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US Extended Snowfall Outlook
Updated April 10, 2017 (OLD)

TAHOE --> Across the western US later Tuesday through later Thursday (afternoon/ evening) it looks like Tahoe is the place to be for new snow, with the best snowfall Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning, and snow levels starting near 7,000 feet or so, dropping to near 6,000 feet (below all Tahoe area resort base elevations) as strong late season low pressure moves in and through. A good foot of new snow is possible, with 1.5+ feet above 7,000 feet Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Dynamics + moisture make this look like a bigger than 1 foot storm, but we will see... show up on Thursday for the freshies, with lighter snow showers continuing on a colder Thursday. The Cascades of Oregon/ Washington will also see more new snow, as will northern Idaho and northwest Montana. The rest of the west looks mostly dry. CM

LONGER RANGE...
Sunday through next Thursday looks snowy for Tahoe-Mammoth, with the storms that hit the west coast (full strength) weakening as they move inland. Snow is expected for the northern and central Rocky Mountains and northern Utah, Colorado as well. Resorts from Jackson Hole to Big Sky, Sun Valley to Whitefish, are all expected to see new snow, though many resorts will be closed by this point. The backcountry will be freshened up though. CM
Forecast discussion for Aspen-Snowmass and Western Colorado

Updated for Wednesday, May 24, 2017, at 8:45am...
Moisture is more scoured out and the air drier, with warming temperatures and the threat of afternoon thunderstorms gone. By Thursday through Sunday we see cold low pressure from out of the northwest US move across the northern tier states, clipping the area with increased moisture and instability, some cooling, and resulting mainly afternoon/ evening thunderstorms and showers. Some good soaking showers are expected in Aspen and many other areas of western Colorado in this time frame, again mainly convective and associated with the late day thunderstorms. CM

LONGER RANGE...
The overall pattern next Monday through Thursday (moving into June) is drier and warmer under a re-building ridge of high pressure. The dry weather will be broken up occasionally by showers and thunderstorms, the first period arrives as we move into June, as more low pressure hits the west coast, mainly northwest US. CM
Check out our 2016-2017 snow outlook/ guidance here
SnowMap Legend
CUSTOM FORECAST DETAILS
Weather Icon

↑48° / 9c°

↓27° / -3c°

↑71° / 22c°

↓31° / -1c°

Mountain Graphic

Sky Condition

Mostly clear, dry, and becoming much warmer... very nice!

Snow Potential

None expected

Precipitation

None expected

Wind

Base and in Aspen: Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 5-15mph, and above Timberline: W/ NW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph

Weather Icon

↑44° / 7c°

↓32° / 0c°

↑64° / 18c°

↓40° / 4c°

Mountain Graphic

Sky Condition

Partly cloudy, becoming mostly cloudy with increased winds, plus scattered afternoon-evening thunderstorms and showers developing. Storms and showers become isolated overnight.

Snow Potential

None expected

Precipitation

60% chance for showers in the afternoon, evening, isolated showers overnight

Wind

Base and in Aspen: Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 10-20 gusts to 30mph, and above Timberline: Becoming SW at 20 to 30 gusts to 45mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in or near any thunderstorm

Weather Icon

↑43° / 6c°

↓30° / -1c°

↑65° / 18c°

↓42° / 6c°

Mountain Graphic

Sky Condition

Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers, becoming mostly cloudy with scattered afternoon-evening thunderstorms and showers developing again. Storms and showers mostly end overnight.

Snow Potential

None expected

Precipitation

50% chance for showers in the afternoon, evening

Wind

Base and in Aspen: Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 10-20mph, and above Timberline: SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 40mph are possible in or near any thunderstorm

Weather Icon

↑36° / 2c°

↓27° / -3c°

↑58° / 14c°

↓40° / 4c°

Mountain Graphic

Sky Condition

Partly to mostly cloudy and cooler, with mostly isolated showers and increased winds.

Snow Potential

A trace above 11,000 feet

Precipitation

40% chance for showers

Wind

Base and in Aspen: Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10-20 gusts to 30mph, and above Timberline: W/ NW at 20 to 30 gusts to 40mph.

Weather Icon

↑43° / 6c°

↓30° / -1c°

Mountain Graphic

Sky Condition

Partly cloudy with scattered storms

Snow Potential

None Expected

Precipitation

Scattered Storms (Potential precip: 0.02in, 0.39mm)

Wind

From the WNW at 6 to 9 MPH.

Weather Icon

↑46° / 8c°

↓30° / -1c°

Mountain Graphic

Sky Condition

Partly cloudy

Snow Potential

None Expected

Precipitation

None Expected

Wind

From the NW at 7 to 10 MPH.

27 Sep 2016 - 11:20am PST
What is the weak La Nina/ ENSO Neutral SST pattern going to bring this winter of 2016-2017? We put together a comparison to some past possibly analogous years, here: Here is some guidance, using previous similar pattern years. This guidance is for Aspen, near base elevations (mid and upper mountain get 2 to 3 times as much snow).CM