Arapahoe Basin ↑39° ↓21° Forecast:   0" Base:   18"
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Grizzly Peak close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,100ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Loveland Basin close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,400ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: 11"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Jackwhacker Gulch close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,960ft
Temperature: 30°
Snow Depth: 10"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Jones Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,400ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 6"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Berthoud Summit close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,300ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: 5"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Michigan Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 32°
Snow Depth: 4"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Middle Fork Camp close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,940ft
Temperature: 33°
Snow Depth: 0"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Echo Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 4"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Fool Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,150ft
Temperature: 29°
Snow Depth: 7"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Summit Ranch close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,400ft
Temperature: 29°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Copper Mountain close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,550ft
Temperature: 32°
Snow Depth: 5"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Hoosier Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,400ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: 10"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Fremont Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,400ft
Temperature: 29°
Snow Depth: 12"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Lake Eldora close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,700ft
Temperature: 35°
Snow Depth: 5"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Buckskin Joe close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,150ft
Temperature:
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Vail Mountain close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,300ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 6"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
High Lonesome close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,620ft
Temperature: 30°
Snow Depth: 9"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Mt Evans 12 mi

Mt Evans
Today's Forecast
↑39° ↓21°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓15° / ↑17°
  • Humidity↓45% / ↑91%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth18"
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
None expected today.
None expected today.
Winds S 4 to 13 mph through the morning shifting to SW 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 5 to 24 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 20th
↑45° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓7° / ↑9°
  • Humidity↓28% / ↑58%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Clear throughout the day.
None expected today.
No precipitation expected today.
Winds variable at 2 to 9 mph through the morning shifting to W 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 28 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 21st
↑46° ↓29°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓14° / ↑9°
  • Humidity↓34% / ↑56%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
None expected today.
No precipitation expected throughout the day.
Winds W 7 to 16 mph through the morning shifting to W 5 to 14 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 19 to 28 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 22nd
↑44° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓18° / ↑20°
  • Humidity↓42% / ↑71%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth0"
Mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon followed by another trace in the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning becoming S 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 22 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 30 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 23rd
↑41° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓22° / ↑23°
  • Humidity↓56% / ↑88%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Overcast throughout the day. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting before noon and a dusting in the afternoon, then another 2 to 3 inches later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds S 5 to 14 mph through the morning shifting to SW 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 22 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 24th
↑40° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓17° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓53% / ↑77%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snowfall expected to be a trace before noon and a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds W 6 to 15 mph through the morning shifting to W 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 14 to 20 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update18 Oct @ 03:10
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth18"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
Snow surface is packed powder and machine groomed
  • High Lift Elevation13,050ft
  • Base Elevation10,780ft
  • Vertical Drop2,530ft
  • Longest Trail1.5 miles
  • Trails0 of 145
  • Lifts0 of 9
  • Acreage0 of 1428 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Trails with Snow Making2 ( % )
30°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity96%
  • Dewpoint29°
  • SustainedSE 5mph
  • GustingSE 0mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
Fair
Location
Granby-Grand County Airport, CO
  • Elevation12,247ft
  • UpdatedOct 19 @ 04:18
30°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity96%
  • Dewpoint29°
  • SustainedSE 5mph
  • GustingSE 0mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow Depth6"
Comments
Fair
Location
Granby-Grand County Airport, CO
  • Elevation10,102ft
  • UpdatedOct 19 @ 04:18
Top
Base
Base Area
Base Area
Mid-Mountain
Mid-Mountain
Facing the Pali
Facing the Pali
Snow Cam
Snow Cam
Zuma
Zuma
Snow Plume Refuge
Snow Plume Refuge
Contact
Location
  • City: Dillon
  • State: Colorado
  • Country: United States
Central Rocky Mountains_Aspen - 2018-2019 Seasonal Long Range Outlook
Fri, August 31st, 2018 (begun this article)
Sunday September 23, 2018 (I finally finished it!)

MODOKI EL NINO = bad, REGULAR EL NINO = usually good, WEAK EL NINO to ENSO Neutral = can be good (due also to other factors)! There are many possibilities with the last one (the one we think is coming) but we will nail it down for you! 

Central and Western Colorado, Aspen-Snowmass to Durango
FALL and WINTER SEASON FORECAST FROM SNOWFORECAST.COM!

...WHAT IS THE FORECAST?...
OCTOBER - (Slightly above average snowfall and below average temperatures) Early season cold and October snows are expected for the ski resorts, with most snow and coldest temperatures being east of Vail Pass and the divide, but more than the average of 10" of snow that Aspen averages in town (more on the mountain), as storms drop in out of Canada for the most part, carrying the bulk of moisture and cold air to northern Colorado and to the east of the Vail Pass and the divide. There will be enough cold and snow to test out snowmaking equipment. The early snows will open the usual 10,000ft+ resorts early, and help to chill the soil for good base building as we move into November... We also expect the usual transition season cut-off and closed low pressure systems to move in from the west and deliver some surprises (snow then best for Aspen and southwest Colorado)... "Cut-off" means the low is cut off from and not being pushed around by, the storm steering flow (usually at 500mb).
NOVEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall, and below average temperatures) Near to above average early season snow overall across the region and no snow level issues, with cold systems out of Canada diving through and hitting all areas, as high pressure ridging offshore of the west coast allows storms to develop and move south from out of Canada, moving in with below average temperatures and some extreme record cold. We expect some early opening days on good bases. Snow is expected to be well preserved as colder than usual air helps to protect the snow...
DECEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall and near to below average temperatures through mid December, then dropping off to near average snowfall and near average temperatures in late December on some good bases). Some significant snowfall events through mid and maybe into late December, and near to below average temperatures should combine to be great for Christmas-New Year skiing/ boarding, then incoming storms start shifting to the south on a different storm track, with lighter snows for Aspen and good for southwest Colorado as we move into the holidays.
JANUARY ONWARD, MORE COMING SOON - ? Stay tuned, but a brief synopsis: Dry for most of January with above average temperatures as high pressure ridging builds in, and the east coast gets hammered with cold and snow. Storms return in February with near to above average snowfall and near average temperatures for Aspen-Snowmass, then March through the rest of the season looks near to warmer than average in temperature, with below average snows. April could produce some big storms and powder days to pass through the region, building the late season snowpack. More details are coming, and I will be naming resorts and forecasting long range snow totalsCM

...WHAT ARE THE FACTORS AND OPINIONS?...
Here are my August 31 observations: An El Nino that "wants" to happen, but meager warming to even some cooling in the key Nino regions (recent), and a mostly neutral status (currently) is not showing much hope for any El Nino pattern that may be classified as moderate or strong. In fact, I will say that we will not see a moderate or strong El Nino SST pattern this 2018-2019 season, and the NOAA forecasted weak El Nino is looking like a "maybe".
And, my September 15 observations: Latest guidance indicates that the El Nino SST anomaly will be weak, at best, in my opinion. Here is why: Cooler eastern Pacific waters (Nino 3.4 region)/ Subsurface waters heat content (180-100W Lat) has decreased/ and the current pattern is showing mostly a general cooling and not warming overall, though in the last 7 days, eastern Pacific surface waters off the coast of Ecuador (means "Equator") have warmed . Its mid September and this El Nino event should be a bit more evident. Its not. Even NOAA has backed off a bit with a 65% chance of El Nino formation, instead of the 70% they had called for early on in the summer when this anomaly looked more likely. For them to back off a bit like that indicates definite lost confidence, and this is not surprising, as I lost confidence in it occurring myself, back in July. Things work a bit slower in these large organizations, while us "loose cannons" (whatever in the hell that means) can blast off at will. Haha.

LONGRANGE_ENSO cpc _human reasoning_2
*An El Nino is still favored according to the above Climate Prediction Center chart*

LONGRANGE_SubsurfaceTempAnomalies

*We have seen some areas of cooling in the Nino 1+2 and 3 regions, as this El Nino struggles to form. This is indicating cooling in the subsurface waters, which is a factor that is looked at for potential SST's*

LONGRANGE_Last Year of Anomalies_best chart_Marked up

*As of Sep 12, there is some warming going on again in the referenced "Nino 3" region, so overall there is a positive SST anomaly, but mostly less than +.5 (in yellow on the above chart), which is the threshold that needs to be met for 3 consecutive months before an actual El Nino pattern is recognized. For now we are in an "ENSO neutral" status.

SOLAR MINIMUM: In terms of sunspot activity, there is currently almost none, or even "none", zero, zilch, nada, many days. Decreased or zero sunspot activity also affects our weather patterns. The chart below shows how we are in a solar "grand minimum" right now:

LONGRANGE_Sunspot Activity_Solar Minimum
We have seen some recent serious weather extremes this Summer of 2018, and have no reason to believe that we will not see similar extremes this fall and winter in North America:

From extreme heat in Europe, notably northern Europe:

LONGRANGE_Extremes_HeatInScandanavia


To extreme snow and cold in August:
LONGRANGE_Extremes_Salzburg
 NOAA: So to reiterate, NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) was forecasting a 60% likelihood for formation of an El Nino SST pattern this fall, and a 70% chance for the winter, 2018-2019, while now those forecasts are down to 50-55% and 65-70%, respectively. Large organizations like NOAA are not going to go backward on the forecast (decreased % chance), like this without very good reason, like, "its not happening like we thought it would guys"...

SNOWFORECAST.COM: At this point, a "weak" El Nino SST anomaly is the forecast from NOAA. I have believed since June that this would be a weak El Nino pattern that sets up, based on the afore-mentioned trend, but am now wondering if this El Nino will even show up at all. We think that the weak El Nino or no El Nino is going to turn out well for Aspen and southwest Colorado as it is combined with weak sunspot activity (solar minimum) for expected colder air (and stronger storms that reach the area) this winter overall. If an El Nino, weak, does form, it is looking more likely to be the Modoki version, which on average, sucks (dry) all across the western US. Thankfully, as a weak factor (there are other factors), a weak El Nino of any kind will have a "weaker" influence on the weather patterns we see this fall and winter, THANKFULLY. We are also looking (currently) at a weakly negative PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation, more of a long term state of ocean water temps), which will not help in the El Nino department. Neutral to "very weak El Nino" is what we are forecasting as we move into fall and maybe through the winter, at best +.5 which is barely classified as an El Nino. As well, with the Grand Solar Minimum, expect the unexpected, and so far, that has proven true in many parts of the world. How will all of these factors; Weak El Nino, or even "ENSO Neutral" SST anomaly, neutral PDO, GSM (solar), and my own intuition, affect the southwest and western Colorado forecast? Just scroll back to the top to find out!

Feel free to share this, but please cite credit to snowforecast.com. Thank you! CM

Snowforecast.com Copyright © 1998–2018. Unauthorized Use Prohibited.

Some References:
COLD AND SNOW:  https://www.theweek.info/index.php?newsid=3760 (Salzburg, over 1 foot of snow in August!)

HEAT:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/07/17/scorching-scandinavia-record-breaking-heat-hits-norway-finland-and-sweden (90+ degrees in Norway, all time record high temps!)

Great resource for current SST’s and anomalies: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/

International Research Institute: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume

Latest ENSO Discussion: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.php

Space Weather ("Solar Minimum"): https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression

NCEP model forecast SST anomalies (1 model forecasting La Nina): http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/tmpsfc_Seas2.html

The ONE outlier model forecasting La Nina: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/images/NASA_GEOS5v2_ensemble_tmpsfc_season2.png

Loads of the latest SST charts from ESRL, knock yourself out: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml

Best anomaly chart (in my opinion): https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/sst/sst.anom.hov.gif

Detailed ENSO Discussion from NOAA: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

More info/ charts on Modoki El Nino: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/enmodoki_home_s.html.en

El Nino/ La Nina years/ ONI: http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm

A GREAT resource for "no BS" historical ski season info: http://bestsnow.net/

Latest PDO and history: http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest.txt

 

Mountain Summit Forecast

Friday
↑34° / ↓17°
iconWinds: S 8 to 19 mph, then SW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑29° / ↓17°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds near the top S 8 to 19 mph with gusts up to 24 mph. Expected wind chill to be -7 to -3 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓18°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be -3 to 11 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 14,207ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑39° / ↓23°
iconWinds: variable 2 to 9 mph, then W 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑36° / ↓23°
Sky
Clear through the morning.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds near the top variable at 2 to 9 mph. Wind chill expected to be 8 to 15 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑36° / ↓23°
Sky
Clear into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 8 to 13 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 14,207ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑39° / ↓24°
iconWinds: W 9 to 20 mph, then W 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑38° / ↓24°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 11 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑36° / ↓24°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 6 to 11 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 14,207ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑37° / ↓21°
iconWinds: S 6 to 15 mph, then S 12 to 23 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓23°
Sky
Mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top S 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 7 to 10 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑34° / ↓21°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the afternoon, then another trace later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 12 to 23 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. Expected wind chill to be -2 to 9 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 14,207ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑34° / ↓21°
iconWinds: S 9 to 20 mph, then SW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑34° / ↓21°
Sky
Overcast before noon.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top S 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be 0 to 2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓21°
Sky
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the afternoon, then another 2 to 3 inches in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 7 to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 0 to 6 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 14,207ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑34° / ↓21°
iconWinds: W 6 to 15 mph, then SW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑33° / ↓21°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast before noon.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 6 to 15 mph. Wind chill expected to be 0 to 2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑31° / ↓21°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 7 to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -3 to 4 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 14,207ft
temperature graph

Mountain Base Forecast

Friday
↑42° / ↓22°
iconWinds: N 4 to 13 mph, then SW 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓22°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base N 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 7 to 25 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑40° / ↓26°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 31 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 10,497ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑48° / ↓27°
iconWinds: variable 2 to 9 mph, then W 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑44° / ↓27°
Sky
Clear before noon.
Snow
No snow in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 2 to 9 mph. Expected wind chill to be 20 to 33 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑45° / ↓29°
Sky
Clear into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base W 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 22 to 35 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 10,497ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑48° / ↓28°
iconWinds: W 7 to 16 mph, then W 5 to 14 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑45° / ↓28°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base W 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 18 to 30 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑45° / ↓30°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base W 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 23 to 33 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 10,497ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑47° / ↓28°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then S 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑46° / ↓29°
Sky
Mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 23 to 35 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑45° / ↓28°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base S 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 22 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 36 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 10,497ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑45° / ↓27°
iconWinds: S 5 to 14 mph, then SW 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑43° / ↓27°
Sky
Cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base S 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 30 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑43° / ↓27°
Sky
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the afternoon followed by another 2 to 3 inches later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 7 to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 19 to 30 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 10,497ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑43° / ↓26°
iconWinds: W 6 to 15 mph, then W 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑41° / ↓26°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast before noon.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base W 6 to 15 mph. Expected wind chill to be 16 to 25 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑40° / ↓26°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base W 7 to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 14 to 26 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 10,497ft
temperature graph

Climatology

  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 50 62 1980 32 1965 27 40 1980 13 1965 0.027 0.22 1977 0.14 1.0 1977 0.4 6 1965
2 49 59 1963 29 1971 27 38 1976 14 1971 0.034 0.55 1971 0.25 5.0 1971 0.4 5 1971
3 51 58 1964 31 1971 27 35 1967 14 1971 0.060 0.54 1966 0.73 7.0 1966 0.9 7 1966
4 48 58 1964 30 1969 26 35 1963 17 1971 0.153 1.20 1969 1.36 13.0 1969 1.4 16 1969
5 46 58 1963 25 1969 26 33 1963 10 1969 0.146 1.15 1969 1.16 16.0 1969 1.7 26 1969
6 46 58 1963 26 1969 25 31 1977 10 1969 0.059 0.36 1977 0.61 3.0 1982 1.8 22 1969
7 47 62 1975 29 1976 25 34 1980 11 1976 0.050 0.50 1977 0.45 4.0 1977 1.7 17 1969
8 47 63 1980 30 1970 24 34 1981 7 1970 0.060 0.34 1977 0.61 4.0 1977 1.8 12 1969
9 44 60 1980 20 1982 23 32 1980 7 1970 0.059 0.48 1968 0.68 6.5 1968 1.9 11 1969
10 45 58 1965 18 1982 23 32 1972 7 1982 0.097 0.74 1982 1.02 9.0 1970 2.3 13 1970
11 45 58 1963 24 1977 22 32 1981 -2 1977 0.138 0.80 1983 1.59 9.0 1970 3.3 18 1969
12 43 56 1979 14 1969 23 36 1975 -1 1969 0.075 0.65 1969 0.86 8.0 1969 3.2 19 1969
13 44 56 1975 21 1969 22 31 1972 0 1969 0.052 0.65 1984 0.61 6.0 1984 3.0 21 1969
14 45 56 1979 30 1969 22 32 1968 9 1966 0.071 0.98 1966 0.84 12.0 1966 3.0 17 1969
15 43 56 1971 20 1984 21 33 1971 4 1984 0.075 0.32 1970 1.07 6.0 1970 3.1 19 1969
16 42 56 1965 16 1984 20 30 1965 4 1969 0.092 0.65 1984 1.18 10.0 1984 3.4 18 1969
17 40 55 1978 19 1980 20 30 1974 2 1984 0.094 1.15 1980 1.28 16.0 1980 3.7 19 1980
18 41 55 1974 20 1980 19 31 1974 1 1968 0.108 0.52 1984 1.23 6.0 1984 4.4 20 1984
19 38 55 1974 15 1984 17 30 1974 3 1984 0.045 0.26 1984 0.66 4.5 1984 4.1 21 1984
20 41 51 1975 22 1984 19 34 1979 5 1969 0.017 0.20 1984 0.23 4.0 1984 3.4 23 1984
21 43 51 1974 25 1984 20 28 1974 3 1984 0.081 0.58 1979 0.84 7.0 1979 3.5 21 1984
22 39 51 1967 23 1979 19 29 1967 6 1979 0.077 0.48 1978 0.93 6.0 1977 3.9 20 1984
23 39 52 1973 18 1978 17 30 1973 1 1980 0.045 0.35 1970 0.55 4.0 1970 3.6 19 1984
24 37 53 1973 16 1980 16 26 1974 0 1980 0.083 0.77 1975 1.16 10.0 1967 4.2 19 1984
25 36 49 1965 14 1975 16 28 1979 -5 1975 0.073 0.66 1981 0.98 8.0 1981 4.5 21 1984
26 40 51 1966 24 1978 18 30 1979 -1 1970 0.070 0.46 1971 0.89 5.5 1971 4.4 19 1984
27 40 57 1977 20 1976 17 28 1983 -4 1970 0.084 0.60 1976 1.30 9.0 1976 4.9 23 1984
28 38 49 1983 18 1970 17 27 1977 0 1980 0.042 0.34 1982 0.59 4.0 1982 4.8 22 1984
29 39 51 1963 20 1982 17 27 1983 0 1980 0.065 0.79 1967 1.09 15.0 1967 5.2 19 1984
30 37 54 1968 16 1971 16 28 1983 -3 1971 0.121 0.67 1969 1.69 10.0 1969 6.5 27 1969
31 34 50 1968 14 1979 16 28 1983 -2 1979 0.102 0.70 1981 1.39 9.0 1981 7.1 27 1969
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 52 69 1980 32 1961 28 39 2015 12 1985 0.044 0.40 1894 0.39 4.0 1894 0.6 18 1959
2 52 65 2010 26 2009 27 38 1954 9 1961 0.036 0.39 1959 0.37 4.7 1959 0.6 19 1959
3 52 63 1992 34 1959 27 38 1954 10 1971 0.054 0.96 1969 0.51 10.3 1969 0.6 17 1959
4 51 62 1993 32 2002 27 38 2005 10 1971 0.062 0.63 1984 0.61 7.5 1969 0.8 14 1959
5 49 62 1997 27 1998 25 37 1963 8 2013 0.062 0.60 1893 0.66 7.0 1998 1.0 14 1959
6 47 68 1997 21 1995 24 37 1954 1 1995 0.045 0.32 1974 0.41 3.0 2009 1.1 16 1969
7 49 65 1975 29 1976 24 37 1975 3 1976 0.045 0.70 1977 0.48 6.9 1959 1.0 16 1959
8 48 73 1980 22 1970 24 37 1954 4 1959 0.052 0.80 1985 0.73 9.0 1985 1.3 16 1959
9 48 62 1980 27 1997 23 35 1963 4 1970 0.028 0.40 1972 0.26 7.0 1982 1.1 14 1959
10 48 64 2003 29 1970 24 32 2015 -4 1982 0.063 1.40 2005 0.74 17.0 2005 1.4 17 2005
11 49 62 1996 27 1982 24 36 1999 0 1982 0.045 0.40 1954 0.46 4.0 2013 1.3 13 1970
12 48 69 1991 23 1969 24 35 1954 4 1982 0.025 0.41 1997 0.30 5.0 1997 1.2 13 1969
13 47 63 1996 20 1997 23 35 1972 1 1997 0.059 0.56 2014 0.60 8.3 2014 1.5 13 1959
14 46 62 1996 30 1954 22 35 1979 1 1997 0.041 0.47 1966 0.29 3.5 1954 1.2 12 1969
15 46 63 1989 28 1975 21 32 1971 4 1966 0.055 0.56 2007 0.63 7.0 1969 1.5 18 1969
16 46 61 1961 20 2013 22 34 2011 2 2013 0.033 0.38 1969 0.41 7.0 1969 1.5 22 1969
17 45 63 1991 20 1968 21 32 1964 -2 1999 0.057 0.75 1996 0.71 7.5 1996 1.7 20 1969
18 45 61 1974 23 1996 20 35 1991 0 1999 0.045 0.49 1960 0.65 5.7 1960 2.0 19 1969
19 45 62 2003 21 1984 21 32 1963 2 1999 0.025 0.55 2005 0.38 8.5 2005 1.8 19 1969
20 45 62 2003 21 1984 20 35 1977 2 1984 0.036 0.45 1986 0.51 7.0 1990 1.7 17 1969
21 44 60 2003 23 1996 20 32 1955 -7 1996 0.045 0.80 2006 0.57 12.0 2006 1.9 17 1969
22 43 64 2003 19 1996 20 32 2003 -7 1996 0.046 0.57 1986 0.67 7.0 1986 2.2 17 2006
23 41 60 2003 18 2008 19 37 2003 -3 1996 0.060 0.63 2015 0.66 7.0 1955 2.2 17 1969
24 42 59 1992 26 1980 18 30 2014 -2 1996 0.047 0.66 1956 0.72 12.0 1956 2.4 17 1969
25 42 59 2014 18 1975 18 33 2014 -2 1975 0.068 1.10 1893 0.93 11.0 1893 2.7 16 1969
26 41 61 2014 19 2003 17 32 1979 -4 2012 0.049 0.77 2010 0.66 11.0 2006 2.8 20 2006
27 41 63 1977 18 1970 17 29 1983 -5 1970 0.046 0.50 1978 0.59 8.4 1971 2.6 20 2006
28 41 55 1977 18 1955 18 30 2004 -3 1980 0.045 0.68 1998 0.69 13.0 1991 3.0 18 2010
29 40 54 1990 12 2009 17 30 2001 -5 2009 0.067 0.39 1971 1.06 9.3 1967 3.8 23 1969
30 40 54 1962 17 1989 16 32 2001 -9 1993 0.053 0.83 1949 0.77 8.1 1969 3.8 27 1969
31 38 52 2001 14 1972 16 29 2001 -7 1993 0.045 0.59 1963 0.74 8.0 1992 3.5 24 1969
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature33°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature37°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature36°
  • Soil Low Temperature32°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature36°
  • Soil Low Temperature33°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature36°
  • Soil Low Temperature33°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart