Wolf Creek Ski Area Discussion

Updated Friday June 22, 2018

Today a weak low pressure system skirts the area, as our upper level flow goes from Westerly to northwesterly, while a strong high-pressure Ridge builds in to the west. Temperatures are expected to be warmer under mostly sunny skies, and dry conditions, with some Northwest breezes.

On Thursday high-pressure ridging builds in stronger across the area as low pressure moves off to the east, For warmer temperatures, mostly sunny skies and not much wind expected.

On Friday we expect a low pressure system from the northwest US to clip the area with increased winds and dry conditions across the area. Only a few clouds are expected south of this low pressure system.

Saturday through Monday a stronger low pressure system drops in from out of the Northwest, with increased moisture and a good chance for showers and thunderstorms across western Colorado, including Aspen Snowmass, especially on Sunday. Temperatures are expected to cool down Sunday and Monday as this happens.

By Tuesday and Wednesday low pressure is exiting and a high pressure ridge builds in. We expect a west/ northwest wind flow across the area leaving most of western Colorado closed off to any moisture, so the air will be much drier, skies mostly sunny, and temperatures on the rise.

LONGER RANGE FORECAST
By next Tuesday and through the rest of June it looks like we will have a high pressure ridge located to the east, with low pressure still remaining persistent across the Northwest US, causing an open door to monsoonal moisture from out of the Gulf of Mexico, and resultant increased chances for thunderstorms and showers in Aspen and western Colorado, otherwise temperatures will be summer-like and warm. Mostly sunny skies are expected overall, with periods of mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon hours, as is to be expected during thunderstorm season.

US Extended Snowfall Outlook - Updated May 13, 2018

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK from snowforecast.com - May 13, 2018

Updated Sunday May 13, 2018-

Low pressure will continue frequently affecting the west coast right into June, with late season upper-mountain snowfalls expected at times for Aspen and western Colorado. Do You want to see OTHER AREAS mentioned, email me and let me know... CM

Feel free to share this, but please cite credit to snowforecast.com. Thank you! CM

Snowforecast.com Copyright © 1998–2018. Unauthorized Use Prohibited.

Mountain Summit Forecast

Friday

↑58° / ↓47°

Winds: SW 23 to 35 mph, then NW 7 to 16 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑57° / ↓49°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

None expected in the morning hours.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds near the top SW 23 to 35 mph with gusts up to 44 mph. Expected wind chill to be 38 to 42 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑57° / ↓47°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming clear through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top NW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 38 to 44 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Saturday

↑57° / ↓43°

Winds: W 10 to 21 mph, then SW 22 to 34 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑54° / ↓43°

Sky

Partly cloudy through the morning.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds near the top W 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Wind chill expected to be 36 to 43 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑56° / ↓49°

Sky

Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top SW 22 to 34 mph with gusts up to 43 mph. Expected wind chill to be 38 to 45 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Sunday

↑53° / ↓42°

Winds: SW 22 to 34 mph, then SW 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑52° / ↓44°

Sky

Clear through the morning.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected in the morning hours.

Winds

Morning winds near the top SW 22 to 34 mph with gusts up to 43 mph. Expected wind chill to be 31 to 37 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑52° / ↓43°

Sky

Clear through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top SW 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 28 mph. Wind chill expected to be 32 to 39 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Monday

↑55° / ↓40°

Winds: W 9 to 20 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑51° / ↓40°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

None expected.

Precipitation

None expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds near the top W 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wind chill expected to be 32 to 40 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑54° / ↓48°

Sky

Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 40 to 44 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Tuesday

↑61° / ↓45°

Winds: W 4 to 13 mph, then NW 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑57° / ↓45°

Sky

Clear through the morning.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

None expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds near the top W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 42 to 50 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑60° / ↓52°

Sky

Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top NW 5 to 14 mph. Wind chill expected to be 47 to 53 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Wednesday

↑61° / ↓48°

Winds: SW 8 to 17 mph, then W 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑58° / ↓49°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

None expected in the morning hours.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected in the morning hours.

Winds

Morning winds near the top SW 8 to 17 mph. Expected wind chill to be 47 to 52 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑60° / ↓50°

Sky

Mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

None expected through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds near the top W 5 to 14 mph. Expected wind chill to be 39 to 51 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 11,747ft

Mountain Base Forecast

Friday

↑62° / ↓47°

Winds: SW 23 to 35 mph, then NW 7 to 16 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑61° / ↓48°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

None expected through the morning.

Precipitation

None expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds around the base SW 23 to 35 mph with gusts up to 44 mph. Expected wind chill to be 36 to 52 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑61° / ↓47°

Sky

Partly cloudy becoming clear into the evening.

Snow

No snow through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base NW 7 to 16 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Expected wind chill to be 38 to 54 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Saturday

↑61° / ↓43°

Winds: W 10 to 21 mph, then SW 22 to 34 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑57° / ↓43°

Sky

Partly cloudy through the morning.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected.

Winds

Morning winds around the base W 10 to 21 mph with gusts up to 26 mph. Expected wind chill to be 36 to 51 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑61° / ↓49°

Sky

Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

No snow through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base SW 22 to 34 mph with gusts up to 43 mph. Expected wind chill to be 37 to 55 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Sunday

↑57° / ↓43°

Winds: SW 22 to 34 mph, then SW 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑55° / ↓44°

Sky

Clear through the morning.

Snow

None expected in the morning hours.

Precipitation

None expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds around the base SW 22 to 34 mph with gusts up to 43 mph. Expected wind chill to be 29 to 45 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑56° / ↓44°

Sky

Clear through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base SW 5 to 14 mph with gusts up to 28 mph. Expected wind chill to be 34 to 49 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Monday

↑59° / ↓40°

Winds: W 9 to 20 mph, then variable 3 to 10 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑55° / ↓40°

Sky

Clear through the morning.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

None expected in the morning hours.

Winds

Morning winds around the base W 9 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wind chill expected to be 32 to 49 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑58° / ↓48°

Sky

Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy through the afternoon and evening.

Snow

No snow through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the afternoon and evening.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 42 to 52 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Tuesday

↑65° / ↓44°

Winds: W 4 to 13 mph, then NW 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑61° / ↓44°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

None expected in the morning hours.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Morning winds around the base W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 39 to 58 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑64° / ↓52°

Sky

Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy into the evening.

Snow

No snow through the afternoon and evening.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base NW 5 to 14 mph. Temperatures will feel like they are between 46 to 62 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Wednesday

↑65° / ↓48°

Winds: SW 8 to 17 mph, then W 5 to 14 mph

Forecast Snow: 0"

AM

↑62° / ↓48°

Sky

Clear before noon.

Snow

No snow in the morning hours.

Precipitation

No precipitation expected through the morning.

Winds

Morning winds around the base SW 8 to 17 mph. Temperatures will feel like they are between 46 to 60 degrees through the morning.

PM

↑64° / ↓51°

Sky

Mostly cloudy into the evening.

Snow

No snow.

Precipitation

None expected.

Winds

Afternoon winds around the base W 5 to 14 mph. Temperatures will feel like they are between 44 to 60 degrees into the evening.

Hourly Temperatures at 10,555ft

Climatology

Mountain Top Climatology

	High Temperatures					Low Temperatures					Precipitation			Snowfall			Snow Depth
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year
1	57	67	2000	48	1979	31	41	1998	17	1981	0.032	0.61	1966	0.00	0.0	2001	1.1	36	1965
2	56	66	1997	44	1973	31	39	1961	17	1990	0.022	0.29	1973	0.10	4.0	1981	1.0	34	1965
3	57	68	2000	34	1973	32	40	1966	24	1973	0.074	0.59	1967	T	T	1964	0.9	32	1965
4	58	72	1990	40	1973	33	45	1986	27	1983	0.058	0.77	1967	0.10	4.0	1973	0.7	28	1965
5	57	71	1990	35	1984	33	46	1992	20	1973	0.092	1.50	1984	0.00	0.0	2001	0.7	24	1965
6	56	71	1990	35	1999	34	42	1992	25	1983	0.032	0.60	1958	0.05	2.0	1999	0.6	20	1965
7	58	71	1985	42	1974	33	41	1994	19	1974	0.100	1.70	1984	0.12	5.0	1993	0.7	18	1965
8	57	71	2000	35	1993	34	47	1959	22	1993	0.083	0.68	1997	0.12	3.0	1979	0.5	16	1965
9	57	72	1996	38	1979	32	42	1981	22	1993	0.081	0.84	1979	0.24	8.0	1979	0.3	13	1965
10	57	71	1990	43	1997	32	42	1964	22	1970	0.063	0.85	1970	0.08	3.0	1970	0.3	10	1965
11	58	69	1973	44	1970	32	40	1990	20	1975	0.061	0.80	1966	0.05	2.0	1969	0.2	8	1965
12	60	69	1959	50	1998	32	40	1990	22	1978	0.023	0.23	1969	0.00	0.0	2001	0.2	6	1965
13	60	68	1974	41	1983	34	41	1992	23	1970	0.063	0.91	1969	0.11	3.0	1969	0.0	T	1998
14	60	69	1987	46	2001	35	44	1958	18	2001	0.066	0.58	1967	0.04	1.5	2001	0.1	2	2001
15	60	70	1974	45	1973	34	43	1994	20	1976	0.058	0.53	1996	T	T	1998	0.0	T	1998
16	60	71	1974	45	1962	35	44	1964	25	1978	0.028	0.42	1969	0.01	0.5	1995	0.1	5	1997
17	62	72	1985	51	1992	35	45	1970	28	1992	0.043	0.45	1979	0.10	4.0	1979	0.0	T	1998
18	62	73	1989	45	1998	35	46	1970	25	1979	0.070	1.31	1995	0.12	3.0	1998	0.1	3	1998
19	64	74	1990	47	1979	36	45	1970	23	1973	0.065	0.76	1967	T	T	1990	0.0	T	1990
20	64	75	1958	52	1975	37	49	1970	27	1973	0.068	1.44	1975	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
21	64	74	1968	50	1975	36	44	1970	26	1989	0.018	0.29	1970	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
22	64	76	1968	51	1975	38	47	1970	27	1989	0.069	1.18	1994	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
23	65	77	1968	53	1975	36	45	1970	15	1982	0.019	0.15	1988	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
24	65	75	1990	59	1995	37	45	1966	22	1981	0.033	0.55	1965	T	T	1981	0.0	0	2001
25	64	79	1990	46	1983	37	44	1990	21	1978	0.095	1.79	1969	0.05	2.0	1969	0.0	0	2001
26	64	75	1970	41	1969	38	46	1966	24	1978	0.095	1.32	1969	0.05	2.0	1969	0.0	0	2001
27	64	75	1994	47	1983	38	50	1970	16	1978	0.059	0.77	1996	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
28	65	80	1990	55	2000	39	45	1974	19	1978	0.037	0.39	1996	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
29	66	77	1990	50	1996	39	47	1993	17	1978	0.099	2.02	1981	T	T	1996	0.0	T	1996
30	66	79	1990	48	1978	39	46	1990	15	1978	0.045	0.53	1991	0.00	0.0	2001	0.0	0	2001
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year

Mountain Base Climatology

	High Temperatures					Low Temperatures					Precipitation			Snowfall			Snow Depth
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year
1	67	85	2002	45	1919	32	46	1915	16	1938	0.030	0.57	1992	0.02	2.0	1917	0.0	0	2015
2	68	81	2002	52	1973	32	43	1993	19	1935	0.033	0.83	1943	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
3	68	80	1990	48	1944	33	44	2005	25	1954	0.041	0.92	1981	0.03	2.0	1973	0.0	0	2016
4	68	83	1990	45	1915	33	42	1956	25	1961	0.039	0.90	1973	0.04	4.0	1973	0.0	0	2015
5	68	82	1990	42	1915	34	49	1958	19	1937	0.043	0.57	1921	0.02	2.0	1917	0.0	0	2016
6	69	82	2006	44	1999	34	51	2007	15	1937	0.030	0.62	2015	T	T	1954	0.0	0	2015
7	69	83	2006	50	1984	34	46	1972	20	1954	0.047	0.94	1984	0.03	2.0	1984	0.0	0	2015
8	69	86	1990	52	1979	35	49	2006	23	2007	0.057	1.70	1941	0.07	2.0	1974	0.0	0	2015
9	69	84	1990	46	1941	34	54	2002	22	2008	0.073	1.15	1997	0.06	6.0	1979	0.0	0	2015
10	70	85	1902	50	1975	35	50	1990	22	1979	0.030	0.64	1997	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
11	70	83	1981	48	2005	34	49	1902	26	1975	0.061	1.53	1947	0.09	7.5	1947	0.0	0	2015
12	71	85	1918	44	1928	34	50	1996	23	2008	0.054	0.88	2015	0.12	8.0	1928	0.0	2	1928
13	71	85	1918	48	1983	35	49	1996	20	1947	0.035	1.10	1938	0.05	5.0	1983	0.0	0	2015
14	72	86	1918	47	2001	35	49	2006	21	1947	0.042	0.83	1991	0.09	6.0	1901	0.0	3	2001
15	72	85	1918	54	1901	35	48	1946	19	1947	0.028	0.60	1921	T	T	1901	0.0	0	2015
16	73	86	1918	52	1957	36	47	1994	24	1943	0.018	0.27	1974	T	T	1962	0.0	0	2015
17	74	84	1977	52	1912	35	46	1927	21	1957	0.020	0.54	1912	0.05	4.6	1912	0.0	0	2015
18	73	88	1989	52	1939	36	48	1990	22	1939	0.044	0.95	1949	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
19	74	84	1989	51	1939	36	49	1948	22	1973	0.024	0.54	1979	0.02	2.5	1979	0.0	0	2015
20	75	87	1936	49	1939	36	51	1951	24	1973	0.023	0.38	1914	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
21	76	88	1992	58	1947	37	48	1918	28	1946	0.037	1.20	1938	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
22	75	89	1954	47	1948	37	50	2002	24	1989	0.037	0.65	1950	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
23	76	90	1954	62	1948	37	49	1954	24	1964	0.032	0.80	1918	T	T	1969	0.0	0	2015
24	76	90	1990	56	1969	37	48	1952	24	1976	0.035	1.15	1969	T	T	1969	0.0	0	2015
25	76	88	1981	49	1969	38	52	1978	26	1976	0.022	0.53	1985	T	T	1969	0.0	0	2015
26	76	87	1990	58	1969	38	50	1981	25	1975	0.038	0.76	1969	T	T	1969	0.0	0	2015
27	76	86	1990	54	1920	38	51	1971	26	1965	0.034	0.75	1927	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
28	77	89	1990	58	1927	38	50	1971	27	1942	0.042	0.95	1927	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
29	76	91	1901	61	1988	39	48	1988	25	1942	0.044	1.10	1938	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
30	76	88	1914	60	2004	39	52	1980	26	1968	0.050	0.73	1984	0.00	0.0	2015	0.0	0	2015
Day	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	High	Year	Low	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year	Avg	Max	Year