November 27, 2018 - Southwest Canada (BC and Alberta) Long Range Weather Outlook
SHORT RANGE:
-Wednesday and Thursday we expect light additional snow as an incoming storm system moves through, but sends most of its energy to the south, for mostly light snow accumulations expected at the resorts. Revelstoke Mountain Resort, BC is opening December 1, and reports 130" of snow so far (330cm) this season, with a base depth of 4 feet (120cm), and over 2 feet (64cm) in the last week!

Here is Revelstoke's Gnorm, buried under almost a foot of fresh pow (27cm)
Screen Shot 2018-11-27 at 13.46.25

And a shot of some live cam imagery from today (27Nov):
Screen Shot 2018-11-27 at 13.46.04

Friday (opening day at the stoke) through the weekend, we expect storm energy to track just to the south while a high pressure ridge starts building in over western Canada, with most snow hitting the Pacific Northwest of the US, some occasional snow for the mid and lower mountain areas in southwest Canada, in much COLDER air as it is dragged out of the north. You will see most of the sunshine on the upper mountain. I say expect some nice but much colder conditions and sunshine mixed with clouds, mostly in the valley and base areas, for this weekend (bring some layers)!

Here is the snow outlook from the GFS, for now through this weekend...
Canada_3_150hrSnow

LONGER RANGE:
It looks like El Nino is not an official anomaly yet, as I expected in my September LR forecast, so we are in an ENSO Neutral phase, though in the latest update from NOAA, we are seeing warming waters, still a weak El Nino at best. Next week we expect lots more sunshine on the mountain with some fog at times in the valley areas, ALL next week. By the 7th-10th...

Here is that period, 3rd through 7th of December from the GFS - Please pay attention to added snow, as it starts off showing previously fallen snow estimates:
Canada_153_264hrSnow

Next weekend, expect storms and snow to return, with some strong systems expected, better tracking across southwest Canada, and good snowfall across southwest Canada.

Here is that period represented by the GFS - Again, please pay attention to added snow, as it starts off showing previously fallen snow estimates:
Canada_276_384hrSnow

We expect a slow down and more sunshine as we approach the Christmas and New Year holiday period, but not before some nice dumps of snow pile up through and past mid-December... There will still be some storm energy at times for some fresh snow during the holiday break. In January storms should kick in again on a more regular basis. More updates are coming. Do you have any ideas on what you want to see in our discussions? Please contact through the site! We do not charge for any of our info, and have been providing it since 1998, "Predicting Sick Days since 1998"! CM
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Bogus Basin Current weather icon
↑38°
↓25°
Live webcam image from resort
  • New Snow:2"
  • Forecasted:1"
  • Season Total:215"
  • Average Base:81 to 86"

Snow Potential: Snowfall expected to be a trace to 1 inch in the early morning.

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