 to 26 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓32°
Skies
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming mostly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds E 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 21 to 29 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,409ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑40° / ↓33°
iconWinds: S 8 to 17 mph, then E 11 to 22 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑40° / ↓37°
Skies
Mostly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the early morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.25 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 23 to 27 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓33°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 2 to 3 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.7 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds E 11 to 22 mph with gusts up to 28 mph. Wind chill expected to be 18 to 27 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,409ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature29°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature30°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature29°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature33°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart