Keystone Resort ↑41° ↓22° Forecast:   0" Base:   2"
All Maps
Grizzly Peak close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,100ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Loveland Basin close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,400ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: 11"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Jackwhacker Gulch close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,960ft
Temperature: 30°
Snow Depth: 10"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Michigan Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 32°
Snow Depth: 4"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Jones Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,400ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 6"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Copper Mountain close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,550ft
Temperature: 32°
Snow Depth: 5"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Summit Ranch close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,400ft
Temperature: 29°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Middle Fork Camp close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,940ft
Temperature: 33°
Snow Depth: 0"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Hoosier Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,400ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: 10"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Berthoud Summit close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,300ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: 5"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Echo Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,600ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 4"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Fremont Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,400ft
Temperature: 29°
Snow Depth: 12"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Fool Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,150ft
Temperature: 29°
Snow Depth: 7"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Buckskin Joe close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,150ft
Temperature:
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Vail Mountain close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,300ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 6"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Today's Forecast
↑41° ↓22°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓17° / ↑20°
  • Humidity↓44% / ↑93%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds into the evening. Chance of freezing rain after daylight.
No snow throughout the day.
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning becoming SW 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 7 to 28 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 20th
↑47° ↓25°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓14° / ↑10°
  • Humidity↓32% / ↑63%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Clear throughout the day.
No snow today.
No precipitation expected today.
Winds variable at 2 to 9 mph through the morning shifting to SW 5 to 14 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 18 mph. Wind chill expected to be 18 to 33 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 21st
↑47° ↓28°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓17° / ↑11°
  • Humidity↓38% / ↑60%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Clear becoming mostly cloudy through the morning, and then partly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
None expected throughout the day.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds W 8 to 17 mph through the morning becoming W 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 30 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 22nd
↑46° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓20° / ↑20°
  • Humidity↓43% / ↑79%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow3"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Mostly cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount before noon and a trace in the afternoon, then another 2 to 4 inches in the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.58 inches
Winds SE 4 to 13 mph through the morning shifting to S 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 16 to 32 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 23rd
↑43° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑24°
  • Humidity↓59% / ↑86%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Cloudy throughout the day. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another trace amount before noon and a dusting in the afternoon followed by another trace amount later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.09 to 0.45 inches
Winds S 6 to 15 mph through the morning becoming SW 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 17 to 25 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 24th
↑42° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓19° / ↑21°
  • Humidity↓48% / ↑77%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Partly cloudy becoming clear through the morning, and then mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
None expected today.
None expected.
Winds W 6 to 15 mph through the morning becoming W 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 27 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update08 Oct @ 09:10
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth( Estimate ) 2"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
None Reported
  • High Lift Elevation12,408ft
  • Base Elevation9,280ft
  • Vertical Drop3,128ft
  • Longest Trail3.5 miles
  • Trails0 of 128
  • Lifts0 of 20
  • Acreage0 of 3149 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone Available
30°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity96%
  • Dewpoint29°
  • SustainedSE 5mph
  • GustingSE 0mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
Fair
Location
Granby-Grand County Airport, CO
  • Elevation12,247ft
  • UpdatedOct 19 @ 04:18
30°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity96%
  • Dewpoint29°
  • SustainedSE 5mph
  • GustingSE 0mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow Depth6"
Comments
Fair
Location
Granby-Grand County Airport, CO
  • Elevation10,102ft
  • UpdatedOct 19 @ 04:18
Top
Base
Lakeside Village
Lakeside Village
Snow Stake - 11,237 feet
Snow Stake - 11,237 feet
Contact
Location
  • City: Dillon
  • State: Colorado
  • Country: United States
Central Rocky Mountains_Aspen - 2018-2019 Seasonal Long Range Outlook
Fri, August 31st, 2018 (begun this article)
Sunday September 23, 2018 (I finally finished it!)

MODOKI EL NINO = bad, REGULAR EL NINO = usually good, WEAK EL NINO to ENSO Neutral = can be good (due also to other factors)! There are many possibilities with the last one (the one we think is coming) but we will nail it down for you! 

Central and Western Colorado, Aspen-Snowmass to Durango
FALL and WINTER SEASON FORECAST FROM SNOWFORECAST.COM!

...WHAT IS THE FORECAST?...
OCTOBER - (Slightly above average snowfall and below average temperatures) Early season cold and October snows are expected for the ski resorts, with most snow and coldest temperatures being east of Vail Pass and the divide, but more than the average of 10" of snow that Aspen averages in town (more on the mountain), as storms drop in out of Canada for the most part, carrying the bulk of moisture and cold air to northern Colorado and to the east of the Vail Pass and the divide. There will be enough cold and snow to test out snowmaking equipment. The early snows will open the usual 10,000ft+ resorts early, and help to chill the soil for good base building as we move into November... We also expect the usual transition season cut-off and closed low pressure systems to move in from the west and deliver some surprises (snow then best for Aspen and southwest Colorado)... "Cut-off" means the low is cut off from and not being pushed around by, the storm steering flow (usually at 500mb).
NOVEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall, and below average temperatures) Near to above average early season snow overall across the region and no snow level issues, with cold systems out of Canada diving through and hitting all areas, as high pressure ridging offshore of the west coast allows storms to develop and move south from out of Canada, moving in with below average temperatures and some extreme record cold. We expect some early opening days on good bases. Snow is expected to be well preserved as colder than usual air helps to protect the snow...
DECEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall and near to below average temperatures through mid December, then dropping off to near average snowfall and near average temperatures in late December on some good bases). Some significant snowfall events through mid and maybe into late December, and near to below average temperatures should combine to be great for Christmas-New Year skiing/ boarding, then incoming storms start shifting to the south on a different storm track, with lighter snows for Aspen and good for southwest Colorado as we move into the holidays.
JANUARY ONWARD, MORE COMING SOON - ? Stay tuned, but a brief synopsis: Dry for most of January with above average temperatures as high pressure ridging builds in, and the east coast gets hammered with cold and snow. Storms return in February with near to above average snowfall and near average temperatures for Aspen-Snowmass, then March through the rest of the season looks near to warmer than average in temperature, with below average snows. April could produce some big storms and powder days to pass through the region, building the late season snowpack. More details are coming, and I will be naming resorts and forecasting long range snow totalsCM

...WHAT ARE THE FACTORS AND OPINIONS?...
Here are my August 31 observations: An El Nino that "wants" to happen, but meager warming to even some cooling in the key Nino regions (recent), and a mostly neutral status (currently) is not showing much hope for any El Nino pattern that may be classified as moderate or strong. In fact, I will say that we will not see a moderate or strong El Nino SST pattern this 2018-2019 season, and the NOAA forecasted weak El Nino is looking like a "maybe".
And, my September 15 observations: Latest guidance indicates that the El Nino SST anomaly will be weak, at best, in my opinion. Here is why: Cooler eastern Pacific waters (Nino 3.4 region)/ Subsurface waters heat content (180-100W Lat) has decreased/ and the current pattern is showing mostly a general cooling and not warming overall, though in the last 7 days, eastern Pacific surface waters off the coast of Ecuador (means "Equator") have warmed . Its mid September and this El Nino event should be a bit more evident. Its not. Even NOAA has backed off a bit with a 65% chance of El Nino formation, instead of the 70% they had called for early on in the summer when this anomaly looked more likely. For them to back off a bit like that indicates definite lost confidence, and this is not surprising, as I lost confidence in it occurring myself, back in July. Things work a bit slower in these large organizations, while us "loose cannons" (whatever in the hell that means) can blast off at will. Haha.

LONGRANGE_ENSO cpc _human reasoning_2
*An El Nino is still favored according to the above Climate Prediction Center chart*

LONGRANGE_SubsurfaceTempAnomalies

*We have seen some areas of cooling in the Nino 1+2 and 3 regions, as this El Nino struggles to form. This is indicating cooling in the subsurface waters, which is a factor that is looked at for potential SST's*

LONGRANGE_Last Year of Anomalies_best chart_Marked up

*As of Sep 12, there is some warming going on again in the referenced "Nino 3" region, so overall there is a positive SST anomaly, but mostly less than +.5 (in yellow on the above chart), which is the threshold that needs to be met for 3 consecutive months before an actual El Nino pattern is recognized. For now we are in an "ENSO neutral" status.

SOLAR MINIMUM: In terms of sunspot activity, there is currently almost none, or even "none", zero, zilch, nada, many days. Decreased or zero sunspot activity also affects our weather patterns. The chart below shows how we are in a solar "grand minimum" right now:

LONGRANGE_Sunspot Activity_Solar Minimum
We have seen some recent serious weather extremes this Summer of 2018, and have no reason to believe that we will not see similar extremes this fall and winter in North America:

From extreme heat in Europe, notably northern Europe:

LONGRANGE_Extremes_HeatInScandanavia


To extreme snow and cold in August:
LONGRANGE_Extremes_Salzburg
 NOAA: So to reiterate, NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) was forecasting a 60% likelihood for formation of an El Nino SST pattern this fall, and a 70% chance for the winter, 2018-2019, while now those forecasts are down to 50-55% and 65-70%, respectively. Large organizations like NOAA are not going to go backward on the forecast (decreased % chance), like this without very good reason, like, "its not happening like we thought it would guys"...

SNOWFORECAST.COM: At this point, a "weak" El Nino SST anomaly is the forecast from NOAA. I have believed since June that this would be a weak El Nino pattern that sets up, based on the afore-mentioned trend, but am now wondering if this El Nino will even show up at all. We think that the weak El Nino or no El Nino is going to turn out well for Aspen and southwest Colorado as it is combined with weak sunspot activity (solar minimum) for expected colder air (and stronger storms that reach the area) this winter overall. If an El Nino, weak, does form, it is looking more likely to be the Modoki version, which on average, sucks (dry) all across the western US. Thankfully, as a weak factor (there are other factors), a weak El Nino of any kind will have a "weaker" influence on the weather patterns we see this fall and winter, THANKFULLY. We are also looking (currently) at a weakly negative PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation, more of a long term state of ocean water temps), which will not help in the El Nino department. Neutral to "very weak El Nino" is what we are forecasting as we move into fall and maybe through the winter, at best +.5 which is barely classified as an El Nino. As well, with the Grand Solar Minimum, expect the unexpected, and so far, that has proven true in many parts of the world. How will all of these factors; Weak El Nino, or even "ENSO Neutral" SST anomaly, neutral PDO, GSM (solar), and my own intuition, affect the southwest and western Colorado forecast? Just scroll back to the top to find out!

Feel free to share this, but please cite credit to snowforecast.com. Thank you! CM

Snowforecast.com Copyright © 1998–2018. Unauthorized Use Prohibited.

Some References:
COLD AND SNOW:  https://www.theweek.info/index.php?newsid=3760 (Salzburg, over 1 foot of snow in August!)

HEAT:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/07/17/scorching-scandinavia-record-breaking-heat-hits-norway-finland-and-sweden (90+ degrees in Norway, all time record high temps!)

Great resource for current SST’s and anomalies: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/

International Research Institute: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume

Latest ENSO Discussion: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.php

Space Weather ("Solar Minimum"): https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression

NCEP model forecast SST anomalies (1 model forecasting La Nina): http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/tmpsfc_Seas2.html

The ONE outlier model forecasting La Nina: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/images/NASA_GEOS5v2_ensemble_tmpsfc_season2.png

Loads of the latest SST charts from ESRL, knock yourself out: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml

Best anomaly chart (in my opinion): https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/sst/sst.anom.hov.gif

Detailed ENSO Discussion from NOAA: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

More info/ charts on Modoki El Nino: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/enmodoki_home_s.html.en

El Nino/ La Nina years/ ONI: http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm

A GREAT resource for "no BS" historical ski season info: http://bestsnow.net/

Latest PDO and history: http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest.txt

 

Mountain Summit Forecast

Friday
↑35° / ↓19°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then SW 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑30° / ↓19°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy before noon. Chance of freezing rain after daylight.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be -2 to 9 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑32° / ↓19°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 15 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 13,323ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑40° / ↓23°
iconWinds: variable 2 to 9 mph, then SW 5 to 14 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑36° / ↓23°
Sky
Clear through the morning.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds near the top variable at 2 to 9 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 23 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑36° / ↓24°
Sky
Clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 16 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 13,323ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑40° / ↓25°
iconWinds: W 9 to 20 mph, then SW 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓25°
Sky
Clear becoming mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds near the top W 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wind chill expected to be 9 to 14 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓27°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 10 to 15 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 13,323ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑40° / ↓23°
iconWinds: SE 4 to 13 mph, then S 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 3"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓24°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top SE 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 20 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓23°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the afternoon, then another 2 to 4 inches later into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.58 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 8 to 17 mph. Expected wind chill to be 4 to 15 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 13,323ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑38° / ↓23°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then SW 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓23°
Sky
Overcast before noon.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 7 to 11 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑33° / ↓24°
Sky
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the afternoon followed by another trace in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.07 to 0.33 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SW 8 to 17 mph. Wind chill expected to be 7 to 8 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 13,323ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑36° / ↓22°
iconWinds: NW 6 to 15 mph, then W 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑34° / ↓22°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming clear before noon.
Snow
None expected through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds near the top NW 6 to 15 mph. Expected wind chill to be 6 to 11 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑33° / ↓25°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top W 4 to 13 mph. Wind chill expected to be 8 to 12 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 13,323ft
temperature graph

Mountain Base Forecast

Friday
↑45° / ↓24°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then SW 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓24°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy before noon. Chance of freezing rain after daylight.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 16 to 33 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑40° / ↓26°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 23 to 37 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,264ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑51° / ↓27°
iconWinds: variable 2 to 9 mph, then SW 5 to 14 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑43° / ↓27°
Sky
Clear through the morning.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 2 to 9 mph. Wind chill expected to be 22 to 41 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑45° / ↓29°
Sky
Clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 24 to 43 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,264ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑51° / ↓29°
iconWinds: W 5 to 14 mph, then W 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑45° / ↓29°
Sky
Clear becoming mostly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base W 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Expected wind chill to be 24 to 39 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑46° / ↓32°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 28 to 41 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,264ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑51° / ↓29°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then S 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑45° / ↓31°
Sky
Mostly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 28 to 41 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑44° / ↓29°
Sky
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the afternoon, then another 2 to 4 inches into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.12 to 0.58 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base S 8 to 17 mph. Wind chill expected to be 25 to 41 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,264ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑47° / ↓28°
iconWinds: S 6 to 15 mph, then SW 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑40° / ↓28°
Sky
Cloudy before noon.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base S 6 to 15 mph. Expected wind chill to be 23 to 31 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑41° / ↓30°
Sky
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a trace in the afternoon followed by another trace into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.07 to 0.33 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SW 8 to 17 mph. Expected wind chill to be 27 to 36 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,264ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑46° / ↓28°
iconWinds: W 6 to 15 mph, then W 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑41° / ↓28°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming clear before noon.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds around the base W 6 to 15 mph. Wind chill expected to be 23 to 36 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑41° / ↓31°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base W 8 to 17 mph. Wind chill expected to be 24 to 37 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,264ft
temperature graph

Climatology

  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 52 69 1980 32 1961 28 39 2015 12 1985 0.044 0.40 1894 0.39 4.0 1894 0.6 18 1959
2 52 65 2010 26 2009 27 38 1954 9 1961 0.036 0.39 1959 0.37 4.7 1959 0.6 19 1959
3 52 63 1992 34 1959 27 38 1954 10 1971 0.054 0.96 1969 0.51 10.3 1969 0.6 17 1959
4 51 62 1993 32 2002 27 38 2005 10 1971 0.062 0.63 1984 0.61 7.5 1969 0.8 14 1959
5 49 62 1997 27 1998 25 37 1963 8 2013 0.062 0.60 1893 0.66 7.0 1998 1.0 14 1959
6 47 68 1997 21 1995 24 37 1954 1 1995 0.045 0.32 1974 0.41 3.0 2009 1.1 16 1969
7 49 65 1975 29 1976 24 37 1975 3 1976 0.045 0.70 1977 0.48 6.9 1959 1.0 16 1959
8 48 73 1980 22 1970 24 37 1954 4 1959 0.052 0.80 1985 0.73 9.0 1985 1.3 16 1959
9 48 62 1980 27 1997 23 35 1963 4 1970 0.028 0.40 1972 0.26 7.0 1982 1.1 14 1959
10 48 64 2003 29 1970 24 32 2015 -4 1982 0.063 1.40 2005 0.74 17.0 2005 1.4 17 2005
11 49 62 1996 27 1982 24 36 1999 0 1982 0.045 0.40 1954 0.46 4.0 2013 1.3 13 1970
12 48 69 1991 23 1969 24 35 1954 4 1982 0.025 0.41 1997 0.30 5.0 1997 1.2 13 1969
13 47 63 1996 20 1997 23 35 1972 1 1997 0.059 0.56 2014 0.60 8.3 2014 1.5 13 1959
14 46 62 1996 30 1954 22 35 1979 1 1997 0.041 0.47 1966 0.29 3.5 1954 1.2 12 1969
15 46 63 1989 28 1975 21 32 1971 4 1966 0.055 0.56 2007 0.63 7.0 1969 1.5 18 1969
16 46 61 1961 20 2013 22 34 2011 2 2013 0.033 0.38 1969 0.41 7.0 1969 1.5 22 1969
17 45 63 1991 20 1968 21 32 1964 -2 1999 0.057 0.75 1996 0.71 7.5 1996 1.7 20 1969
18 45 61 1974 23 1996 20 35 1991 0 1999 0.045 0.49 1960 0.65 5.7 1960 2.0 19 1969
19 45 62 2003 21 1984 21 32 1963 2 1999 0.025 0.55 2005 0.38 8.5 2005 1.8 19 1969
20 45 62 2003 21 1984 20 35 1977 2 1984 0.036 0.45 1986 0.51 7.0 1990 1.7 17 1969
21 44 60 2003 23 1996 20 32 1955 -7 1996 0.045 0.80 2006 0.57 12.0 2006 1.9 17 1969
22 43 64 2003 19 1996 20 32 2003 -7 1996 0.046 0.57 1986 0.67 7.0 1986 2.2 17 2006
23 41 60 2003 18 2008 19 37 2003 -3 1996 0.060 0.63 2015 0.66 7.0 1955 2.2 17 1969
24 42 59 1992 26 1980 18 30 2014 -2 1996 0.047 0.66 1956 0.72 12.0 1956 2.4 17 1969
25 42 59 2014 18 1975 18 33 2014 -2 1975 0.068 1.10 1893 0.93 11.0 1893 2.7 16 1969
26 41 61 2014 19 2003 17 32 1979 -4 2012 0.049 0.77 2010 0.66 11.0 2006 2.8 20 2006
27 41 63 1977 18 1970 17 29 1983 -5 1970 0.046 0.50 1978 0.59 8.4 1971 2.6 20 2006
28 41 55 1977 18 1955 18 30 2004 -3 1980 0.045 0.68 1998 0.69 13.0 1991 3.0 18 2010
29 40 54 1990 12 2009 17 30 2001 -5 2009 0.067 0.39 1971 1.06 9.3 1967 3.8 23 1969
30 40 54 1962 17 1989 16 32 2001 -9 1993 0.053 0.83 1949 0.77 8.1 1969 3.8 27 1969
31 38 52 2001 14 1972 16 29 2001 -7 1993 0.045 0.59 1963 0.74 8.0 1992 3.5 24 1969
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 60 72 1895 42 1894 25 32 1895 13 1900 0.038 0.49 1986 0.16 4.0 1961 0.3 12 1959
2 57 73 1895 30 1894 24 30 1897 14 1900 0.038 0.41 2002 0.19 4.0 1894 0.2 12 1959
3 57 69 1905 35 1902 25 33 1907 15 1910 0.032 0.85 1969 0.28 14.0 1969 0.4 11 1969
4 55 69 1905 40 1895 24 31 1910 12 1900 0.041 0.77 1986 0.50 15.0 1895 0.6 20 1969
5 55 69 1905 32 1893 23 37 1911 10 1906 0.047 0.70 1893 0.39 7.0 1893 0.6 18 1969
6 56 69 1907 44 1911 23 35 1894 11 1900 0.048 0.84 1977 0.18 5.0 1976 0.6 14 1969
7 55 68 1905 40 1901 23 37 1893 6 1900 0.037 0.69 1985 0.22 3.5 1992 0.4 9 1959
8 56 72 1910 31 1909 23 37 1893 2 1900 0.031 0.53 1990 0.25 8.5 1990 0.3 7 1959
9 58 73 1910 40 1909 21 34 1898 -2 1909 0.033 1.10 1949 0.28 5.5 1982 0.3 5 1959
10 58 72 1910 43 1909 23 33 1911 4 1905 0.052 1.38 2005 0.51 14.5 2005 0.7 14 2005
11 55 74 1895 38 1899 22 35 1909 11 1901 0.044 0.51 1970 0.44 7.5 1969 0.7 15 2005
12 56 72 1895 35 1902 24 34 1898 9 1893 0.036 0.58 1947 0.29 6.0 1997 0.4 9 2005
13 53 74 1895 39 1899 22 30 1909 16 1893 0.043 0.57 2004 0.38 7.5 2004 0.6 8 2004
14 57 70 1895 40 1899 22 32 1907 15 1898 0.033 0.51 2007 0.38 7.5 1966 0.8 7 2007
15 56 76 1895 38 1899 22 38 1908 12 1905 0.045 0.49 1947 0.37 6.0 1899 0.6 7 2007
16 52 75 1895 26 1899 20 31 1910 11 1899 0.033 0.60 1897 0.38 6.0 1969 0.6 9 1969
17 51 77 1895 27 1897 19 31 1906 0 1897 0.046 0.75 1996 0.44 7.3 1996 0.4 5 2007
18 47 61 1900 28 1899 19 29 1910 8 1898 0.046 1.80 1908 0.58 18.5 1908 0.6 6 2013
19 48 68 1895 22 1898 17 28 1908 -2 1904 0.031 0.45 1898 0.38 7.0 1910 0.8 22 1908
20 46 71 1895 24 1898 15 27 1909 -10 1911 0.028 0.53 1990 0.24 4.0 1894 0.7 22 1908
21 48 68 1903 26 1911 16 27 1894 -11 1911 0.070 1.13 1963 0.55 10.0 2006 1.0 20 1908
22 51 65 1893 36 1908 18 35 1902 -1 1911 0.024 0.66 1947 0.35 10.6 1947 1.0 14 2006
23 50 70 1903 19 1906 18 27 1899 5 1906 0.038 0.75 1955 0.40 9.1 1955 0.9 12 2006
24 50 72 1903 28 1898 18 35 1903 3 1906 0.033 0.68 1956 0.40 8.6 1956 0.9 9 1956
25 47 71 1903 25 1908 19 28 1907 6 1908 0.042 0.80 1899 0.55 12.0 1899 0.8 6 2006
26 45 68 1894 20 1899 19 32 1906 4 1908 0.045 0.98 2006 0.61 16.2 2006 1.3 22 2006
27 45 72 1903 29 1899 17 28 1905 -1 1897 0.026 0.32 1980 0.40 5.0 1961 1.6 20 2006
28 49 70 1895 30 1896 17 30 1906 -2 1897 0.035 0.71 1998 0.41 7.5 1905 1.3 16 2006
29 48 68 1895 22 1896 16 24 1906 6 1897 0.061 0.49 1961 0.70 6.0 1993 1.5 13 2006
30 45 60 1903 18 1900 15 23 1906 -1 1900 0.053 1.25 1905 0.67 15.0 1905 1.6 12 2006
31 43 61 1898 20 1899 16 30 1898 5 1901 0.042 0.46 1903 0.57 5.5 2002 1.3 11 2006
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature33°
  • Soil Low Temperature30°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature37°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature36°
  • Soil Low Temperature32°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature36°
  • Soil Low Temperature33°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature36°
  • Soil Low Temperature33°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart