Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
743 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-160045-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
743 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a 10% chance of widely isolated thunderstorms this
evening. Occasional cloud-to-ground lightning is the main threat
from the storms. Severe storms are not anticipated tonight.

Localized minor flooding continues over portions of the Boundary
Waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Localized minor flooding also continues in the Boundary Waters
region.

Warm, dry, and windy conditions are forecast Friday across the
Northland. A Red Flag Warning in effect for strong and gusty winds
and low relative humidity for most of northeast Minnesota and
northwest Wisconsin.

Looking ahead, a strong spring system will bring thunderstorms
with heavy rainfall from Sunday into early next week. Severe
storms are possible Sunday evening through early Monday morning
south of a line from Walker to Cloquet to Hayward to Ladysmith.
The risk of severe storms shifts slightly farther east Monday
afternoon and evening to east of a line from near Brainerd to
Duluth to western Upper Michigan, including the I-35 corridor and
all of northwest Wisconsin. Damaging wind gusts to 70 mph and
large hail to golf ball size are the main severe weather threats.
Localized minor flooding is possible with the storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and
rainfall amounts to the National Weather Service.

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Duluth MN
505 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY...

MNZ010-012-018-020-021-025-026-033>036-151015-
/O.CON.KDLH.FW.W.0008.260515T1700Z-260516T0200Z/
Koochiching-Northern Cook and Lake-North Itasca-Southern Lake-
Southern Cook-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-Crow Wing-
Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-
505 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST MINNESOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Koochiching, Northern Cook and
  Lake, North Itasca, Southern Lake, Southern Cook, North Cass,
  South Itasca, South Cass, Crow Wing, Northern Aitkin and South
  Aitkin.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 18 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Duluth MN
254 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

MNC031-075-137-152045-
/O.EXT.KDLH.FA.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260515T2045Z/
/00000.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cook MN-Lake MN-St. Louis MN-
254 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

...FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by rain and snowmelt continues.

* WHERE...In Minnesota, northwest Cook, northern Lake and northeast
  St. Louis Counties.

* WHEN...Until 345 PM CDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas,
  rivers and around area lakes. Some low-water crossings may become
  impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 254 PM CDT Monday, elevated river and lake levels
    continue.
  - This includes the following streams and drainages...
    Moose River, Jeanette Creek, Horse River, Basswood River,
    Kawishiwi River, and Hustler River.

    Additional rainfall amounts up to two tenths to three tenths
    of an inch are expected over the area through mid-week.

    Expect high, fast moving water on area rivers and elevated
    lake levels. Water levels are near or above those seen during
    flood events in Spring 2022 and June 2024.

    Areas near the end of the Gunflint Trail and near Ely will
    continue to see slow decreases in elevated water levels this
    week. For areas near and on Basswood Lake, flows are peaking
    as of Sunday afternoon, May 10, and at Lac La Croix peak
    flows are expected this week.

    Those venturing into the Boundary Waters should prepare for
    high water and possible inundation of portages and campsites,
    as well as dangerous rapids and very cold water.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...
    Gunflint Lake, Snowbank Lake, Basswood Lake, Boundary Waters
    Canoe Area Wilderness, Fall Lake, Sea Gull Lake, Saganaga
    Lake, Ensign Lake, Disappointment Lake and Lac La Croix.
  - Flood safety information can be found at
    www.weather.gov/safety/flood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Campers and hikers should avoid flooded trail crossings. If camping
at a site along or near the banks of rivers or streams, move away
from those locations and seek higher ground.

Portage and hiking trails may be impassable and low-lying campsites
may be inundated with excessive runoff in this section of the
Boundary Waters as flooding is occurring or imminent.

Report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and to the National Weather Service in Duluth when you
can do so safely. Flooding can be reported to the National Weather
Service at 1-800-685-8612.

&&

LAT...LON 4817 9235 4821 9238 4825 9227 4834 9229
      4836 9206 4823 9196 4820 9172 4811 9171
      4811 9156 4804 9157 4808 9127 4824 9086
      4796 9085 4787 9147 4816 9218


$$

BJH

Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov