Purgatory at DMR ↑40° ↓22° Forecast:   0" Base:   20"
All Maps
Cascade close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,880ft
Temperature: 25°
Snow Depth: 3"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Cascade #2 close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 8,920ft
Temperature: 27°
Snow Depth: 3"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Spud Mountain close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,660ft
Temperature: 25°
Snow Depth: 19"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Scotch Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,100ft
Temperature: 18°
Snow Depth: 9"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Molas Lake close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,500ft
Temperature: 17°
Snow Depth: 20"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Lizard Head Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,200ft
Temperature: 15°
Snow Depth: 15"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Stump Lakes close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,200ft
Temperature: 22°
Snow Depth: 22"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
El Diente Peak close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,000ft
Temperature: 18°
Snow Depth: 15"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Mineral Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,040ft
Temperature: 13°
Snow Depth: 22"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Columbus Basin close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,785ft
Temperature: 24°
Snow Depth: 31"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Beartown close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,600ft
Temperature: 21°
Snow Depth: 19"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Sharkstooth close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,720ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: 14"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Red Mountain Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,200ft
Temperature: 17°
Snow Depth: 32"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Vallecito close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,880ft
Temperature: 33°
Snow Depth: 8"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Idarado close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,800ft
Temperature: 21°
Snow Depth: 17"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Black Mesa close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 11,580ft
Temperature: 24°
Snow Depth: 27"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Mancos close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,000ft
Temperature: 35°
Snow Depth: 9"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Lone Cone close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 9,600ft
Temperature: 20°
Snow Depth: 13"
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Weminuche Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 10,740ft
Temperature: 30°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Past 24 hrs: "
Today's Forecast
↑40° ↓22°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓15° / ↑9°
  • Humidity↓30% / ↑60%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth6"
Mostly clear with a few clouds before noon and then clear becoming mostly clear with a few clouds later into the evening.
No snow throughout the day.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds variable at 1 to 8 mph through the morning becoming variable at 2 to 9 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 33 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 17th
↑37° ↓21°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓14° / ↑9°
  • Humidity↓40% / ↑73%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
No snow throughout the day.
No precipitation expected throughout the day.
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning shifting to 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 17 to 26 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Tuesday the 18th
↑37° ↓20°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓12° / ↑8°
  • Humidity↓37% / ↑69%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Mostly cloudy becoming clear through the morning, and then clear through the afternoon and evening.
None expected throughout the day.
No precipitation expected.
Winds NW 6 to 15 mph through the morning becoming S 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 12 to 25 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Wednesday the 19th
↑37° ↓22°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓14° / ↑9°
  • Humidity↓39% / ↑67%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth4"
Clear becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon.
Flurries possible.
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds NW 10 to 21 mph through the morning becoming SE 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 26 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 23 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 20th
↑41° ↓24°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓13° / ↑8°
  • Humidity↓28% / ↑49%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Clear throughout the day.
No snow.
No precipitation expected.
Winds NW 8 to 17 mph through the morning shifting to NW 6 to 15 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 30 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 21st
↑42° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓9° / ↑7°
  • Humidity↓20% / ↑42%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth3"
Partly cloudy through the morning, and then mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
No snow.
None expected throughout the day.
Winds W 4 to 13 mph through the morning becoming W 8 to 17 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 25 to 34 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update16 Dec @ 06:12
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total44"
  • Average Base Depth20 to 26"
  • Today's Snow Potential0"
Comments
1in, past 6 days. Snow surface is machine groomed and packed powder
  • High Lift Elevation10,822ft
  • Base Elevation8,793ft
  • Vertical Drop2,029ft
  • Longest Trail2 miles
  • Trails25 of 101
  • Lifts6 of 12
  • Acreage400 of 1605 ( 25% )
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails13 ( 13% )
  • Tubingyes
  • Tubing HoursSat/Sun: 11a-5p
31°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity23%
  • Dewpoint-3°
  • SustainedNE 0mph
  • GustingNE 6mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow Depth19"
Comments
Fair
Location
BIG BEAR PARK, CO
  • Elevation8,816ft
  • UpdatedDec 16 @ 06:08
Base of Lift 1
Base of Lift 1
Top of lift 1
Top of lift 1
Contact
Location
  • State: Colorado
  • Country: United States
December 07, 2018 - Aspen and Western Colorado Short/ Long Range Outlook
Mostly light additional snow, then a mostly sunny weekend, and  more snow next Tuesday and Wednesday (heavier)!

HOW ARE WE DOING (please contact chris@snowforecast.com or comment below)? Let us know please...

Light snow for most areas including Aspen, and  across southwest Colorado...

-The latest storm absolutely dumped RAIN and snow across southern California, is headed mainly along the Mexico border now, and taking a southern track... El Nino style, with a few" of snow across southwest Colorado to Aspen's mountains, under a moist southwest flow of moisture across the mountains, while most energy passes to the south

This coming weekend we expect a high pressure ridge to build in, with cooler air dragged into Colorado initially on Saturday, as the southern tracking low pressure system exits (northwest/ north flow of winds from the colder north), and sunshine pops through in the then drier air... Powder + sunshine, what Colorado is known for!

LONGER RANGE:
It looks like El Nino is not an official anomaly yet, as I expected in my September LR forecast (for Aspen and SW Colorado / For northern Colorado resorts) so we are in an ENSO Neutral phase, though in the latest update from NOAA, we are seeing warming waters, still a weak El Nino at best. This may explain the more southerly tracking storm systems we have seen, and will likely see in the coming weeks of December and January. CM

Next week, the 11th onward, we expect a couple of snow storms and some moderate to significant snow for western Colorado. Because these look like strong and cold systems (ask Niseko, Japan) with a good fetch of moisture across the Pacific, they are capable of good snowfall across all of western Colorado if the track is right (a bit more north). It looks like 2 storms total for next week, one Tuesday/ Wednesday and another late next week. CM

(NO CHANGE from the last LR update) : It is looking like we may see a busy time as we approach the Christmas and New Year holiday period, with some significant storms possibly lining up to affect all of the western US including Colorado... We expect to see a 7-14 day period of down time and mostly sunny skies following this series of storms, that may start around/ after Christmas. In January we see that down time to start the month (a week-ish), then storms should kick in again on a more regular basis, but possibly favoring northern resorts this time as the east coast gets hit hard and these systems brush mainly northern Colorado. More updates are coming. Do you have any ideas on what you want to see in our discussions? Please contact through the site! We do not charge for any of our info, and have been providing it all for free since 1998, "Predicting Sick Days since 1998"! CM

Expanded Outlook

Sunday
↑40° / ↓22°
iconWinds: variable 1 to 8 mph, then variable 2 to 9 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑40° / ↓22°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 21 to 33 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑31° / ↓23°
Sky
Clear becoming mostly clear with a few clouds into the evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 2 to 9 mph. Expected wind chill to be 21 to 31 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,179ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑37° / ↓21°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑36° / ↓22°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 22 to 26 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓22°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 17 to 25 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,179ft
temperature graph
Tuesday
↑37° / ↓20°
iconWinds: NW 6 to 15 mph, then S 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑35° / ↓20°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming clear through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds NW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 12 to 23 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓22°
Sky
Clear through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds S 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 25 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,179ft
temperature graph
Wednesday
↑37° / ↓22°
iconWinds: NW 10 to 21 mph, then SE 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓29°
Sky
Clear becoming partly cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds NW 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Expected wind chill to be 16 to 23 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑30° / ↓22°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds SE 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 23 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,179ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑41° / ↓24°
iconWinds: NW 8 to 17 mph, then NW 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓29°
Sky
Clear through the morning.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
None expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds NW 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 14 to 28 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑33° / ↓27°
Sky
Clear into the evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds NW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 22 to 30 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,179ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑42° / ↓27°
iconWinds: W 4 to 13 mph, then W 8 to 17 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑42° / ↓35°
Sky
Partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow through the morning.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 25 to 34 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑34° / ↓27°
Sky
Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds W 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be 26 to 34 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 9,179ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature15°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature17°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature18°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature18°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature31°
  • Soil Low Temperature18°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart