Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1032 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-171445-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
1032 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

High fire danger today. Please see the Red Flag warning for
additional details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There will be additional chances for thunderstorms Sunday through
Tuesday. Strong thunderstorms are possible Monday
afternoon/night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
929 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

...High Fire Danger this Afternoon...

.Critically dry air will move in this afternoon behind a frontal
passage. Southwest winds will strengthen around midday to 10 to 15
mph with frequent gusts up to 20 to 25 mph. Winds will turn west
this afternoon, remaining gusty. Skies will become clear this
afternoon and temperatures will rise into the high 70s to low 80s.
Afternoon humidity will drop to 18% to 25%, and will overlap with
gusty winds starting early afternoon and lasting through the early
evening hours. These conditions will combine with low fuel
moisture and result in high fire danger this afternoon and
evening.

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-099-170000-
/O.UPG.KAPX.FW.A.0001.260516T1800Z-260517T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.FW.W.0002.260516T1800Z-260517T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Charlevoix-
929 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 016, 017, 018, 020, 021, 022, 023, 024, 025, 026,
027, 028, 029, 030, 031, 032, 033, 034, 035, 036, 041, 042, AND
099...

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT
this evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.



* WIND...West winds 10 to 15 mph. Wind gusts 20 to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...Relative humidity as low as 18 to 25 percent.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Interior northeast lower Michigan.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and low fuel moisture can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
ELD

Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov