Telluride Ski Resort ↑36° ↓22° Forecast:   4" Base:   2"
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Snow Depth: 6"
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Snow Depth: 1"
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Snow Depth: 4"
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Snow Depth: 8"
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Today's Forecast
↑36° ↓22°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑19°
  • Humidity↓77% / ↑94%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow4"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy through the morning, and then cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the early morning followed by another trace before noon and 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon followed by another 1 to 2 inches into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.22 to 1.1 inches
Winds SE 5 to 14 mph through the morning shifting to S 7 to 16 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 17 mph. Wind chill expected to be 13 to 25 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 18th
↑37° ↓23°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓22° / ↑24°
  • Humidity↓80% / ↑94%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Partly cloudy through the morning, and then overcast becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow in the afternoon, snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon and a dusting in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches
Winds SW 7 to 16 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 2 to 9 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 20 mph. Wind chill expected to be 12 to 25 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 19th
↑42° ↓23°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓17° / ↑18°
  • Humidity↓47% / ↑88%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth2"
Partly cloudy becoming clear through the morning, and then clear through the afternoon and evening.
None expected today.
No precipitation expected today.
Winds variable at 3 to 10 mph through the morning becoming SE 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 13 to 29 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 20th
↑45° ↓28°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓18° / ↑22°
  • Humidity↓45% / ↑67%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth1"
Clear through the morning, and then mostly clear with a few clouds becoming clear into the evening.
No snow.
None expected today.
Winds variable at 2 to 9 mph through the morning shifting to S 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 22 to 33 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 21st
↑46° ↓30°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓19° / ↑22°
  • Humidity↓41% / ↑65%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth0"
Clear becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning, and then partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
No snow.
None expected today.
Winds variable at 1 to 8 mph through the morning becoming SE 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 24 to 34 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 22nd
↑46° ↓30°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓21° / ↑24°
  • Humidity↓44% / ↑68%
  • Regional Forecasted Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth0"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Flurries possible throughout the day.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds variable at 1 to 8 mph through the morning becoming variable at 1 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening. Expected wind chill to be 26 to 36 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update08 Oct @ 09:10
  • Snow Past 24 hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth( Estimate ) 2"
  • Today's Snow Potential4"
Comments
None Reported
  • High Lift Elevation12,570ft
  • Base Elevation8,725ft
  • Vertical Drop3,845ft
  • Longest Trail4.6 miles
  • Trails0 of 148
  • Lifts0 of 17
  • Acreage0 of 2000 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone Available
42°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity%
  • Dewpoint
  • Sustained 0mph
  • Gusting 0mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow Depth1"
Comments
Unreported
Location
RED MOUNTAIN PASS, CO
  • Elevation11,100ft
  • UpdatedOct 17 @ 01:03
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity%
  • Dewpoint
  • SustainedSE 0mph
  • GustingSE 13mph
  • Visibility10.00 miles
  • Snow Depth0"
Comments
Fair
Location
BIG BEAR PARK, CO
  • Elevation9,100ft
  • UpdatedOct 17 @ 01:03
Top
Base
Village Cam
Village Cam
Lawson Hill/ Hwy 14
Lawson Hill/ Hwy 14
Top-A-Ten Webcam
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Contact
Location
  • State: Colorado
  • Country: United States
  • City: Telluride
Central Rocky Mountains_Aspen - 2018-2019 Seasonal Long Range Outlook
Fri, August 31st, 2018 (begun this article)
Sunday September 23, 2018 (I finally finished it!)

MODOKI EL NINO = bad, REGULAR EL NINO = usually good, WEAK EL NINO to ENSO Neutral = can be good (due also to other factors)! There are many possibilities with the last one (the one we think is coming) but we will nail it down for you! 

Central and Western Colorado, Aspen-Snowmass to Durango
FALL and WINTER SEASON FORECAST FROM SNOWFORECAST.COM!

...WHAT IS THE FORECAST?...
OCTOBER - (Slightly above average snowfall and below average temperatures) Early season cold and October snows are expected for the ski resorts, with most snow and coldest temperatures being east of Vail Pass and the divide, but more than the average of 10" of snow that Aspen averages in town (more on the mountain), as storms drop in out of Canada for the most part, carrying the bulk of moisture and cold air to northern Colorado and to the east of the Vail Pass and the divide. There will be enough cold and snow to test out snowmaking equipment. The early snows will open the usual 10,000ft+ resorts early, and help to chill the soil for good base building as we move into November... We also expect the usual transition season cut-off and closed low pressure systems to move in from the west and deliver some surprises (snow then best for Aspen and southwest Colorado)... "Cut-off" means the low is cut off from and not being pushed around by, the storm steering flow (usually at 500mb).
NOVEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall, and below average temperatures) Near to above average early season snow overall across the region and no snow level issues, with cold systems out of Canada diving through and hitting all areas, as high pressure ridging offshore of the west coast allows storms to develop and move south from out of Canada, moving in with below average temperatures and some extreme record cold. We expect some early opening days on good bases. Snow is expected to be well preserved as colder than usual air helps to protect the snow...
DECEMBER - (Near to above average snowfall and near to below average temperatures through mid December, then dropping off to near average snowfall and near average temperatures in late December on some good bases). Some significant snowfall events through mid and maybe into late December, and near to below average temperatures should combine to be great for Christmas-New Year skiing/ boarding, then incoming storms start shifting to the south on a different storm track, with lighter snows for Aspen and good for southwest Colorado as we move into the holidays.
JANUARY ONWARD, MORE COMING SOON - ? Stay tuned, but a brief synopsis: Dry for most of January with above average temperatures as high pressure ridging builds in, and the east coast gets hammered with cold and snow. Storms return in February with near to above average snowfall and near average temperatures for Aspen-Snowmass, then March through the rest of the season looks near to warmer than average in temperature, with below average snows. April could produce some big storms and powder days to pass through the region, building the late season snowpack. More details are coming, and I will be naming resorts and forecasting long range snow totalsCM

...WHAT ARE THE FACTORS AND OPINIONS?...
Here are my August 31 observations: An El Nino that "wants" to happen, but meager warming to even some cooling in the key Nino regions (recent), and a mostly neutral status (currently) is not showing much hope for any El Nino pattern that may be classified as moderate or strong. In fact, I will say that we will not see a moderate or strong El Nino SST pattern this 2018-2019 season, and the NOAA forecasted weak El Nino is looking like a "maybe".
And, my September 15 observations: Latest guidance indicates that the El Nino SST anomaly will be weak, at best, in my opinion. Here is why: Cooler eastern Pacific waters (Nino 3.4 region)/ Subsurface waters heat content (180-100W Lat) has decreased/ and the current pattern is showing mostly a general cooling and not warming overall, though in the last 7 days, eastern Pacific surface waters off the coast of Ecuador (means "Equator") have warmed . Its mid September and this El Nino event should be a bit more evident. Its not. Even NOAA has backed off a bit with a 65% chance of El Nino formation, instead of the 70% they had called for early on in the summer when this anomaly looked more likely. For them to back off a bit like that indicates definite lost confidence, and this is not surprising, as I lost confidence in it occurring myself, back in July. Things work a bit slower in these large organizations, while us "loose cannons" (whatever in the hell that means) can blast off at will. Haha.

LONGRANGE_ENSO cpc _human reasoning_2
*An El Nino is still favored according to the above Climate Prediction Center chart*

LONGRANGE_SubsurfaceTempAnomalies

*We have seen some areas of cooling in the Nino 1+2 and 3 regions, as this El Nino struggles to form. This is indicating cooling in the subsurface waters, which is a factor that is looked at for potential SST's*

LONGRANGE_Last Year of Anomalies_best chart_Marked up

*As of Sep 12, there is some warming going on again in the referenced "Nino 3" region, so overall there is a positive SST anomaly, but mostly less than +.5 (in yellow on the above chart), which is the threshold that needs to be met for 3 consecutive months before an actual El Nino pattern is recognized. For now we are in an "ENSO neutral" status.

SOLAR MINIMUM: In terms of sunspot activity, there is currently almost none, or even "none", zero, zilch, nada, many days. Decreased or zero sunspot activity also affects our weather patterns. The chart below shows how we are in a solar "grand minimum" right now:

LONGRANGE_Sunspot Activity_Solar Minimum
We have seen some recent serious weather extremes this Summer of 2018, and have no reason to believe that we will not see similar extremes this fall and winter in North America:

From extreme heat in Europe, notably northern Europe:

LONGRANGE_Extremes_HeatInScandanavia


To extreme snow and cold in August:
LONGRANGE_Extremes_Salzburg
 NOAA: So to reiterate, NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) was forecasting a 60% likelihood for formation of an El Nino SST pattern this fall, and a 70% chance for the winter, 2018-2019, while now those forecasts are down to 50-55% and 65-70%, respectively. Large organizations like NOAA are not going to go backward on the forecast (decreased % chance), like this without very good reason, like, "its not happening like we thought it would guys"...

SNOWFORECAST.COM: At this point, a "weak" El Nino SST anomaly is the forecast from NOAA. I have believed since June that this would be a weak El Nino pattern that sets up, based on the afore-mentioned trend, but am now wondering if this El Nino will even show up at all. We think that the weak El Nino or no El Nino is going to turn out well for Aspen and southwest Colorado as it is combined with weak sunspot activity (solar minimum) for expected colder air (and stronger storms that reach the area) this winter overall. If an El Nino, weak, does form, it is looking more likely to be the Modoki version, which on average, sucks (dry) all across the western US. Thankfully, as a weak factor (there are other factors), a weak El Nino of any kind will have a "weaker" influence on the weather patterns we see this fall and winter, THANKFULLY. We are also looking (currently) at a weakly negative PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation, more of a long term state of ocean water temps), which will not help in the El Nino department. Neutral to "very weak El Nino" is what we are forecasting as we move into fall and maybe through the winter, at best +.5 which is barely classified as an El Nino. As well, with the Grand Solar Minimum, expect the unexpected, and so far, that has proven true in many parts of the world. How will all of these factors; Weak El Nino, or even "ENSO Neutral" SST anomaly, neutral PDO, GSM (solar), and my own intuition, affect the southwest and western Colorado forecast? Just scroll back to the top to find out!

Feel free to share this, but please cite credit to snowforecast.com. Thank you! CM

Snowforecast.com Copyright © 1998–2018. Unauthorized Use Prohibited.

Some References:
COLD AND SNOW:  https://www.theweek.info/index.php?newsid=3760 (Salzburg, over 1 foot of snow in August!)

HEAT:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/07/17/scorching-scandinavia-record-breaking-heat-hits-norway-finland-and-sweden (90+ degrees in Norway, all time record high temps!)

Great resource for current SST’s and anomalies: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/

International Research Institute: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume

Latest ENSO Discussion: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.php

Space Weather ("Solar Minimum"): https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression

NCEP model forecast SST anomalies (1 model forecasting La Nina): http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/tmpsfc_Seas2.html

The ONE outlier model forecasting La Nina: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/images/NASA_GEOS5v2_ensemble_tmpsfc_season2.png

Loads of the latest SST charts from ESRL, knock yourself out: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml

Best anomaly chart (in my opinion): https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/sst/sst.anom.hov.gif

Detailed ENSO Discussion from NOAA: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

More info/ charts on Modoki El Nino: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/enmodoki_home_s.html.en

El Nino/ La Nina years/ ONI: http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm

A GREAT resource for "no BS" historical ski season info: http://bestsnow.net/

Latest PDO and history: http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest.txt

 

Mountain Summit Forecast

Wednesday
↑30° / ↓18°
iconWinds: SE 9 to 20 mph, then S 11 to 22 mph
iconForecast Snow: 4"
icon

AM

icon
↑28° / ↓18°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.7 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top SE 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Expected wind chill to be -3 to 11 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑28° / ↓19°
Sky
Overcast into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon, then another 1 to 2 inches into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.4 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 11 to 22 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be 0 to 6 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,656ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑31° / ↓19°
iconWinds: S 9 to 20 mph, then variable 2 to 9 mph
iconForecast Snow: 2"
icon

AM

icon
↑29° / ↓19°
Sky
Partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the early morning, then another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches
Winds
Morning winds near the top S 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Expected wind chill to be -2 to 2 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑29° / ↓20°
Sky
Overcast becoming partly cloudy into the evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 2 to 9 mph. Expected wind chill to be 2 to 12 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,656ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑36° / ↓20°
iconWinds: NE 6 to 15 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑34° / ↓20°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming clear before noon.
Snow
No snow in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds near the top NE 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 7 to 12 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑35° / ↓25°
Sky
Clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 12 to 19 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,656ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑39° / ↓25°
iconWinds: E 4 to 13 mph, then S 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑37° / ↓25°
Sky
Clear through the morning.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Morning winds near the top E 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 15 mph. Expected wind chill to be 15 to 18 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓27°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top S 4 to 13 mph. Expected wind chill to be 15 to 20 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,656ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑40° / ↓27°
iconWinds: variable 1 to 8 mph, then SE 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓27°
Sky
Clear becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds near the top variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 20 to 26 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓28°
Sky
Partly cloudy into the evening.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top SE 4 to 13 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 21 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,656ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑40° / ↓27°
iconWinds: variable 1 to 8 mph, then variable 1 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓27°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds near the top variable at 1 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 21 to 21 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑37° / ↓30°
Sky
Overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds near the top variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 16 to 21 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 12,656ft
temperature graph

Mountain Base Forecast

Wednesday
↑40° / ↓24°
iconWinds: SE 4 to 13 mph, then S 6 to 15 mph
iconForecast Snow: 4"
icon

AM

icon
↑38° / ↓24°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming partly cloudy before noon.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the early morning, then another trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.14 to 0.7 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SE 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 18 to 32 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑38° / ↓27°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be 1 to 2 inches in the afternoon followed by another 1 to 2 inches in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.08 to 0.4 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base S 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 24 to 35 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 8,958ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑41° / ↓25°
iconWinds: SW 6 to 15 mph, then variable 2 to 9 mph
iconForecast Snow: 1"
icon

AM

icon
↑39° / ↓25°
Sky
Partly cloudy through the morning.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a dusting in the early morning, then another trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches
Winds
Morning winds around the base SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 18 to 29 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑39° / ↓26°
Sky
Cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Expect periods of snow through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 2 to 9 mph. Expected wind chill to be 21 to 32 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 8,958ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑45° / ↓25°
iconWinds: variable 3 to 10 mph, then SE 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑42° / ↓25°
Sky
Partly cloudy becoming clear through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 19 to 34 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑44° / ↓30°
Sky
Clear into the evening.
Snow
None expected through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SE 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 26 to 38 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 8,958ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑48° / ↓30°
iconWinds: variable 2 to 9 mph, then S 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑46° / ↓30°
Sky
Clear before noon.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected in the morning hours.
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 2 to 9 mph. Expected wind chill to be 26 to 39 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑47° / ↓32°
Sky
Mostly clear with a few clouds becoming clear into the evening.
Snow
No snow through the afternoon and evening.
Precipitation
None expected.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base S 4 to 13 mph. Wind chill expected to be 28 to 42 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 8,958ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑50° / ↓32°
iconWinds: variable 1 to 8 mph, then SE 4 to 13 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑48° / ↓32°
Sky
Clear becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the morning.
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 1 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 28 to 41 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑48° / ↓33°
Sky
Partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.
Snow
None expected.
Precipitation
No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base SE 4 to 13 mph. Wind chill expected to be 31 to 43 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 8,958ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑50° / ↓33°
iconWinds: variable 1 to 8 mph, then variable 1 to 8 mph
iconForecast Snow: 0"
icon

AM

icon
↑48° / ↓33°
Sky
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy before noon.
Snow
None expected in the morning hours.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds around the base variable at 1 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 30 to 44 degrees through the morning.

PM

icon
↑47° / ↓37°
Sky
Overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds around the base variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 34 to 43 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 8,958ft
temperature graph

Climatology

  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 53 68 1979 30 1959 30 42 1977 21 1974 0.206 2.90 1959 0.78 26.0 1959 1.4 47 1959
2 54 67 1979 30 1959 30 39 1977 17 1971 0.162 1.40 1966 0.49 12.0 1959 1.1 37 1959
3 53 68 1978 27 1959 30 40 1977 18 1971 0.213 2.16 1969 0.68 16.0 1969 1.6 42 1959
4 53 66 1978 30 1959 28 38 1977 12 1969 0.141 1.68 1989 0.30 8.0 1969 1.8 40 1959
5 52 67 1978 33 1998 28 39 1994 7 1969 0.111 2.65 1972 0.15 6.0 1981 1.7 40 1959
6 51 67 1978 33 1998 28 37 1977 6 1969 0.048 1.10 1994 0.06 1.0 1970 1.8 39 1959
7 52 65 1965 35 1994 27 37 1961 6 1970 0.147 2.81 1977 0.02 1.0 1993 1.6 38 1959
8 50 62 1979 33 1976 27 40 1963 12 1967 0.243 2.60 1997 0.51 11.0 1970 1.8 38 1959
9 49 64 1979 25 1973 26 38 1987 5 1990 0.168 2.46 1960 0.38 4.0 1973 2.0 37 1959
10 49 65 1978 26 1961 27 35 1972 11 1969 0.055 0.81 1961 0.39 8.0 1961 1.6 35 1959
11 51 67 1978 30 1973 27 38 1963 11 1986 0.124 2.00 1986 0.22 6.0 1969 2.2 33 1959
12 51 68 1978 28 1969 27 37 1972 13 1969 0.291 4.00 1986 0.97 15.0 1969 3.5 36 1986
13 50 68 1978 27 1997 25 37 1972 3 1997 0.060 0.90 1987 0.21 3.0 1981 2.3 31 1959
14 51 65 1978 33 1969 26 37 1972 9 1997 0.041 0.68 1981 0.13 4.0 1983 2.1 30 1969
15 49 64 1978 30 1970 25 35 1998 10 1997 0.160 2.20 1984 0.91 13.0 1994 2.7 36 1969
16 50 66 1978 25 1994 25 32 1991 12 1967 0.158 1.76 1994 1.01 16.0 1994 3.4 36 1969
17 48 65 1978 25 1994 24 33 1964 8 1968 0.226 2.00 1971 2.17 16.0 1981 4.5 36 1969
18 48 64 1974 21 1994 24 33 1983 5 1968 0.118 0.83 1979 0.76 7.0 1979 4.7 42 1969
19 47 62 1991 31 1984 23 32 1961 3 1971 0.072 1.27 1972 0.38 5.0 1979 4.8 42 1969
20 47 60 1973 33 1976 22 34 1974 7 1984 0.177 2.66 1972 0.96 10.0 1972 4.9 42 1969
21 46 61 1988 24 1996 22 31 1961 4 1990 0.089 1.00 1978 0.64 6.0 1998 5.5 48 1969
22 45 60 1988 16 1996 22 32 1992 -3 1996 0.086 0.87 1998 0.57 4.5 1998 5.0 48 1969
23 45 66 1973 25 1984 21 32 1998 1 1996 0.068 0.64 1975 0.70 10.0 1970 4.1 48 1969
24 45 59 1988 28 1975 20 32 1965 -1 1975 0.129 1.21 2000 0.86 12.0 1971 4.3 42 1969
25 45 57 1977 25 1997 21 33 1992 -10 1975 0.131 1.10 1958 1.04 8.0 1979 5.2 42 1969
26 44 61 1988 15 1997 19 30 1982 -10 1975 0.190 2.65 1998 1.61 13.0 1998 6.6 36 1969
27 44 58 1990 20 1976 20 30 1963 0 1975 0.149 1.84 1979 1.46 12.0 1996 6.6 36 1969
28 45 58 1968 19 1976 21 33 2001 0 1970 0.173 1.50 2000 1.62 12.0 1974 8.0 36 1969
29 42 59 1978 20 1991 20 36 1963 5 1991 0.159 0.87 1974 1.97 18.0 1961 7.6 30 1969
30 40 60 1978 20 1991 19 33 2001 1 1971 0.221 2.09 1961 2.57 30.0 1961 9.5 36 1971
31 42 59 1978 19 1991 19 33 2001 1 1971 0.202 1.65 1992 2.92 41.5 1994 10.5 47 1991
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
  High Temperatures Low Temperatures Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year
1 66 83 1980 35 1959 31 45 1921 14 1927 0.050 0.96 1911 0.08 7.0 1959 0.1 10 1959
2 64 80 1980 40 1959 31 44 1986 15 1927 0.064 0.82 1931 0.03 2.0 1959 0.1 8 1959
3 64 80 1980 43 1966 30 45 2005 17 1961 0.114 2.30 1996 0.21 14.0 1969 0.3 14 1969
4 63 79 1980 35 1969 30 47 2005 18 1930 0.087 1.45 1996 0.17 3.0 1996 0.3 17 1969
5 63 77 1980 41 1995 30 45 2007 3 1969 0.100 1.90 1941 0.01 1.0 1998 0.2 12 1969
6 63 82 1979 42 1998 29 44 2007 7 1969 0.047 0.64 2015 0.16 6.0 1901 0.1 8 1969
7 62 82 1980 47 1994 28 44 1972 14 1969 0.070 1.25 1977 0.13 6.0 1970 0.2 6 1924
8 63 81 1980 40 1970 28 45 1954 12 1970 0.072 2.00 1938 0.22 7.0 1938 0.1 6 1924
9 63 79 1991 39 1982 28 40 1930 14 1970 0.068 1.13 1961 0.10 6.0 1949 0.0 2 2005
10 62 80 1991 37 1949 28 42 1972 12 1913 0.056 0.78 1970 0.19 7.5 1912 0.3 9 1949
11 61 82 1991 38 1969 28 52 1997 3 1946 0.059 0.86 2013 0.19 5.5 1943 0.2 3 2013
12 61 77 1989 35 1986 27 42 1975 11 1946 0.056 0.66 1947 0.17 7.0 1986 0.2 7 1986
13 61 79 1911 30 1997 26 45 1972 7 1997 0.049 1.08 1957 0.28 12.0 1957 0.3 6 1957
14 60 74 1989 40 1984 26 47 1945 12 1912 0.055 3.04 1947 0.17 4.0 1947 0.2 4 1957
15 60 81 1991 32 1984 26 47 1971 15 1956 0.071 1.12 1937 0.40 9.0 1980 0.3 8 1984
16 60 81 1991 35 1980 25 40 1918 16 1984 0.068 1.51 1972 0.34 8.0 1928 0.3 10 1984
17 59 77 1991 38 1984 25 38 1950 8 1968 0.051 0.81 1946 0.26 6.0 1998 0.4 11 1984
18 59 76 1974 35 1984 25 35 1983 7 1917 0.047 1.18 1965 0.40 14.0 1965 0.6 16 1984
19 58 73 2003 37 2006 24 40 1972 7 1971 0.060 0.91 2005 0.29 8.0 1949 0.6 14 1984
20 58 74 1992 31 1911 24 38 1979 3 1949 0.080 1.50 1963 0.43 8.7 1943 0.7 16 1920
21 57 71 1921 31 1996 23 42 2004 0 1920 0.059 1.01 1979 0.29 9.0 1979 0.5 14 1920
22 57 73 2003 26 2007 23 44 1902 1 2007 0.050 1.28 1978 0.24 5.0 1978 0.4 12 1920
23 56 72 2003 30 1995 23 36 1902 1 2007 0.066 1.35 1953 0.45 11.5 1916 0.6 16 1984
24 56 72 1989 33 1916 23 39 1954 2 1920 0.049 0.60 1987 0.41 8.0 1932 0.6 15 1984
25 57 70 1941 28 1916 22 39 1982 1 1932 0.029 0.73 1958 0.25 6.0 1918 0.4 12 1984
26 57 70 1977 27 1997 21 44 1950 4 1996 0.039 0.85 1998 0.28 6.0 1971 0.4 11 1984
27 55 72 1985 27 2006 22 38 2004 3 1997 0.028 0.62 1982 0.18 9.0 1982 0.3 9 1984
28 54 71 1990 35 1996 23 36 2004 1 1919 0.067 1.05 1948 0.40 10.0 1918 0.4 8 1984
29 53 73 1964 28 1991 22 38 1987 3 1917 0.087 0.75 1927 0.87 9.0 1969 0.9 9 1969
30 52 74 1914 31 1991 22 40 1945 0 1956 0.076 1.05 1943 0.65 11.0 1972 0.6 10 1991
31 52 67 1965 29 1929 21 39 2001 2 1935 0.056 1.32 1963 0.38 6.0 1963 0.6 8 1991
Day Avg High Year Low Year Avg High Year Low Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year Avg Max Year

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature38°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature37°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature37°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature40°
  • Soil Low Temperature31°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature44°
  • Soil Low Temperature32°
Summit Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart