Beaver Creek Resort ↑63° ↓25° Forecast:   0" Base:   0"
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Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,480ft
Temperature: 53°
Snow Depth: "
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Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,500ft
Temperature: 47°
Snow Depth: "
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Vail Mountain close button
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Elevation: 10,300ft
Temperature: 49°
Snow Depth: 0"
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Elliot Ridge close button
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Elevation: 10,520ft
Temperature: 46°
Snow Depth: 4"
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Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,600ft
Temperature: 53°
Snow Depth: 2"
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Elevation: 9,400ft
Temperature: 53°
Snow Depth: "
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Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,700ft
Temperature: 59°
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Copper Mountain close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,550ft
Temperature: 47°
Snow Depth: 3"
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Ivanhoe close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,400ft
Temperature: 51°
Snow Depth: 7"
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Elevation: 10,110ft
Temperature: 51°
Snow Depth: 3"
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Elevation: 11,400ft
Temperature: 46°
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Vail 10 mi

Vail
Ski Cooper 23 mi

Ski Cooper
Today's Forecast
↑63° ↓25°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓23° / ↑25°
  • Humidity↓34% / ↑70%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth0"
Partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly clear with a few clouds and warmer in the afternoon, becoming mostly cloudy in the evening and overnight with showers approaching toward Monday morning.
None expected.
No precipitation expected throughout the day.
Winds S 4 to 12 mph through the morning becoming S/ SW at 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 22nd
↑56° ↓31°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓27° / ↑29°
  • Humidity↓34% / ↑76%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Partly to mostly cloudy and cooler with isolated showers through the morning and day, becoming mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, with showers increasing overnight.
Snowfall is expected to be a trace amount in town (morning) to 3 to 6 inches of snow above 10,000 feet.
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches, with a 50% chance of occurrence
Winds S at 5 to 15 mph through the morning becoming SW 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts to 25 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 23rd
↑49° ↓33°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓30° / ↑32°
  • Humidity↓49% / ↑86%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Mostly cloudy through the morning with scattered showers, becoming cloudy and cooler with showers in the afternoon, and snow levels lowering to near 9,000 feet in the evening/ overnight.
50% chance for snow, a trace in town (wet flakes) and 2 to 4 inches above 9,500 feet.
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.38 inches
Winds S 4 to 12 mph through the morning becoming SW at 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 25 mph.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 24th
↑50° ↓30°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓30° / ↑34°
  • Humidity↓61% / ↑95%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth5"
Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers (snow to 9,000 feet) through the morning and afternoon, clearing out after.
30% chance for light snow, trace to 1" above 9,000 feet, wet flakes in town.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.08 inches
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning shifting to W at 10 to 20 gusts to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 25th
↑48° ↓28°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓25° / ↑30°
  • Humidity↓50% / ↑90%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 1 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 13 mph. Expected wind chill to be 22 to 37 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 26th
↑49° ↓28°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓22° / ↑27°
  • Humidity↓45% / ↑83%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening.
None expected today.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds W 6 to 15 mph through the morning shifting to W 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 35 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update08 Oct @ 09:10
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth( Estimate ) 0"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
None Reported
  • High Lift Elevation11,440ft
  • Base Elevation8,100ft
  • Vertical Drop4,040ft
  • Longest Trail2.75 miles
  • Trails0 of 150
  • Lifts0 of 25
  • Acreage0 of 1832 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone Available
41°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity53%
  • Dewpoint25°
  • SustainedW 12mph
  • GustingW 16mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow Depth9"
Comments
Fair
Location
Copper Mountain - Red Cliff Pass, CO
  • Elevation11,158ft
  • UpdatedOct 21 @ 07:08
41°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity53%
  • Dewpoint25°
  • SustainedW 12mph
  • GustingW 16mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
Fair
Location
Copper Mountain - Red Cliff Pass, CO
  • Elevation9,360ft
  • UpdatedOct 21 @ 07:08
Top
Base
Family Ice Arena - 8,100ft
Family Ice Arena - 8,100ft
Snow stake -10,500'
Snow stake -10,500'
Contact
Location
  • City: Avon
  • State: Colorado
  • Country: United States
Beaver Creek Resort Discussion
Today - Transition day as high pressure starts breaking down... Warmer temperatures and partly cloudy skies are expected. Low pressure from an earlier storm retrograded west and forms a new weak low to the west/ southwest, and this low is expected to pull some moisture in from the Pacific mainly...

Monday through Wednesday - Low pressure to the west pushes moisture and some instability across the area from out of the southwest. Showers are expected mainly each afternoon, with isolated thunderstorms across the Roaring Fork Valley/ Aspen, and the rest of western Colorado, best across the San Juan Mountains. Snow levels will run around 9,000 (early/ night) to 10,000 feet (mid-day) Monday and Tuesday, with some mostly light snow above those elevations, 4" max in a 24 hour period for the higher mountain areas above 10,000 feet. Snow levels drop on Wednesday as the weakened and colder core of the low moves across the area.

LONGER RANGE: Late next week we start warming up under unseasonably strong high pressure ridging across the western US, and this holds for most of the rest of October. No major systems are expected to pass through, though we may see showers now and again with weak perturbances in the flow aloft. Around Halloween/ early November there are signals that we may see a tropical system move into the picture, with significant rains and high mountain snows (mostly near/ above 10,000 feet) possible if this gets swept in across Colorado. Summit County could get hit nicely with heavy and great base building snow, as mid and upper mountain Aspen-Snowmass would also. We will be watching... CM 
Central Rocky Mountains_Aspen - 2018-2019 Seasonal Long Range Outlook
Fri, August 31st, 2018 (begun this article)
Sunday September 23, 2018 (I finally finished it!)

MODOKI EL NINO = bad, REGULAR EL NINO = usually good, WEAK EL NINO to ENSO Neutral = can be good (due also to other factors)! There are many possibilities with the last one (the one we think is coming) but we will nail it down for you! 

Central and Western Colorado, Aspen-Snowmass to Durango
FALL and WINTER SEASON FORECAST FROM SNOWFORECAST.COM!

...WHAT IS THE FORECAST?...
OCTOBER - (Slightly above average snowfall and below average temperatures) Early season cold and October snows are expected for the ski resorts, with most snow and coldest temperatures being east of Vail Pass and the divide, but more than the average of 10" of snow that Aspen averages in town (more on the mountain), as storms drop in out of Canada for the most part, carrying the bulk of moisture and cold air to northern Colorado and to the east of the Vail Pass and the divide. There will be enough cold and snow to test out snowmaking equipment. The early snows will open the usual 10,000ft+ resorts early, and help to chill the soil for good base building as we move into November... We also expect the usual transition season cut-off and closed low pressure systems to move in from the west and deliver some surprises (snow then best for Aspen and southwest Colorado)... "Cut-off" means the low is cut off from and not being pushed around by, the storm steering flow (usually at 500mb).
NOVEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall, and below average temperatures) Near to above average early season snow overall across the region and no snow level issues, with cold systems out of Canada diving through and hitting all areas, as high pressure ridging offshore of the west coast allows storms to develop and move south from out of Canada, moving in with below average temperatures and some extreme record cold. We expect some early opening days on good bases. Snow is expected to be well preserved as colder than usual air helps to protect the snow...
DECEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall and near to below average temperatures through mid December, then dropping off to near average snowfall and near average temperatures in late December on some good bases). Some significant snowfall events through mid and maybe into late December, and near to below average temperatures should combine to be great for Christmas-New Year skiing/ boarding, then incoming storms start shifting to the south on a different storm track, with lighter snows for Aspen and good for southwest Colorado as we move into the holidays.
JANUARY ONWARD, MORE COMING SOON - ? Stay tuned, but a brief synopsis: Dry for most of January with above average temperatures as high pressure ridging builds in, and the east coast gets hammered with cold and snow. Storms return in February with near to above average snowfall and near average temperatures for Aspen-Snowmass, then March through the rest of the season looks near to warmer than average in temperature, with below average snows. April could produce some big storms and powder days to pass through the region, building the late season snowpack. More details are coming, and I will be naming resorts and forecasting long range snow totalsCM

...WHAT ARE THE FACTORS AND OPINIONS?...
Here are my August 31 observations: An El Nino that "wants" to happen, but meager warming to even some cooling in the key Nino regions (recent), and a mostly neutral status (currently) is not showing much hope for any El Nino pattern that may be classified as moderate or strong. In fact, I will say that we will not see a moderate or strong El Nino SST pattern this 2018-2019 season, and the NOAA forecasted weak El Nino is looking like a "maybe".
And, my September 15 observations: Latest guidance indicates that the El Nino SST anomaly will be weak, at best, in my opinion. Here is why: Cooler eastern Pacific waters (Nino 3.4 region)/ Subsurface waters heat content (180-100W Lat) has decreased/ and the current pattern is showing mostly a general cooling and not warming overall, though in the last 7 days, eastern Pacific surface waters off the coast of Ecuador (means "Equator") have warmed . Its mid September and this El Nino event should be a bit more evident. Its not. Even NOAA has backed off a bit with a 65% chance of El Nino formation, instead of the 70% they had called for early on in the summer when this anomaly looked more likely. For them to back off a bit like that indicates definite lost confidence, and this is not surprising, as I lost confidence in it occurring myself, back in July. Things work a bit slower in these large organizations, while us "loose cannons" (whatever in the hell that means) can blast off at will. Haha.

LONGRANGE_ENSO cpc _human reasoning_2
*An El Nino is still favored according to the above Climate Prediction Center chart*

LONGRANGE_SubsurfaceTempAnomalies

*We have seen some areas of cooling in the Nino 1+2 and 3 regions, as this El Nino struggles to form. This is indicating cooling in the subsurface waters, which is a factor that is looked at for potential SST's*

LONGRANGE_Last Year of Anomalies_best chart_Marked up

*As of Sep 12, there is some warming going on again in the referenced "Nino 3" region, so overall there is a positive SST anomaly, but mostly less than +.5 (in yellow on the above chart), which is the threshold that needs to be met for 3 consecutive months before an actual El Nino pattern is recognized. For now we are in an "ENSO neutral" status.

SOLAR MINIMUM: In terms of sunspot activity, there is currently almost none, or even "none", zero, zilch, nada, many days. Decreased or zero sunspot activity also affects our weather patterns. The chart below shows how we are in a solar "grand minimum" right now:

LONGRANGE_Sunspot Activity_Solar Minimum
We have seen some recent serious weather extremes this Summer of 2018, and have no reason to believe that we will not see similar extremes this fall and winter in North America:

From extreme heat in Europe, notably northern Europe:

LONGRANGE_Extremes_HeatInScandanavia


To extreme snow and cold in August:
LONGRANGE_Extremes_Salzburg
 NOAA: So to reiterate, NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) was forecasting a 60% likelihood for formation of an El Nino SST pattern this fall, and a 70% chance for the winter, 2018-2019, while now those forecasts are down to 50-55% and 65-70%, respectively. Large organizations like NOAA are not going to go backward on the forecast (decreased % chance), like this without very good reason, like, "its not happening like we thought it would guys"...

SNOWFORECAST.COM: At this point, a "weak" El Nino SST anomaly is the forecast from NOAA. I have believed since June that this would be a weak El Nino pattern that sets up, based on the afore-mentioned trend, but am now wondering if this El Nino will even show up at all. We think that the weak El Nino or no El Nino is going to turn out well for Aspen and southwest Colorado as it is combined with weak sunspot activity (solar minimum) for expected colder air (and stronger storms that reach the area) this winter overall. If an El Nino, weak, does form, it is looking more likely to be the Modoki version, which on average, sucks (dry) all across the western US. Thankfully, as a weak factor (there are other factors), a weak El Nino of any kind will have a "weaker" influence on the weather patterns we see this fall and winter, THANKFULLY. We are also looking (currently) at a weakly negative PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation, more of a long term state of ocean water temps), which will not help in the El Nino department. Neutral to "very weak El Nino" is what we are forecasting as we move into fall and maybe through the winter, at best +.5 which is barely classified as an El Nino. As well, with the Grand Solar Minimum, expect the unexpected, and so far, that has proven true in many parts of the world. How will all of these factors; Weak El Nino, or even "ENSO Neutral" SST anomaly, neutral PDO, GSM (solar), and my own intuition, affect the southwest and western Colorado forecast? Just scroll back to the top to find out!

Feel free to share this, but please cite credit to snowforecast.com. Thank you! CM

Snowforecast.com Copyright © 1998–2018. Unauthorized Use Prohibited.

Some References:
COLD AND SNOW:  https://www.theweek.info/index.php?newsid=3760 (Salzburg, over 1 foot of snow in August!)

HEAT:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/07/17/scorching-scandinavia-record-breaking-heat-hits-norway-finland-and-sweden (90+ degrees in Norway, all time record high temps!)

Great resource for current SST’s and anomalies: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/

International Research Institute: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume

Latest ENSO Discussion: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.php

Space Weather ("Solar Minimum"): https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression

NCEP model forecast SST anomalies (1 model forecasting La Nina): http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/tmpsfc_Seas2.html

The ONE outlier model forecasting La Nina: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/images/NASA_GEOS5v2_ensemble_tmpsfc_season2.png

Loads of the latest SST charts from ESRL, knock yourself out: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml

Best anomaly chart (in my opinion): https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/sst/sst.anom.hov.gif

Detailed ENSO Discussion from NOAA: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

More info/ charts on Modoki El Nino: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/enmodoki_home_s.html.en

El Nino/ La Nina years/ ONI: http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm

A GREAT resource for "no BS" historical ski season info: http://bestsnow.net/

Latest PDO and history: http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest.txt

 

Mountain Summit Forecast

Sunday
↑45° / ↓26°
iconWinds: W 8 to 17 mph, then S 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑41° / ↓26°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 16 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑42° / ↓30°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 16 to 24 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,093ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑46° / ↓28°
iconWinds: S 4 to 13 mph, then S 12 to 24 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑43° / ↓29°
Sky
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds near the top S 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 17 to 21 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑43° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount later into the evening.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 12 to 24 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 28 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,093ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑42° / ↓28°
iconWinds: S 7 to 16 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑41° / ↓30°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top S 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 16 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓30°
Sky
Overcast into the evening. Chance of rain in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 16 to 28 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,093ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑38° / ↓26°
iconWinds: W 8 to 17 mph, then W 9 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑36° / ↓27°
Sky
Cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 1 to 2 inches in the early morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.11 to 0.55 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 9 to 18 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓26°
Sky
Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of rain through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.4 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 12 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,093ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑38° / ↓23°
iconWinds: W 8 to 19 mph, then variable 1 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑35° / ↓23°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 8 to 19 mph with gusts up to 24 mph. Expected wind chill to be 4 to 6 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓24°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 1 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 3 to 10 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,093ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑37° / ↓23°
iconWinds: W 6 to 15 mph, then W 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑34° / ↓23°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 6 to 15 mph. Wind chill expected to be -1 to 1 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑36° / ↓25°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 4 to 13 mph. Expected wind chill to be -1 to 5 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,093ft
temperature graph

Mountain Base Forecast

Sunday
↑63° / ↓25°
iconWinds: W 4 to 12 mph, then S 5 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑55° / ↓25°
Sky
Partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds S 4 to 12 mph.

PM

icon
↑63° / ↓32°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds and warmer in the afternoon, becoming mostly cloudy in the evening and overnight with showers approaching toward Monday morning.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds S/ SW at 5 to 15 gusts to 20 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,881ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑56° / ↓31°
iconWinds: SW 5 to 15 mph, then SE 10 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑45° / ↓31°
Sky
Partly to mostly cloudy and cooler with isolated showers through the morning and day.
Snow
Snowfall is expected to be a trace amount in town (morning) to 3 to 6 inches of snow above 10,000 feet.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount, isolated
Winds
Morning winds S at 5 to 15 mph.

PM

icon
↑56° / ↓31°
Sky
Becoming mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, with showers increasing overnight.
Snow
Snowfall is expected to be a trace amount in town (morning) to 3 to 6 inches of snow above 10,000 feet.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches, with a 50% chance of occurrence
Winds
Afternoon winds SW 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph..
Hourly Temperatures at 7,881ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑49° / ↓33°
iconWinds: S 4 to 12 mph, then S 4 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑43° / ↓31°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the morning with scattered showers.
Snow
50% chance for snow, a trace in town (wet flakes) and 2 to 4 inches above 9,500 feet.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Morning winds S 4 to 12 mph.

PM

icon
↑41° / ↓29°
Sky
Becoming cloudy and cooler with showers in the afternoon, and snow levels lowering to near 9,000 feet in the evening/ overnight.
Snow
50% chance for snow, a trace in town (wet flakes) and 2 to 4 inches above 9,500 feet.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.07 to 0.35 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds SW at 5 to 15 gusts to 25 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,881ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑50° / ↓30°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then W 10 to 20 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑34° / ↓30°
Sky
Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers (snow to 9,000 feet) through the morning and afternoon, clearing out after.
Snow
30% chance for light snow, trace to 1" above 9,000 feet, wet flakes in town.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds variable at 3 to 10 mph.

PM

icon
↑50° / ↓31°
Sky
Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers (snow to 9,000 feet) through the morning and afternoon, clearing out after.
Snow
30% chance for light snow, trace to 1" above 9,000 feet, wet flakes in town.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds W at 10 to 20 gusts to 30 mph.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,881ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑49° / ↓29°
iconWinds: variable 2 to 9 mph, then variable 1 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑46° / ↓29°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 2 to 9 mph. Expected wind chill to be 23 to 37 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑47° / ↓32°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.18 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 28 to 40 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,881ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑49° / ↓28°
iconWinds: W 6 to 15 mph, then W 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑46° / ↓28°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds around the base W 6 to 15 mph. Wind chill expected to be 22 to 36 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑48° / ↓32°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base W 4 to 13 mph. Expected wind chill to be 25 to 38 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 7,881ft
temperature graph

Climatology

  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 52 69 1980 32 1961 28 39 2015 12 1985 0.044 0.40 1894 0.39 4.0 1894 0.6 18 1959
2 52 65 2010 26 2009 27 38 1954 9 1961 0.036 0.39 1959 0.37 4.7 1959 0.6 19 1959
3 52 63 1992 34 1959 27 38 1954 10 1971 0.054 0.96 1969 0.51 10.3 1969 0.6 17 1959
4 51 62 1993 32 2002 27 38 2005 10 1971 0.062 0.63 1984 0.61 7.5 1969 0.8 14 1959
5 49 62 1997 27 1998 25 37 1963 8 2013 0.062 0.60 1893 0.66 7.0 1998 1.0 14 1959
6 47 68 1997 21 1995 24 37 1954 1 1995 0.045 0.32 1974 0.41 3.0 2009 1.1 16 1969
7 49 65 1975 29 1976 24 37 1975 3 1976 0.045 0.70 1977 0.48 6.9 1959 1.0 16 1959
8 48 73 1980 22 1970 24 37 1954 4 1959 0.052 0.80 1985 0.73 9.0 1985 1.3 16 1959
9 48 62 1980 27 1997 23 35 1963 4 1970 0.028 0.40 1972 0.26 7.0 1982 1.1 14 1959
10 48 64 2003 29 1970 24 32 2015 -4 1982 0.063 1.40 2005 0.74 17.0 2005 1.4 17 2005
11 49 62 1996 27 1982 24 36 1999 0 1982 0.045 0.40 1954 0.46 4.0 2013 1.3 13 1970
12 48 69 1991 23 1969 24 35 1954 4 1982 0.025 0.41 1997 0.30 5.0 1997 1.2 13 1969
13 47 63 1996 20 1997 23 35 1972 1 1997 0.059 0.56 2014 0.60 8.3 2014 1.5 13 1959
14 46 62 1996 30 1954 22 35 1979 1 1997 0.041 0.47 1966 0.29 3.5 1954 1.2 12 1969
15 46 63 1989 28 1975 21 32 1971 4 1966 0.055 0.56 2007 0.63 7.0 1969 1.5 18 1969
16 46 61 1961 20 2013 22 34 2011 2 2013 0.033 0.38 1969 0.41 7.0 1969 1.5 22 1969
17 45 63 1991 20 1968 21 32 1964 -2 1999 0.057 0.75 1996 0.71 7.5 1996 1.7 20 1969
18 45 61 1974 23 1996 20 35 1991 0 1999 0.045 0.49 1960 0.65 5.7 1960 2.0 19 1969
19 45 62 2003 21 1984 21 32 1963 2 1999 0.025 0.55 2005 0.38 8.5 2005 1.8 19 1969
20 45 62 2003 21 1984 20 35 1977 2 1984 0.036 0.45 1986 0.51 7.0 1990 1.7 17 1969
21 44 60 2003 23 1996 20 32 1955 -7 1996 0.045 0.80 2006 0.57 12.0 2006 1.9 17 1969
22 43 64 2003 19 1996 20 32 2003 -7 1996 0.046 0.57 1986 0.67 7.0 1986 2.2 17 2006
23 41 60 2003 18 2008 19 37 2003 -3 1996 0.060 0.63 2015 0.66 7.0 1955 2.2 17 1969
24 42 59 1992 26 1980 18 30 2014 -2 1996 0.047 0.66 1956 0.72 12.0 1956 2.4 17 1969
25 42 59 2014 18 1975 18 33 2014 -2 1975 0.068 1.10 1893 0.93 11.0 1893 2.7 16 1969
26 41 61 2014 19 2003 17 32 1979 -4 2012 0.049 0.77 2010 0.66 11.0 2006 2.8 20 2006
27 41 63 1977 18 1970 17 29 1983 -5 1970 0.046 0.50 1978 0.59 8.4 1971 2.6 20 2006
28 41 55 1977 18 1955 18 30 2004 -3 1980 0.045 0.68 1998 0.69 13.0 1991 3.0 18 2010
29 40 54 1990 12 2009 17 30 2001 -5 2009 0.067 0.39 1971 1.06 9.3 1967 3.8 23 1969
30 40 54 1962 17 1989 16 32 2001 -9 1993 0.053 0.83 1949 0.77 8.1 1969 3.8 27 1969
31 38 52 2001 14 1972 16 29 2001 -7 1993 0.045 0.59 1963 0.74 8.0 1992 3.5 24 1969
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 63 73 2010 44 2004 30 38 2015 23 2009 0.043 0.35 2014 0.11 2.0 2009 0.0 1 1986
2 64 78 1989 36 2009 30 38 2015 16 2009 0.048 0.47 1998 0.02 0.5 2014 0.0 0 2010
3 63 76 1989 47 2014 31 41 1997 24 1999 0.063 0.55 2002 0.04 1.0 2002 0.0 1 2002
4 62 76 1992 49 2006 31 39 1994 23 1999 0.097 0.71 2002 0.25 3.0 2013 0.2 3 2013
5 60 74 1987 33 2013 27 37 2011 17 1991 0.074 0.60 2002 0.29 3.0 1995 0.3 3 2013
6 58 72 1990 33 1995 28 40 2007 12 1995 0.078 0.75 2004 0.22 3.0 2009 0.3 2 2013
7 58 71 1991 39 1995 27 41 1990 17 1998 0.052 0.43 2004 0.04 1.0 1985 0.0 T 1998
8 57 72 1987 42 2011 27 38 1993 10 1992 0.039 0.36 1999 0.17 4.5 1990 0.0 1 1997
9 58 72 1991 33 2011 27 35 2010 19 2012 0.015 0.17 2001 0.00 0.0 2013 0.0 0 2010
10 59 75 1991 42 1990 27 38 1985 18 1990 0.012 0.30 1993 0.28 3.0 2001 0.3 3 2001
11 58 72 1992 39 2001 28 36 2014 19 2001 0.031 0.30 1985 0.08 2.0 2013 0.0 0 2010
12 59 70 1992 39 2005 27 38 2006 12 1990 0.037 0.60 1997 0.28 4.0 1997 0.3 4 2001
13 55 73 1989 31 1997 26 39 1987 12 1990 0.086 0.53 2012 0.26 3.1 1985 0.3 4 1997
14 56 76 1988 36 2012 26 38 1987 13 1986 0.050 0.57 2007 0.15 2.0 2013 0.2 2 2007
15 56 75 1989 38 2013 26 34 1989 18 1997 0.052 0.33 1993 0.06 1.0 2013 0.0 1 1994
16 56 71 1991 38 2013 25 35 2011 16 1986 0.060 0.59 1993 0.04 1.0 1994 0.1 2 1993
17 55 76 1991 40 1999 25 33 1993 13 1999 0.061 0.55 1996 0.30 3.0 1990 0.2 3 1998
18 53 72 1991 31 1996 23 32 2004 11 1996 0.055 0.62 2006 0.34 4.0 2006 0.3 3 2013
19 55 68 2003 37 2013 24 33 2004 9 1989 0.071 1.50 2005 0.15 2.0 2005 0.2 2 2013
20 54 68 2003 40 2005 23 37 2005 14 1989 0.072 0.97 1990 0.44 7.0 1996 0.4 7 1996
21 54 72 1991 22 1996 24 40 2005 2 1996 0.069 0.70 2010 0.36 5.0 2007 0.8 7 1996
22 53 69 2003 28 1996 23 32 2015 1 1996 0.097 1.10 1986 0.78 12.0 1986 1.3 12 1986
23 50 69 2003 23 1995 23 32 2002 6 2008 0.060 0.90 2015 0.23 4.0 1995 0.8 8 1995
24 51 65 2003 28 1995 23 32 2009 8 2008 0.049 0.67 1991 0.40 4.8 1991 0.9 5 1995
25 53 70 1992 36 2004 23 30 2000 14 1995 0.089 0.90 2010 0.67 5.0 1997 1.4 8 1997
26 51 67 1989 28 2010 22 36 1998 8 1997 0.082 1.10 2011 0.50 8.0 2011 1.5 8 2011
27 49 66 1988 29 2012 21 32 2014 5 2010 0.049 1.03 2006 0.35 6.5 2006 1.0 7 2006
28 49 65 1990 31 2011 21 32 1998 9 2010 0.040 0.84 1998 0.22 5.0 1998 1.0 6 1991
29 49 66 1990 27 2011 22 32 2000 3 1991 0.042 0.40 1996 0.56 4.0 1999 1.2 6 1996
30 47 64 1990 28 2009 22 37 1987 2 1993 0.045 0.32 2009 0.33 3.0 2013 1.1 5 1996
31 46 64 1990 27 2009 21 33 2001 5 1993 0.043 0.65 2002 0.47 9.0 2002 1.4 10 2002
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature45°
  • Soil Low Temperature32°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature48°
  • Soil Low Temperature34°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature46°
  • Soil Low Temperature35°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature42°
  • Soil Low Temperature35°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature41°
  • Soil Low Temperature34°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart