Aspen/Snowmass Nordic Trail ↑32° ↓13° Forecast:   4" Base:   10"
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Chapman Tunnel close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,110ft
Temperature: 20°
Snow Depth: 46"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Nast Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,700ft
Temperature: 22°
Snow Depth: 33"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Independence Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 19°
Snow Depth: 52"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Kiln close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,600ft
Temperature: 20°
Snow Depth: 42"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Upper Taylor close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,640ft
Temperature: 17°
Snow Depth: 54"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Ivanhoe close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,400ft
Temperature: 18°
Snow Depth: 55"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Schofield Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,700ft
Temperature: 19°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Brumley close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 17°
Snow Depth: 47"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
North Lost Trail close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,200ft
Temperature: 23°
Snow Depth: 50"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Butte close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,160ft
Temperature: 20°
Snow Depth: 51"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Mc Clure Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,500ft
Temperature: 23°
Snow Depth: 52"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Park Cone close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,600ft
Temperature: 25°
Snow Depth: 36"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Today's Forecast
↑32° ↓13°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓13° / ↑8°
  • Humidity↓66% / ↑92%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow4"
  • Regional Snow Depth10"
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening with mostly light snow showers (more moderate on the mountain). Snow ends after midnight.
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 3 inches at the base, and 3 to 5 inches on the upper mountain, with snow levels approaching 7,000 feet (dense).
Potential Precip: 0.17 to 0.43 inches
Winds S 4 to 12 mph through the morning shifting to SW 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 20 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 23rd
↑29° ↓6°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓8° / ↑1°
  • Humidity↓44% / ↑86%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth23"
Overcast becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow after daylight.
Flurries possible.
Potential Precip: 0.06 to 0.28 inches
Winds NW 5 to 15 mph through the morning becoming W at 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 30 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 24th
↑35° ↓3°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓14° / ↑3°
  • Humidity↓49% / ↑75%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth23"
Becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning (chilly), and then partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening, with milder daytime temperatures.
No snow throughout the day.
No precipitation expected.
Winds Variable at 4 to 12 mph through the morning becoming W 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 30 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 25th
↑41° ↓5°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓16° / ↑10°
  • Humidity↓49% / ↑67%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth10"
Mostly clear and milder (slightly spring-like snow surface mid-day) with a few clouds throughout the day. Clouds increase overnight (storm approaching).
None expected.
No precipitation expected throughout the day.
Winds Variable at 4 to 12 mph through the morning becoming W 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 30 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 26th
↑35° ↓24°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓20° / ↑14°
  • Humidity↓51% / ↑73%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow3"
  • Regional Snow Depth9"
Mostly cloudy to cloudy through the day with snow showers expected. Temperatures look colder.
Snowfall is forecast to be 1 to 2 inches at the base, and 2 to 4 inches on the upper mountain, with snow levels running close to 7,000 feet (dense snow).
Potential Precip: 0.15 to 0.35 inches
Winds S 5 to 15 mph through the morning shifting to SW 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 27th
↑40° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓22° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓54% / ↑75%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain in the evening.
None expected.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds W 5 to 14 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 15 to 26 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update16 Jan @ 09:01
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth( Estimate ) 10"
  • Today's Snow Potential4"
Comments
None Reported
  • High Lift Elevation8,600ft
  • Base Elevation7,800ft
  • Vertical Drop800ft
  • Longest Trail9.32 miles
  • Trails0 of 15
  • Lifts0 of 0
  • Acreage0 of 5 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone Available
28°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity36%
  • Dewpoint
  • SustainedSW 0mph
  • GustingSW 9mph
  • Visibility11.90 miles
  • Snow Depth50"
Comments
Mostly Cloudy
Location
082E038 ASPEN-CEMETERY LANE, CO
  • Elevation7,897ft
  • UpdatedFeb 22 @ 10:17
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • City: Aspen
  • State: Colorado
  • Country: United States
Aspen/Snowmass Nordic Trail Discussion
YESTERDAY: "We have another low pressure system affecting the area, with light to moderate snow totals expected for Aspen, and heavy for southwest Colorado, which will be favored as most storm energy moves through Utah and Arizona (centered over southern California though."

TODAY: The low pressure system is moving through New Mexico, with light to moderate snow for Aspen, and heavy for southwest Colorado which will be favored again under the south/ southwest cross-mountain wind flow, and most storm energy moves along southern Colorado and New Mexico. Snow ends after midnight, before Saturday morning

On Saturday we expect partly cloudy/ mostly sunny skies as low pressure moves by to the north, with some flurries possible mainly on the mountain at Aspen-Snowmass, and to the north who will be more favored.

On Sunday and Monday we expect milder temperatures under partly cloudy/ mostly sunny skies again as another low pressure system is approaching.

Next Tuesday through Thursday/ Friday (Feb 26th through March 1st) we see a high pressure ridge nosing in form the southwest, while northern moisture and instability is pushing through the area, for some snow potential each day. I do not think this will be significant snowfall, though it will be cumulative and there could be some surprises. I will be watching. CM

LONGER RANGE: Early March will be mostly spent under high pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies, no snow for the most part except for a few dustings of a trace to a few inches here and there as low pressure dives into the Great lakes and eastern US, brushing Colorado. Around the 10th-15th of March (For Colorado), we move back into an unsettled pattern with regular snowfalls again. CM
LONG RANGE FORECAST - JAN 05, 2019
It has been a while since we updated this outlook. When paying full attention to any area we forecast for, which I have been watching weather patterns for (the western US also) since the 1970's, I put my forecasts of weather events/ timing/ snow totals up against any, especially in the long range. We gained quite a reputation for our Tahoe and Utah forecasts over a span of almost 15 years, gaining the attention of TV stations who used the forecasts with no mention of source, a movie financier who wanted me to be a part of a "think tank" group of professionals, radio stations, etc. Even major growers/ ag interests were using these free forecasts (for the longer range accuracy of weather event timing and significance), as an accurate long range forecaster is the equivalent of a "fortune teller", as told to me by the movie financier. There are competitors who charge for their info, and we do not, even though our information is a paid service in other formats we continue to deliver to agriculture customers to this day (Circa 1995). As I stated, I put my forecasts up against anyone else's in the area.

We gave out over $50,000 in SWAG (lodging, tickets, passes, gear, even Nativa Naturals food) from 2009-2011, stuff we couldn't even afford to buy ourselves, to many people from SFO and SAC, TVL area. If you check my bio you will see my story, there is a LOT more to it than what I am typing here.

I have received many emails due to the missing updates. The answer is, we have not had any support from advertisers, resorts, anyone in this region since around 2013. I continued on with the forecasting hoping for some support in the form of advertising or sponsorship, but it didn't happen, and I do not know anyone else who works for free.

That said, I would like to get these forecast outlooks going again-->

I never charged the site user for this service. The skier/ snowboarder has enough to pay for with fuel, lift tickets and passes, gear, life, etc., and I feel it is a service that should be provided by the host, the resort, to its visitors, even if in the form of advertising on the site. I have the same awesome, nice traffic as the rest of the snow sports niche sites, but am not going to run Google ads so they can charge $20/ cpm and give us less than a dollar cpm.

That said... I watch Colorado as that is where the business is for me. Recently, Bogus Basin joined the client list and now we work up a complete custom forecast for them as well, with a long range outlook. I will be drawing from that already completed work to deliver you a broad-brush longer range outlook for the western US, for now. I hope it is useful for you:

LONGER RANGE: The 9th-10th of January another low pressure system moves in with good potential snowfall, significant snow for the west coast mainly, less as we move inland, southern areas favored like southwest US areas,The 11-12th (roughly) and then the 13th-20th of January, we expect unsettled conditions to continue dominating the western US (had this forecast for over a month, early Dec forecast for this mid-late Jan time frame), and we expect a prominent moisture tap from the tropics, as El Nino starts to show itself more... So basically, between the 9th and 20th, we expect many more storms to move through with snow for most western US resort areas, down south to including Southern California and even favoring the southwest US as a more southerly track seems more likely... This unsettled period should last into around the 18th-20th of January, then in the last part of Jan and early February (through the 8th of Feb maybe), we start off with a snow down time under more dominant high pressure ridging. More to come. CM

Expanded Outlook

Friday
↑32° / ↓13°
iconWinds: SW 4 to 12 mph, then N 5 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 4"
icon

AM

icon
↑32° / ↓23°
Skies
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy through the morning with snow showers expected.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 3 inches at the base, and 3 to 5 inches on the upper mountain, with snow levels approaching 7,000 feet.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.17 to 0.43 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 4 to 12 mph.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓13°
Skies
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening with mostly light snow showers (more moderate on the mountain). Snow ends after midnight.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 2 to 3 inches at the base, and 3 to 5 inches on the upper mountain, with snow levels approaching 7,000 feet.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.17 to 0.43 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds SW at 5 to 15 gusts to 20 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,895ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑29° / ↓6°
iconWinds: W 5 to 15 mph, then SW 10 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑22° / ↓6°
Skies
Cloudy becoming partly cloudy before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Morning winds NW 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓10°
Skies
Mostly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds NW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,895ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑35° / ↓3°
iconWinds: W 4 to 12 mph, then SW 10 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑32° / ↓4°
Skies
Becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning (chilly).
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds Variable at 4 to 12 mph.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓21°
Skies
Partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening, with milder daytime temperatures.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds W 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,895ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑41° / ↓5°
iconWinds: W 4 to 12 mph, then SW 10 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑34° / ↓5°
Skies
Mostly clear and milder (slightly spring-like snow surface mid-day) with a few clouds throughout the day.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds Variable at 4 to 12 mph.

PM

icon
↑41° / ↓25°
Skies
Mostly clear and milder with a few clouds into the evening. Clouds increase overnight (storm approaching).
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds W 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,895ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑35° / ↓24°
iconWinds: W 5 to 15 mph, then W 10 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 3"
icon

AM

icon
↑35° / ↓24°
Skies
Mostly cloudy to cloudy through the day with snow showers expected. Temperatures look colder.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 1 to 2 inches at the base, and 2 to 4 inches on the upper mountain, with snow levels running close to 7,000 feet (dense snow).
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.15 to 0.35 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 5 to 15 mph.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓24°
Skies
Mostly cloudy to cloudy through the day with snow showers expected. Temperatures look colder.
Snow
Snowfall is forecast to be 1 to 2 inches at the base, and 2 to 4 inches on the upper mountain, with snow levels running close to 7,000 feet (dense snow).
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.15 to 0.35 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 10 to 20 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,895ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑40° / ↓27°
iconWinds: W 5 to 14 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓33°
Skies
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds W 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 15 to 26 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑33° / ↓29°
Skies
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain in the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 19 to 26 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,895ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature20°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature20°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature18°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature20°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature23°
  • Soil Low Temperature
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart