NEWEST DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Friday Jan 14, 2022 -

(Coming in the Next Discussion, some light snow is possible the last few days of January, but overall high pressure ridging may hold through early February) Expect some great vitamin D exposure for all, for days to come. By Monday/ Tuesday we see a bit of a colder/ windy transition to a shot of light snow on Wednesday as a fast moving and not impressive low pressure system clips the area from out of the northwest. We may see an inch of snow from this one on Wednesday, a nice slope freshener, then by Thursday through Saturday (20-22 Jan) a big ridge of high pressure builds in across the Northwest US and southwest Canada, for sunny skies... Overall, thanks to be in the "far north" of the USA, temperatures stay close to or below freezing for most of the next 2+ weeks., helping to preserve snowpack, which is amazing this season!

LONGER RANGE - High pressure for the western US and low pressure for the eastern US, a continued dry spell, except for some mostly light shots of snow moving in out of the northwest US as they are targeting the eastern US, at times, like the system we expect Wednesday but possibly more moderate snow from some (will be watching for this possibility). La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter. METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly



PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Friday Jan 07, 2022 -

Expect another additional coating of snow today with a weakened but still potent storm, then some sunshine and powder on Saturday. It is looking nice, and with a big northwest US high pressure ridge built in while the east coast gets hammered with winter, we expect some great vitamin D exposure for all, days to come. Next week looks mostly sunny and tranquil for the most part.

Thursday through Saturday (20-22 Jan) big ridge of high pressure, sunny skies... LONGER RANGE - The large-scale pressure pattern shifts to high pressure west and low pressure for the eastern US, a more prolonged dry spell (for a week+ to 2 weeks after the initial snow blast in January (rest of January mostly dry except for some mostly light shots of snow moving in out of the northwest US as they are targeting the eastern US). La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter. METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly



OLDER DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Monday Jan 03, 2022 -

OVERALL: HAPPY NEW YEAR! 2022... A big storm is hammering the northwest, and will send snow through the area starting later today. 8 inches to about a foot of fresh powder is expected now through Wednesday... Thursday into Friday we continue seeing some snow but with rising snow levels as the storm track shifts to the north a bit, and snow levels may rise above 6,000 feet briefly Thursday, for some wet base elevation snow, otherwise its mostly cold powder expected. We clear out from another nice coating of snow Thu-Fri, to some sunshine and powder on Saturday. It is looking nice, and with a big northwest US high pressure ridge built in while the east coast gets hammered with winter, we expect some great vitamin D exposure for all, days to come. Next week looks mostly sunny and tranquil for the most part.

LONGER RANGE - The large-scale pressure pattern shifts to high pressure west and low pressure for the eastern US, a more prolonged dry spell (for a week+ to 2 weeks after the initial snow blast in January. La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter. METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly



OLDER DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Thursday Dec 30, 2021 -

OVERALL: The weather is doing what was forecast, with heavy snow today and more on Friday, lighter, as low pressure is departing for a nice and sunny Saturday. Saturday looks quite cold. We see a bit of a break Saturday through Monday, then a big storm will come and drop a foot+ of fresh powder next Tuesday and Wednesday!

LONGER RANGE - Expect more snow, through the first 1/3 to 1/2 of January (on track, the large-scale pressure pattern shifts to high pressure west and low pressure for the eastern US), followed by a more prolonged dry spell (for a week+ to 2 weeks after the initial snow blast in January). La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter. METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly



OLDER DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Saturday Dec 25, 2021 -

OVERALL: Still on track... The weather did not disappoint. Snow conditions are amazing right now! After Christmas, to the New Year? BUSY. Now through Monday (from last discussion: "another foot of snow is possible in the 2-3 days after Christmas, for a snow filled holiday period"). 13-20" of snow is forecast by us for the next few days, as forecast, no change. This all should be capped off by a major cold airmass and some sub Z temperatures (Fahrenheit) next Tuesday/ Wednesday.

BUSY ALL WEEK: several storms, will highlight soon.

LONGER RANGE - FROM the last discussion, "Every 3-ish days (or less) we should see more snow, through the first 1/3 to 1/2 of January, followed by a more prolonged dry spell (for a week+ to 2 weeks after the initial snow blast in January). La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter. METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly



OLDER DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Monday Dec 20, 2021 -

OVERALL: Not much to talk about early week... then the snow machine is back leading up to Christmas, about another foot is possible at Bogus Basin before Christmas. Very nice indeed... After Christmas, to the New Year? BUSY. Another foot of snow is possible in the 2-3 days after Christmas, for a snow filled holiday period. This all should be capped off by a major cold airmass and some sub Z temperatures (Fahrenheit) moving us into the new year.

TODAY and TUESDAY: Between storms, one exits today with lingering snow this morning, followed by a mix of clouds and sun, then mostly sun on Tuesday. Chilly temperatures keep snow in good shape at Bogus Basin.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY: A fairly fast moving and strong low pressure system moves through with significant snow for Bogus Basin which looks to include a nice southwest fetch of moisture, and good cross-mountain wind flow (orographics), plus dynamics and colder air. It is looking like just fresh powder all around.

ANOTHER "POWDER PERFECT FRIDAY": An unsettled pattern remains, with some deep fresh snow on the ground, and additional light snow through this day... Colder for sure.

CHRISTMAS DAY and SUNDAY: Another big low pressure system moves through with more possibly heavy snowfall, maybe another foot of snow, as this system will be tapped in to good moisture out of the southwest again...

LONGER RANGE - FROM the last discussion, "Every 3-ish days (or less) we should see more snow, through December and into January". On track, but through the rest of December up to New Years Eve, where we may see a major cold air mass move in for subzero temperatures possible on the mountain (Dec 31 onward). The weather pattern starts off good and busy with frequent snow for January, then followed by a more prolonged dry spell (for a week+ to 2 weeks after the initial few days of January). La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter. METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly



OLDER DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Tuesday Dec 14, 2021 -

OVERALL: Gulf of Alaska low-pressure is moving through the western US and has dumped major snow on Bogus Basin (1 foot of snow in the last 24 hours and 1/2 foot in the last 24, with a base of almost 2 feet now), with snow continuing off and on through today and into Wednesday (on track from the last discussion on Dec 8) - FROM LAST DISCUSSION "It is looking like this storm will be the one that sets Bogus Basin up with a good base for the rest of the Christmas/ Holiday Season." <-- On Track... Plus, expect more significant snow around and on Christmas, conditions are looking amazing!

TODAY and WEDNESDAY: A strong GOA low-pressure system continues moving through today and Wednesday, with a moist southwest flow of wind and moisture pushing across the mountains today for more significant snow, pushing totals at Bogus to a fresh 1 foot of snow total by the end of today, so show up Wednesday for amazing conditions along with some sunshine. More snow moves in Wednesday afternoon through overnight, for fresh Thursday powder!

THURSDAY: A faster moving and less significant weather system moves through with a "light snowy" day, cold, and this system drops light snow, clearing out Thursday evening/ overnight.

POWDER PERFECT FRIDAY: High pressure ridging builds in overhead, clouds and snow go away, and we have great new snow on the ground + sunshine, for an amazing day to show up!

SATURDAY and SUNDAY: A couple of low pressure systems move through with additional snowfall, clouding up on Saturday, snow developing mainly late Saturday. Another system moves through on Sunday with more snow, mostly light.

LONGER RANGE - More from the Dec 8 discussion, "...once winter really kicks in to (mostly) stay this December, which is looking like this weekend, early next week (12-14th, starting the snow train)" - Every 3-ish days (or less) we should see more snow, through December and into January. La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter. METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly



OLDER DISCUSSION
Updated Discussion Wednesday Dec 08, 2021 -

OVERALL: Some light snow moves in later today/ tonight, with more snow moving in on a cold Thursday, then a bit colder with light snow continuing mainly Friday morning, then clearing out for the first part of Saturday, then more snow, powder-day totals likely, later Saturday through Monday. More snow, continued possibly significant, move in next Tuesday-Wednesday.

Thursday and Friday: Look colder with a low-pressure system moving in on Thursday and out on Friday, for some light snow accumulation on Thursday, and snow mainly into Friday morning, then clearing as low pressure exits and a ridge of high pressure builds in.

Clouds increase on Saturday out ahead of a strong Gulf of Alaska low-pressure system, moving into the western US Sunday and Monday, for snow showers developing later Saturday, and snow continuing off and on (mainly on) through Sunday/ Monday/ Tuesday, into next Wednesday, with a good fetch of moisture from a southwest oriented incoming wind flow. It is looking like this storm will be the one that sets Bogus Basin up with a good base for the rest of the Christmas/ Holiday Season.

LONGER RANGE - Large-scale low pressure and stronger/ more potent storms will dominate the rest of December, with another storm (mentioned above) moving through next Tuesday/ Wednesday (14-15th), for significant snow expected. Mid and late next week (on/ after the 15th) we should see some sunshine at times with a great new layer of snow. Every 3-ish days (or less) we should see more snow, through December and into January. La Nina is expected to produce an average snowfall total overall this winter, once winter really kicks in to (mostly) stay this December, which is looking like this weekend, early next week (12-14th, starting the snow train). METEOROLOGIST/ Chris Manly