Wolf Creek Ski Area Discussion

Updated Wednesday September 19, 2018

On Wednesday we expect some moisture to be dragged up form the south out ahead of a low pressure system moving in across Colorado, for some scattered thunderstorms and showers, some heavy and soaking. Temperatures will be cooler.

Thursday through Saturday we expect mostly dry and warm conditions under mostly sunny skies, with breezy to windy conditions as low pressure moves across Montana/ Wyoming, causing a stronger pressure gradient. Around the 25th we may see a greater increase of moisture and instability, aided by a dissipating Hurricane off Baja California, which has its remnants carried across Colorado. This may last a few+ days, for isolated to scattered thunderstorms and possibly some good soaking shower in favored areas. CM

US Extended Snowfall Outlook - Updated May 13, 2018

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK from snowforecast.com - May 13, 2018

Updated Sunday May 13, 2018-

Low pressure will continue frequently affecting the west coast right into June, with late season upper-mountain snowfalls expected at times for Aspen and western Colorado. Do You want to see OTHER AREAS mentioned, email me and let me know... CM

Feel free to share this, but please cite credit to snowforecast.com. Thank you! CM

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Mountain Summit Forecast

Wednesday

↑51° / ↓43°

Winds: SW 10 to 21 mph, then SW 6 to 15 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑51° / ↓43°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming overcast through the morning.

Snow

None expected through the morning.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches

Winds

Morning winds near the top SW 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Expected wind chill to be 31 to 39 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑50° / ↓43°

Sky

Cloudy through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: trace amount

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 32 to 40 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Thursday

↑51° / ↓40°

Winds: SE 4 to 13 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑48° / ↓40°

Sky

Cloudy before noon.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches

Winds

Morning winds near the top SE 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 34 to 39 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑51° / ↓43°

Sky

Mostly cloudy into the evening.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 37 to 44 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Friday

↑50° / ↓41°

Winds: SW 6 to 15 mph, then SW 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑48° / ↓41°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds before noon.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

None expected in the morning hours.

Winds

Morning winds near the top SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 35 to 38 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑49° / ↓42°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top SW 5 to 14 mph. Wind chill expected to be 36 to 41 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Saturday

↑49° / ↓39°

Winds: SW 7 to 16 mph, then SW 6 to 15 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑47° / ↓39°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Morning winds near the top SW 7 to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 33 to 37 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑48° / ↓43°

Sky

Clear through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top SW 6 to 15 mph. Expected wind chill to be 35 to 38 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Sunday

↑50° / ↓40°

Winds: SW 8 to 17 mph, then SW 10 to 21 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑48° / ↓40°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

None expected through the morning.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds near the top SW 8 to 17 mph. Expected wind chill to be 30 to 36 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑49° / ↓47°

Sky

Clear through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top SW 10 to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 32 to 38 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Monday

↑0° / ↓0°

Winds: variable to mph, then variable to mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑0° / ↓0°

Sky

No forecasts available.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected in the morning hours.

Winds

Morning winds near the top variable at to 8 mph.

PM

↑0° / ↓0°

Sky

No forecasts available.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top variable at to 8 mph.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Mountain Base Forecast

Wednesday

↑55° / ↓44°

Winds: SW 10 to 21 mph, then SW 6 to 15 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑51° / ↓44°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming cloudy before noon.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches

Winds

Morning winds around the base SW 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Expected wind chill to be 34 to 40 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑54° / ↓45°

Sky

Cloudy into the evening.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: trace amount

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Expected wind chill to be 37 to 47 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Thursday

↑55° / ↓41°

Winds: SE 4 to 13 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑52° / ↓41°

Sky

Cloudy through the morning.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches

Winds

Morning winds around the base SE 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 35 to 48 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑54° / ↓44°

Sky

Mostly cloudy into the evening.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 38 to 52 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Friday

↑54° / ↓41°

Winds: SW 6 to 15 mph, then SW 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑52° / ↓41°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning.

Snow

No snow through the morning.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected in the morning hours.

Winds

Morning winds around the base SW 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 19 mph. Wind chill expected to be 35 to 47 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑53° / ↓43°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear with a few clouds into the evening.

Snow

No snow through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base SW 5 to 14 mph. Wind chill expected to be 38 to 49 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Saturday

↑53° / ↓40°

Winds: SW 7 to 16 mph, then SW 6 to 15 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑51° / ↓40°

Sky

Clear through the morning.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

None expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds around the base SW 7 to 16 mph. Expected wind chill to be 34 to 44 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑52° / ↓43°

Sky

Clear through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base SW 6 to 15 mph. Expected wind chill to be 36 to 47 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Sunday

↑54° / ↓39°

Winds: SW 8 to 17 mph, then SW 10 to 21 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑51° / ↓39°

Sky

Clear through the morning.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected.

Winds

Morning winds around the base SW 8 to 17 mph. Wind chill expected to be 29 to 45 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑53° / ↓47°

Sky

Clear into the evening.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base SW 10 to 21 mph. Wind chill expected to be 32 to 48 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Monday

↑0° / ↓0°

Winds: variable to mph, then variable to mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑0° / ↓0°

Sky

No forecasts available.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

None expected in the morning hours.

Winds

Morning winds around the base variable at to 8 mph.

PM

↑0° / ↓0°

Sky

No forecasts available.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base variable at to 8 mph.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Climatology

Mountain Top Climatology

	High Temperatures					Low Temperatures					Precipitation			Snowfall			Snow Depth
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year
1	62	76	1990	45	1986	38	48	1958	31	1986	0.131	1.16	1994	T	T	1964	0.0	0	2001
2	61	73	1990	51	1993	37	45	1995	31	1992	0.125	0.90	1984	0.12	5.0	1961	0.1	5	1961
3	61	75	1985	49	1961	37	45	1995	26	1961	0.085	0.62	1999	0.02	1.0	1961	0.0	2	1961
4	61	73	1995	36	1961	36	43	1995	18	1961	0.130	1.83	1970	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	1	1961
5	61	72	1978	48	1965	36	43	2000	25	1961	0.028	0.30	1964	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
6	62	71	1978	53	1965	37	46	2000	28	1970	0.183	3.89	1970	0.02	1.0	1970	0.0	1	1970
7	61	70	1978	49	1991	36	42	1995	28	2001	0.208	1.03	1986	0.04	1.5	1999	0.1	4	1993
8	59	71	1978	41	1976	36	44	1958	27	1989	0.117	1.30	1991	0.00	0.0	2001	0.1	3	1993
9	59	69	1978	44	1986	36	42	1960	23	2001	0.099	1.46	1986	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
10	60	71	1979	36	1986	36	42	1961	22	1986	0.079	1.10	1973	0.00	0.0	2001	0.1	3	1986
11	60	70	1992	50	1984	36	41	1983	28	1986	0.099	1.51	1988	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
12	59	76	1990	46	1988	36	43	1992	25	1989	0.297	2.12	1985	0.07	3.0	1982	0.1	3	1989
13	57	72	1990	40	1982	35	46	1958	23	1989	0.178	2.84	1970	T	T	1987	0.0	T	1987
14	56	81	1990	35	1982	33	41	1962	16	1993	0.158	1.60	1994	0.33	14.0	1982	0.1	4	1993
15	56	75	1990	42	1996	33	44	1959	16	1993	0.218	1.53	1984	0.10	3.0	1979	0.0	1	1996
16	56	69	1978	46	1999	33	41	1997	23	1991	0.086	0.90	1999	0.02	1.0	1999	0.0	0	2001
17	56	70	2000	39	1999	34	43	2000	25	1988	0.127	0.89	1959	0.12	5.0	1959	0.1	3	1959
18	55	69	2000	39	1996	33	42	1963	17	1971	0.173	2.25	1985	0.09	4.0	1996	0.1	4	1996
19	54	65	1966	35	1996	32	44	1997	13	1996	0.291	2.45	1965	0.29	5.0	1965	0.2	5	1965
20	53	65	1984	33	1978	32	43	1997	17	1996	0.230	1.52	1965	0.30	8.0	1965	0.4	13	1965
21	53	69	1966	30	1965	31	40	1998	13	1965	0.240	2.56	1997	0.13	3.0	1965	0.4	14	1965
22	54	68	1966	37	1968	32	42	1966	21	1985	0.125	1.55	1997	0.05	2.0	1964	0.3	12	1965
23	55	68	1977	41	1961	32	43	1993	22	1970	0.037	0.48	1974	T	T	1997	0.2	10	1965
24	55	67	1978	41	2000	31	39	1993	18	2000	0.145	1.72	1986	0.19	6.0	1959	0.6	12	1986
25	54	64	2001	31	1959	31	44	1998	17	1959	0.081	1.00	1986	0.09	3.0	1973	0.8	12	1986
26	55	67	1982	33	1978	30	46	1977	18	1959	0.130	1.80	1978	0.04	1.5	1995	0.6	12	1986
27	55	66	1979	35	1976	31	40	1965	15	1996	0.033	0.76	1964	T	T	1996	0.1	4	1965
28	55	69	1978	35	1976	30	37	1972	18	1996	0.045	0.78	1982	0.31	13.0	1982	0.0	0	2001
29	54	67	1989	30	1982	30	39	2001	17	1985	0.187	2.00	1990	0.30	12.0	1959	0.4	12	1959
30	55	68	1992	32	1959	30	40	1977	21	1995	0.257	3.43	1971	0.52	18.0	1959	0.0	1	1995
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year

Mountain Base Climatology

	High Temperatures					Low Temperatures					Precipitation			Snowfall			Snow Depth
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year
1	73	85	1990	55	1938	38	50	1960	24	1932	0.067	0.86	1984	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
2	73	84	1990	53	1938	37	49	1985	26	1932	0.042	0.50	1960	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
3	73	86	1976	41	1961	37	50	1954	25	1973	0.069	1.04	1977	0.05	5.0	1961	0.0	2	1961
4	73	85	1980	51	1961	37	48	1991	26	1971	0.056	0.59	1971	0.04	4.0	1971	0.0	0	2015
5	72	86	1979	53	1939	37	48	1990	26	1971	0.083	1.53	1970	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
6	72	86	1979	51	1970	37	49	1963	22	1929	0.086	0.80	1929	T	T	1929	0.0	T	1929
7	71	83	1979	53	1939	37	49	2002	22	1929	0.071	0.66	1950	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
8	70	84	1974	53	1929	37	49	1958	22	1929	0.062	0.41	1927	T	T	1941	0.0	0	2015
9	70	83	1919	51	1986	37	49	1998	21	2001	0.082	1.12	1986	0.02	2.0	1912	0.0	0	2015
10	70	84	1992	49	2003	36	49	1998	20	1929	0.113	2.50	2003	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
11	69	83	1990	47	2003	36	50	1998	22	1929	0.097	1.05	1942	T	T	1986	0.0	0	2015
12	70	88	1990	52	1982	36	50	1915	23	1951	0.129	1.55	1988	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
13	69	88	1990	43	1982	35	48	1992	23	1985	0.066	1.10	1970	0.00	0.3	1982	0.0	0	2015
14	69	88	1948	51	1993	34	45	1960	22	2003	0.049	0.57	1996	0.01	1.5	1912	0.0	0	2015
15	69	82	2000	50	1912	34	50	2007	24	2005	0.079	1.30	1921	0.03	2.9	1912	0.0	2	1912
16	69	83	1931	54	2006	34	47	1945	24	2005	0.033	0.58	1959	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
17	69	82	1956	53	2006	35	49	1989	18	2006	0.056	0.55	2007	0.01	1.0	1996	0.0	0	2015
18	68	83	1980	46	1971	34	48	1947	15	1971	0.088	1.00	1965	0.02	2.5	1996	0.0	2	1996
19	68	84	1956	43	1996	34	47	1997	15	1996	0.075	0.63	1972	0.03	3.0	1996	0.0	2	1996
20	67	77	1936	41	1965	33	50	1986	17	1971	0.091	0.97	1902	0.04	4.0	1902	0.0	0	2015
21	67	81	1966	45	1965	32	45	2014	10	1931	0.090	0.99	2006	0.07	4.0	2006	0.0	4	2006
22	67	82	1966	44	2006	33	49	2014	14	1912	0.082	2.60	1941	0.06	4.8	2006	0.1	5	2006
23	66	82	1992	38	2006	32	48	2000	20	2006	0.076	1.25	1913	0.09	9.1	1913	0.1	8	1913
24	66	79	1991	45	2006	32	45	1984	18	1913	0.071	1.05	1935	0.11	6.0	1959	0.1	5	1986
25	66	81	1991	42	1959	31	46	1933	9	1931	0.055	0.75	1935	0.06	3.0	1934	0.1	3	1986
26	66	81	1963	41	1976	31	47	1982	16	1930	0.061	1.50	1915	0.03	3.0	1986	0.0	0	2015
27	67	80	1963	47	1996	31	47	1997	16	1931	0.040	0.75	1935	0.02	2.0	1935	0.0	0	2015
28	66	82	1989	48	1982	32	46	1953	19	1999	0.058	0.90	1990	0.06	3.5	1902	0.0	0	2015
29	66	80	1980	44	1959	31	46	1940	16	1999	0.065	0.89	1959	0.12	12.0	1959	0.1	8	1959
30	66	84	1980	37	1959	30	48	1949	16	1999	0.089	1.33	1937	0.08	3.0	1959	0.1	8	1959
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year