Northstar-at-Tahoe ↑41° ↓22° Forecast:   0" Base:   7"
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Truckee #2 close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,509ft
Temperature: 37°
Snow Depth: 13"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Tahoe City Cross close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,797ft
Temperature: 44°
Snow Depth: 5"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Squaw Valley G.C. close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,029ft
Temperature: 47°
Snow Depth: 29"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Ward Creek #3 close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,655ft
Temperature: 44°
Snow Depth: 20"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Little Valley close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,510ft
Temperature: 35°
Snow Depth: 6"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Mt Rose Ski Area close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,801ft
Temperature: 42°
Snow Depth: 19"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Css Lab close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,855ft
Temperature: 46°
Snow Depth: 21"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Marlette Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,880ft
Temperature: 38°
Snow Depth: 19"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Independence Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,352ft
Temperature: 45°
Snow Depth: 24"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Independence Camp close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,003ft
Temperature: 42°
Snow Depth: 11"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Big Meadow close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,249ft
Temperature: 43°
Snow Depth: 15"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Independence Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,456ft
Temperature: 40°
Snow Depth: 7"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Rubicon #2 close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,689ft
Temperature: 36°
Snow Depth: 17"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Fallen Leaf close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,236ft
Temperature: 40°
Snow Depth: 5"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Heavenly Valley close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,582ft
Temperature: 45°
Snow Depth: 19"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Echo Peak close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 7,670ft
Temperature: 44°
Snow Depth: 26"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Today's Forecast
↑41° ↓22°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓23° / ↑22°
  • Humidity↓47% / ↑91%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth7"
Partly cloudy before noon and then partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy later into the evening.
No snow throughout the day.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning shifting to W 16 to 28 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 35 mph. Expected wind chill to be 10 to 32 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 12th
↑37° ↓23°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓19° / ↑10°
  • Humidity↓40% / ↑88%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Overcast through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
None expected throughout the day.
No precipitation expected throughout the day.
Winds E 8 to 17 mph through the morning shifting to S 5 to 14 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 11 to 20 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 13th
↑43° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓18° / ↑19°
  • Humidity↓30% / ↑67%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
No snow throughout the day.
No precipitation expected.
Winds SW 8 to 17 mph through the morning shifting to SW 22 to 34 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 43 mph. Wind chill expected to be 18 to 32 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 14th
↑39° ↓25°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓18° / ↑20°
  • Humidity↓42% / ↑83%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds into the evening.
No snow throughout the day.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds SW 29 to 41 mph through the morning becoming SW 11 to 22 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 58 mph. Expected wind chill to be 9 to 21 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 15th
↑40° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓20° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓48% / ↑78%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
None expected.
None expected.
Winds SW 9 to 20 mph through the morning shifting to SW 19 to 31 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 39 mph. Expected wind chill to be 13 to 29 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 16th
↑38° ↓29°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓26° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓53% / ↑94%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow3"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning, and then overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount before noon and 3 to 5 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.68 inches
Winds SW 22 to 34 mph through the morning shifting to SW 17 to 29 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 43 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 22 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update11 Dec @ 06:12
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total66"
  • Average Base Depth28 to 39"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
3in, past 6 days. Snow surface is packed powder and machine groomed
  • High Lift Elevation8,637ft
  • Base Elevation6,835ft
  • Vertical Drop1,802ft
  • Longest Trail2.50
  • Trails68 of 100
  • Lifts10 of 13
  • Acreage1800 of 2400 ( 70% )
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails20 ( 20% )
  • Trails with Snow Making6 ( 6% )
40°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity62%
  • Dewpoint28°
  • Sustained 0mph
  • Gusting 0mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow Depth6"
Comments
Unreported
Location
DW9019 Olympic Valley, CA
  • Elevation7,772ft
  • UpdatedDec 11 @ 04:10
snow stake
snow stake
Village
Village
Contact
Location
  • City: Truckee
  • State: California
  • Country: United States
Tahoe - Mammoth - April 04, 2018
Wednesday, April 4th, 2018

..NOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
Mild weather is expected through Thursday. A few light showers are possible today and Thursday, mainly well north of Interstate 80. A strong atmospheric river will impact northeast California and western Nevada Friday into Saturday, bringing periods of moderate to heavy rain, high elevation snow, gusty winds, and concerns for flooding along rivers and streams.

..MORE DETAIL...
(Translated from NWS but added in some detail and our own outlook)
A strong late season Atmospheric River (AR) will bring periods of heavy precipitation to the region Friday and Saturday. With a strong sub-tropical influence and the jet stream (cold air to the north of this) forecast to stay well north of the region during most of precipitation event. Precip will fall
primarily as rain, even in the higher elevations above 9,000 and 10,000 feet. The main concern continues to be flooding, both for small creeks and streams, and for main stem rivers. There is a flood watch in effect from late Friday afternoon through Saturday for the Sierra and the Sierra foothills.

It is late in the atmospheric river season and this AR is forecast to be solidly in the strong category, which is quite rare for this time of year. PWAT (moisture) and IVT (moisture + transport) anomalies are on the very high end of their respective scales for this time of year, and between Friday afternoon and Saturday morning, several inches of water or more will fall on thew west slopes of the Sierra Nevada.

Precipitation will begin to move into the Sierra and NE California by Thursday night with periods of light to moderate precipitation through Friday afternoon as warm advection precipitation begins to push into the Sierra. A 6-12 hour period of very heavy precipitation is expected Friday night into Saturday morning as the core of the low pressure nears the Pacific Northwest coast, bringing increased forcing to the moisture laden
environment over the Sierra. The very warm temperatures aloft will promote more efficient warm rain processes and will likely result in impressive rain rates Friday night (heavy rain and flooding likely).

Current forecast for QPF is up to around 3-4 inches along the Sierra crest with 1.5-2 inches along the immediate lee of the Sierra and 0.5-1.0 inch spilling into western Nevada. During the period of heaviest precipitation the jet stream and the cold core of the low is forecast to remain well north of the
Sierra. Very warm subtropical air is forecast to move into the area from the southwest with mid-level temperatures potentially rising to around +3C to +5C during the heaviest precipitation. This will likely push snow levels to 10,000+ to 11,000 feet later Friday through early Saturday. CM

NEXT WEEK...
Early through mid next week looks busy with storms, colder this time, with snow levels to resort bases... Moderate to heavy snow is expected Tuesday and again next Thursday (9th/ 11th), followed by some sunshine and warming. After the 15th/ 16th or so we see high pressure build in across the eastern Pacific and west US coast, with sunny skies and warming temperatures, quite spring-like. CM
Feel free to share this, but please cite credit to snowforecast.com. Thank you! CM

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December 07, 2018 - Aspen and Western Colorado Short/ Long Range Outlook
Mostly light additional snow, then a mostly sunny weekend, and  more snow next Tuesday and Wednesday (heavier)!

HOW ARE WE DOING (please contact chris@snowforecast.com or comment below)? Let us know please...

Light snow for most areas including Aspen, and  across southwest Colorado...

-The latest storm absolutely dumped RAIN and snow across southern California, is headed mainly along the Mexico border now, and taking a southern track... El Nino style, with a few" of snow across southwest Colorado to Aspen's mountains, under a moist southwest flow of moisture across the mountains, while most energy passes to the south

This coming weekend we expect a high pressure ridge to build in, with cooler air dragged into Colorado initially on Saturday, as the southern tracking low pressure system exits (northwest/ north flow of winds from the colder north), and sunshine pops through in the then drier air... Powder + sunshine, what Colorado is known for!

LONGER RANGE:
It looks like El Nino is not an official anomaly yet, as I expected in my September LR forecast (for Aspen and SW Colorado / For northern Colorado resorts) so we are in an ENSO Neutral phase, though in the latest update from NOAA, we are seeing warming waters, still a weak El Nino at best. This may explain the more southerly tracking storm systems we have seen, and will likely see in the coming weeks of December and January. CM

Next week, the 11th onward, we expect a couple of snow storms and some moderate to significant snow for western Colorado. Because these look like strong and cold systems (ask Niseko, Japan) with a good fetch of moisture across the Pacific, they are capable of good snowfall across all of western Colorado if the track is right (a bit more north). It looks like 2 storms total for next week, one Tuesday/ Wednesday and another late next week. CM

(NO CHANGE from the last LR update) : It is looking like we may see a busy time as we approach the Christmas and New Year holiday period, with some significant storms possibly lining up to affect all of the western US including Colorado... We expect to see a 7-14 day period of down time and mostly sunny skies following this series of storms, that may start around/ after Christmas. In January we see that down time to start the month (a week-ish), then storms should kick in again on a more regular basis, but possibly favoring northern resorts this time as the east coast gets hit hard and these systems brush mainly northern Colorado. More updates are coming. Do you have any ideas on what you want to see in our discussions? Please contact through the site! We do not charge for any of our info, and have been providing it all for free since 1998, "Predicting Sick Days since 1998"! CM

Expanded Outlook

Tuesday
↑41° / ↓22°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then W 16 to 28 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓26°
Sky
Partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 10 to 29 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds W 16 to 28 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Expected wind chill to be 16 to 32 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,853ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑37° / ↓23°
iconWinds: E 8 to 17 mph, then S 5 to 14 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓30°
Sky
Cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds E 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 11 to 17 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑31° / ↓25°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 14 to 20 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,853ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑43° / ↓26°
iconWinds: SW 8 to 17 mph, then SW 22 to 34 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑43° / ↓32°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds SW 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 20 to 30 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓31°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 22 to 34 mph with gusts up to 41 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 32 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,853ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑39° / ↓25°
iconWinds: SW 29 to 41 mph, then SW 11 to 22 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑38° / ↓31°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds SW 29 to 41 mph with gusts up to 58 mph. Wind chill expected to be 12 to 20 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑36° / ↓25°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 11 to 22 mph with gusts up to 34 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 21 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,853ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑40° / ↓27°
iconWinds: SW 9 to 20 mph, then SW 19 to 31 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Morning winds SW 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 28 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 26 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓31°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 19 to 31 mph with gusts up to 39 mph. Wind chill expected to be 20 to 29 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,853ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑38° / ↓29°
iconWinds: SW 22 to 34 mph, then SW 17 to 29 mph
iconForecast Snow: 3"
icon

AM

icon
↑38° / ↓32°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches
Winds
Morning winds SW 22 to 34 mph with gusts up to 43 mph. Expected wind chill to be 15 to 22 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓29°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 3 to 5 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 17 to 29 mph with gusts up to 36 mph. Expected wind chill to be 13 to 18 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 6,853ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature25°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature28°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature27°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature29°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature32°
  • Soil Low Temperature28°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart