Ashcroft Ski Touring ↑14° ↓2° Forecast:   2" Base:   26"
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Upper Taylor close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,640ft
Temperature: 15°
Snow Depth: 52"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Independence Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 14°
Snow Depth: 52"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Schofield Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,700ft
Temperature: 15°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Brumley close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 17°
Snow Depth: 44"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Chapman Tunnel close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,110ft
Temperature: 20°
Snow Depth: 45"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Butte close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,160ft
Temperature: 18°
Snow Depth: 52"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
North Lost Trail close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,200ft
Temperature: 22°
Snow Depth: 50"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Nast Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,700ft
Temperature: 29°
Snow Depth: 33"
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Kiln close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,600ft
Temperature: 24°
Snow Depth: 41"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Ivanhoe close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,400ft
Temperature: 18°
Snow Depth: 56"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Park Cone close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,600ft
Temperature: 23°
Snow Depth: 37"
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Mc Clure Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,500ft
Temperature: 24°
Snow Depth: 46"
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Today's Forecast
↑14° ↓2°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓6° / ↑6°
  • Humidity↓81% / ↑97%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth10"
Mostly cloudy before noon and then mostly cloudy becoming cloudy later into the evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the early morning, then another trace amount before noon and a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds SE 5 to 14 mph through the morning shifting to SE 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be -15 to 5 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 19th
↑13° ↓1°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓5° / ↑5°
  • Humidity↓82% / ↑98%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth10"
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace before noon and a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.4 inches
Winds W 4 to 13 mph through the morning becoming variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be -10 to 2 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 20th
↑12° ↓-3°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓2° / ↑0°
  • Humidity↓58% / ↑95%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth20"
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow after daylight.
Flurries possible.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds W 5 to 14 mph through the morning becoming S 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be -19 to 1 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 21st
↑14° ↓7°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓6° / ↑4°
  • Humidity↓61% / ↑93%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth21"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace amount before noon.
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches
Winds S 4 to 13 mph through the morning shifting to SE 6 to 15 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -16 to 5 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 22nd
↑17° ↓13°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓10° / ↑11°
  • Humidity↓69% / ↑92%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow6"
  • Regional Snow Depth26"
Overcast throughout the day. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall expected to be 2 to 3 inches in the early morning followed by another 3 to 5 inches before noon and 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.6 inches
Winds W 4 to 13 mph through the morning becoming W 5 to 14 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -1 to 13 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 23rd
↑12° ↓10°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓5° / ↑8°
  • Humidity↓62% / ↑86%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth28"
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow throughout the day.
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the early morning followed by another trace amount before noon and a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds W 7 to 16 mph through the morning becoming W 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be -6 to 0 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update12 Feb @ 12:02
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total18"
  • Average Base Depth26 to 60"
  • Today's Snow Potential2"
Comments
2in, past 3 days. Snow surface is powder and packed powder
  • High Lift Elevation10,100ft
  • Base Elevation9,500ft
  • Vertical Drop600ft
  • Longest Trailvariable
  • Trails0 of 20
  • Lifts0 of
  • Acreage0 of ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails14 ( 30% )
  • Cross Country Area32
26°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity40%
  • Dewpoint
  • SustainedSE 0mph
  • GustingSE 7mph
  • Visibility11.90 miles
  • Snow Depth37"
Comments
Fair
Location
082E038 ASPEN-CEMETERY LANE, CO
  • Elevation7,897ft
  • UpdatedFeb 18 @ 03:18
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • State: Colorado
  • Country: United States
Ashcroft Ski Touring Discussion
YESTERDAY: "A low pressure system is approaching, with mostly sunny skies and cold temperatures today, clouding up with light to moderate snow this evening and overnight mainly, favoring southwest Colorado (moderate, 5 to 9" of snow), and to some extent Aspen-Snowmass, less so for Vail and eastward/ northward, under a southwest flow aloft, and cross-mountain, as low pressure is centered mainly to the southwest."

TODAY we see this southerly tracking low get pulled in toward Colorado, as a more northern system dives in toward Colorado, with increased forcing and moisture being pulled in across the region. This is looking like a good storm for southwest Colorado, with a strong southwesterly cross-mountain flow, and low centered across the southern CO border, and moisture looks decent. Moderate+ snow totals are expected for Aspen, with a favorable cross-mountain wind flow, good dynamics, and cold air.

On Tuesday the system moving through from the northwest continues to deliver snow through the morning and afternoon, lighter for Aspen but heavier for Vail and east/ north, though moisture at the point winds turn west/ northwest and favorable, decreases, which is usually the case (source regions for the air out of the west/ northwest are usually limited on moisture, as compared to from out of the warmer and higher dew point temperature (usually) west/ southwest).

Wednesday looks like it may be an in between day, with approaching low pressure, and more sunshine. Clouds increase overnight...

Thursday and Friday we have another low pressure system affecting the area, with moderate snow totals possible for Aspen, and heavy for southwest Colorado, which will be favored again.

The coming weekend we see another storm system moving through, with more snow, likely significant. CM

LONGER RANGE: Early March will be mostly spent under high pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies, no snow for the most part except for a few dustings of a trace to a few inches here and there as low pressure dives into the Great lakes and eastern US, brushing Colorado. Around the 10th-15th of March (For Colorado), we move back into an unsettled pattern with regular snowfalls again. CM
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Expanded Outlook

Monday
↑14° / ↓2°
iconWinds: SE 5 to 14 mph, then SE 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑12° / ↓1°
Skies
Mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning, then another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Morning winds SE 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be -15 to 2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑14° / ↓4°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds SE 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be -9 to 5 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,124ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑13° / ↓1°
iconWinds: W 4 to 13 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑13° / ↓4°
Skies
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.05 to 0.23 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -9 to 2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑13° / ↓1°
Skies
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be -10 to 2 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,124ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑12° / ↓-3°
iconWinds: W 5 to 14 mph, then S 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑10° / ↓-3°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Flurries possible through the morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds W 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be -19 to -5 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑10° / ↓7°
Skies
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds S 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be -17 to 1 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,124ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑14° / ↓7°
iconWinds: S 4 to 13 mph, then SE 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑13° / ↓9°
Skies
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -16 to 2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑13° / ↓10°
Skies
Mostly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Flurries possible through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds SE 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be -10 to 5 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,124ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑17° / ↓13°
iconWinds: W 4 to 13 mph, then W 5 to 14 mph
iconForecast Snow: 6"
icon

AM

icon
↑26° / ↓13°
Skies
Overcast through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 2 to 3 inches in the early morning, then another 3 to 5 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.09 to 0.43 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be -1 to 13 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑17° / ↓15°
Skies
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds W 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 1 to 12 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,124ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑12° / ↓10°
iconWinds: W 7 to 16 mph, then W 7 to 16 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑22° / ↓10°
Skies
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the early morning, then another trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Morning winds W 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be -6 to 0 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑12° / ↓10°
Skies
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds W 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be -6 to 0 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,124ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature19°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature19°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature16°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature17°
  • Soil Low Temperature-1°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature20°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart